Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.</p><p>Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.</p><p>We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI at the rebalance and 15 potential deletions, plus another 7 close deletions. Only 10 of the potential deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect buy list since the other deletions are either not a part of Stock Connect currently or have listed A-shares.</p><p>The inclusions to the HSCI outperformed the deletions at the March rebalance from review cut-off to announcement of the changes before giving by some of the gains to implementation and then some more for the 1 month post the implementation of the changes.</p>

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.We see 28 potential inclusions to the HSCI at the rebalance and 15 potential deletions, plus another 7 close deletions. Only 10 of the potential deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect buy list since the other deletions are either not a part of Stock Connect currently or have listed A-shares.The inclusions to the HSCI outperformed the deletions at the March rebalance from review cut-off to announcement of the changes before giving by some of the gains to implementation and then some more for the 1 month post the implementation of the changes.

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Expected Changes in September

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

China Youran Dairy Group Ltd / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-youran-dairy-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31075:1" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy Group Ltd (9858 HK)</a> (CYD) raised about US$643m at HK$6.98 per share, the bottom-end of its IPO price range. </p>
<p>CYD is an integrated provider of products and services in the upstream dairy industry. The company is a leader in the various upstream industries that it operates in even though they are mostly fragmented.</p>
<p>In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics and update valuation.</p>
<p>We have previously covered the IPO in:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-youran-dairy-pre-ipo-a-leader-pulling-ahead-in-a-fragmented-market" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) Pre-IPO - A Leader Pulling Ahead in a Fragmented Market<br></a></li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-youran-dairy-pre-ipo-phip-updates-much-better-disclosure" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51794" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Much Better Disclosure</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-youran-dairy-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-youran-is-the-leader" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51796" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Youran Is the Leader</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/china-youran-dairy-ipo-reasonable-valuation-but-there-will-be-significant-overhang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:52634" rel="noopener">China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) IPO - Reasonable Valuation but There Will Be Significant Overhang</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>


China Youran Dairy Group Ltd (9858 HK) (CYD) raised about US$643m at HK$6.98 per share, the bottom-end of its IPO price range. 
CYD is an integrated provider of products and services in the upstream dairy industry. The company is a leader in the various upstream industries that it operates in even though they are mostly fragmented.
In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics and update valuation.
We have previously covered the IPO in:



China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) Pre-IPO - A Leader Pulling Ahead in a Fragmented Market 

China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates - Much Better Disclosure 

China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Youran Is the Leader 

China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) IPO - Reasonable Valuation but There Will Be Significant Overhang 



China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) IPO Trading - Weak Demand

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener"></a><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-logistics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31500:1" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (2618 HK)</a> raised US$3.1bn at HK$40.36 per share, close to the bottom-end of its price range in its Hong Kong IPO. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics and update valuation.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>We had previously covered the IPO in:</p>
</div>
<div>
<ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-ipo-updated-index-implications-and-impact-on-jd-com-holdco-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51591" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Updated Index Implications and Impact on JD.com (京东) HoldCo Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-ipo-widening-its-lead" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51583" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Widening Its Lead</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-index-implications-it-will-cut-close" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51054" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Index Implications - It Will Cut Close</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-quick-note-new-phip-with-1q21-results-changes-narrative" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51453" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Quick Note - New PHIP with 1Q21 Results Changes Narrative</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-phip-updates-and-fine-tuning-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:51008" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-thoughts-on-valuation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50953" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-shielded-from-price-war" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:50575" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-logistics-pre-ipo-tethered-to-jd-group-and-looking-beyond" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:48396" rel="noopener">JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond</a> </li>
</ul>
</div>


JD Logistics (2618 HK) raised US$3.1bn at HK$40.36 per share, close to the bottom-end of its price range in its Hong Kong IPO. 


JD Logistics (JDL) was the leading supply chain solutions and logistics services provider in China in terms of revenue in 2018 and 2019. The company offers a full spectrum of supply chain solutions and logistics services ranging from warehousing to distribution, spanning across manufacturing to end-customers, covering regular and specialized items. 


In this note, we will discuss deal dynamics and update valuation.


