Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.</li>
<li>There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.</li>
<li>There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.</li>
</ul>


Despite the WATCH list's confusion, LG Energy Solution replaced LG Chem. In addition, Solactive excluded Iljin Materials, evidently due to its float-adjusted market cap size.
There are some somewhat elusive additions. The most prominent example is Japan Steel Works, which replaced LG Chem in the updated WATCH list at the last minute.
There was confusion about LG Chem's deletion until the last minute, so, likely, the market has not sufficiently reflected this rebalancing factor in LG Energy/LG Chem's LONG/SHORT.


Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>LG Chem's deletion is almost a done deal. The pouch-type pack goes to LG Energy, and the cathode business is not big enough to beat L&amp;F.</li>
<li>Chunbo is an additive field that this index has not included so far. So, Chunbo will be added as a new addition rather than replacing someone else.</li>
<li>SK IE Tech is quite tricky. The key is to see separator and elecfoil as the same field. If so, SK IET is likely to replace Iljin Materials.</li>
</ul>


LG Chem's deletion is almost a done deal. The pouch-type pack goes to LG Energy, and the cathode business is not big enough to beat L&amp;F.
Chunbo is an additive field that this index has not included so far. So, Chunbo will be added as a new addition rather than replacing someone else.
SK IE Tech is quite tricky. The key is to see separator and elecfoil as the same field. If so, SK IET is likely to replace Iljin Materials.


Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names in Korea Before the Announcement

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.</li>
<li>Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  </li>
<li>We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).</li>
</ul>


Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.
Given the low target price relative to the IPO price range, we have a Negative view of JEIO IPO.  
We estimate its sales to increase by 29.5% YoY to reach 117.1 billion won and operating profit to improve to 6.1 billion won in 2023 (turned black YoY).


<ul>
<li>On 27 September, it was announced that Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) is close to acquiring a 53.3% stake in Iljin Materials (020150 KS) for about 2.7 trillion won (US$1.9 billion).</li>
<li>Iljin Materials has relatively high valuation multiples. Despite recent share price decline, its shares are trading at 32.4x P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA in 2022. </li>
<li>At such a high valuation premium (93% higher than current prices), there are going to be significant concerns that Lotte Chem may have overpaid for this acquisition. </li>
</ul>


On 27 September, it was announced that Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) is close to acquiring a 53.3% stake in Iljin Materials (020150 KS) for about 2.7 trillion won (US$1.9 billion).
Iljin Materials has relatively high valuation multiples. Despite recent share price decline, its shares are trading at 32.4x P/E and 15.7x EV/EBITDA in 2022. 
At such a high valuation premium (93% higher than current prices), there are going to be significant concerns that Lotte Chem may have overpaid for this acquisition. 


Lotte Chemical Close to Acquiring Iljin Materials

<ul>
<li>JEIO is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in early November. The IPO price range is from 15,000 won to 18,000 won.</li>
<li>Based on the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 500 billion won to 600 billion won.</li>
<li>JEIO had a production capacity of 300 tons in 2021 for carbon nanotubes which is expected to increase to 1,000 tons in 2022 and to 3,000 tons by 2025. </li>
</ul>


JEIO is getting ready to complete its IPO in Korea in early November. The IPO price range is from 15,000 won to 18,000 won.
Based on the bankers' valuation, the expected market cap of the company is from 500 billion won to 600 billion won.
JEIO had a production capacity of 300 tons in 2021 for carbon nanotubes which is expected to increase to 1,000 tons in 2022 and to 3,000 tons by 2025. 


South Korea

Lotte Energy Materials Corporation manufactures and distributes electric foils. The Company produces printed circuit board and lithium ion secondary batteries elecfoil, electrolytic and epoxy copper foil, electrolytic capacitor aluminum foil, and other related products. Lotte Energy Materials also offers energy and glass and window construction services.

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Lotte Energy Materials (020150 KS)

Solactive Lithium Review Results Out: Key Takeaways

This post details the review results of the Solactive Global Lithium Index and discusses key takeaways for trading setups.

Sanghyun Park

Solactive Lithium Index Rebalancing: Noteworthy Names in Korea Before the Announcement

This post discusses the notable Korean stocks in the upcoming rebalancing of the Solactive Lithium Index (Global X ETF: LIT).

Sanghyun Park

JEIO IPO Valuation Analysis

Our base case valuation of JEIO is target price of 12,752 won per share, which is 15% lower than the low end of the IPO price range.

Douglas Kim

Lotte Chemical Close to Acquiring Iljin Materials

On 27 September, it was announced that Lotte Chemical (011170 KS) is close to acquiring a 53.3% stake in Iljin Materials (020150 KS) for about 2.7...

Douglas Kim

JEIO IPO Preview

JEIO's IPO price range is from 15,000 won to 18,000 won. JEIO's production capacity of carbon nanotubes is expected to increase by 10x from 2021 to...

Douglas Kim

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