We had previously covered the IPO in:




JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Updated Index Implications and Impact on JD.com (京东) HoldCo Valuation 

JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO - Widening Its Lead 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Index Implications - It Will Cut Close 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Quick Note - New PHIP with 1Q21 Results Changes Narrative 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - PHIP Updates and Fine-Tuning Valuation 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Thoughts on Valuation 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - Shielded from Price War 

JD Logistics (京东物流) Pre-IPO - Tethered to JD Group and Looking Beyond 



JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO Trading - Decent Demand + Updates to JD.com Valuation

<p>Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.</p><p>The June review will see the inclusion of stocks that were newly listed from 1 January to 31 March and meet the criteria for joining the index.</p><p>Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.</p><div><p>There are a lot of stocks that will join the HSCI and will subsequently be included as a part of the Southbound Stock Connect program - these stocks could be bought by mainland investors and could outperform their peers and the market.</p></div><div><p>There are stocks that will be deleted from the HSCI and consequently deleted from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list while some stocks will be deleted from the HSCI but maintained in Stock Connect since they have listed A-shares.</p></div><div><p>Read on for more details and the stocks affected by the changes.</p></div>

Hang Seng Indexes Company (HSIL) reviews the constituents of the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) on a half yearly basis in March and September with data cut-off dates as of the end of December and June. The review announcement for the September 2021 review should be made on 13 August and will be effective after the close of trading on 3 September.The June review will see the inclusion of stocks that were newly listed from 1 January to 31 March and meet the criteria for joining the index.Although there are almost no assets indexed to the HSCI, the index forms the basis of stocks that are eligible for Southbound Stock Connect. Stocks that are included in the HSCI and subsequently included in the Stock Connect program get inflows from mainland investors.There are a lot of stocks that will join the HSCI and will subsequently be included as a part of the Southbound Stock Connect program - these stocks could be bought by mainland investors and could outperform their peers and the market.There are stocks that will be deleted from the HSCI and consequently deleted from the Southbound Stock Connect buy list while some stocks will be deleted from the HSCI but maintained in Stock Connect since they have listed A-shares.Read on for more details and the stocks affected by the changes.

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/linklogis" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31126:1" rel="noopener">Linklogis (9959 HK)</a> had a rather subdued debut compared to other recent SaaS IPOs. The company’s share price appreciated by 9.9% on 9<sup>th</sup> April 2021, compared to an average first day gain of 133% for recent SaaS IPOs <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/snowflake-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29254:1" rel="noopener">Snowflake Inc (SNOW US)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloopen-group-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31315:1" rel="noopener">Cloopen Group Holding Ltd (RAAS US)</a>.</p>
<p>Over the last couple of weeks, the share price moved up by another HK$ 3.70 to HK$ 23.00 per share, up 31% from the IPO price.</p>
<p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/linklogis-ipo-first-day-trading" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Linklogis IPO: First Day Trading</a>, we predicted that shares could open trading near HK$ 26.0 per share. We also said that we would be looking to sell at or near the open if shares open trading near HK$ 25.0-26.0 range.</p>
<p>After a two-week delay, it appears that Linklogis is slowly reaching our target exit range.</p>
<p>We like the company’s long-term prospects, but at 20.2x FY+2 EV/Sales with 35% revenue CAGR, the company is fundamentally overvalued.</p>

Linklogis (9959 HK) had a rather subdued debut compared to other recent SaaS IPOs. The company’s share price appreciated by 9.9% on 9th April 2021, compared to an average first day gain of 133% for recent SaaS IPOs Ming Yuan Cloud Group (909 HK), Snowflake Inc (SNOW US), and Cloopen Group Holding Ltd (RAAS US).
Over the last couple of weeks, the share price moved up by another HK$ 3.70 to HK$ 23.00 per share, up 31% from the IPO price.
In Linklogis IPO: First Day Trading, we predicted that shares could open trading near HK$ 26.0 per share. We also said that we would be looking to sell at or near the open if shares open trading near HK$ 25.0-26.0 range.
After a two-week delay, it appears that Linklogis is slowly reaching our target exit range.
We like the company’s long-term prospects, but at 20.2x FY+2 EV/Sales with 35% revenue CAGR, the company is fundamentally overvalued.

Linklogis Post-IPO Trading & Valuation: Time to Get Out

Hong Kong

Inspur International Limited, through its subsidiaries, distributes, sources, and resells IT (Information Technology) products in Hong Kong, China, and overseas markets.

Founder Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops software and provides systems integration services.  The Company also distributes computer products and invests in real estate.

NetDragon Websoft, Inc. develops online internet games. The Company offers tracks player behaviour and purchasing patterns to design games that cater to their customers' tastes. NetDragon Websoft operates worldwide.

Feiyu Technology International Co Ltd is a video-game developer. The Company is primarily focused on the development and operation of mobile games.

ABC Multiactive Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs and sells computer software for e-business, Customer Relationship Management (CRM), e-finance, Internet trading, and e-training, and provides related professional and maintenance services.

GET Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides system solutions to assist its customers in defining their online business strategies. The Company also develop customized e-commerce systems and integrate web applications and platform services.

AGTech Holdings Ltd. provides professional lottery services in China. The Company offers game content and software, hardware and terminals, and online and mobile lottery systems.

Azeus Systems Holdings Limited is an information technology services provider, focusing on software development and system implementation services.  The Company also provides maintenance and support services and operates business process outsourcing.

Sing Lee Software Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and provides information and network technologies and services to the financial industry in China.

China e-Wallet Payment Group Limited provides biometrics and RFID products and solutions. The Company offers biometric access control devices, asset management systems, transport monitoring, and intelligent surveillance solutions. China e-Wallet Payment Group serves customers worldwide.

Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd. develops and publishes online games for the Internet and wireless applications as well as PC (Personal Computer) game software.  The Company develops an Internet-based interactive games platform capable of hosting numerous players simultaneously and charges players by time through pre-paid game card.

G-treeBNT Co Ltd. is a venture company researching and developing multimedia software for digital appliances.  The Company has three main business areas including Embedded 2D/3D Multimedia Platform Solutions, Mobile Services, and Embedded GUI content.

Shenzhen Ysstech Info-tech Co., Ltd provides software solutions for the financial industry in the PRC.

Digital Arts Inc. develops Internet filtering software for business, private, and educational use.  Its product protects users and network from harmful Internet contents and prevents inappropriate usages.

COMPUTER ENGINEERING & CONSULTING LTD. is an independent computer software development company.  The Company also installs, manages, and provides maintenance services for network systems.  Computer Engineering & Consulting also develops and sells packaged software.

Inspur Software Co., Ltd. develops communication and enterprise management software, as well as provides network engineering technology services. The Company also operates in import and export trading and provides cable transportation for the Tai Mountain in Shandong province.

OneSpan Inc. provides software services. The Company designs and develops security software and e-signature solutions that protects devices and financial transactions from fraud and misuse. OneSpan delivers risk analytics, mobile security, and authentication services. OneSpan serves clients worldwide.

Fixstars Corporation provides software products and computer programming services. The Company was founded in 2002.

NHN Corp. provides the variety of online and mobile games. The company offers web board, MMORPG, FPS, sports, casual, and other games.

Infomedia Limited develops and supplies electronic parts catalogues for the automotive industry. The Company's catalogues are used by various car dealers worldwide allowing them to find replacement parts required by a customer or service mechanic.  The Company also provides dealer management systems for the automotive industry.

Linklogis Inc operates as a technology solution provider. The company develops cloud native solutions and supply chain finance technology solutions which optimize the payment cycle of supply chain transactions and digitalize the entire workflow of supply chain finance. Linklogis provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Linklogis (9959 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance & Stock Connect: Expected Changes in September

Currently we see 28 potential inclusions & 22 deletions from the HSCI at the Sep rebalance. Most of the inclusions will join Stock Connect while...

Brian Freitas

China Youran Dairy(悠然牧业) IPO Trading - Weak Demand

China Youran Dairy Group Ltd (9858 HK) (CYD) raised about US$643m at HK$6.98 per share, the bottom-end of its IPO price range.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

JD Logistics (京东物流) IPO Trading - Decent Demand + Updates to JD.com Valuation

JD Logistics (2618 HK) is raised US$3.1bn at HK$40.36 per share, close to the bottom-end of its price range in its Hong Kong IPO.

Zhen Zhou, Toh

HSCI Index Rebalance and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in June and September

A look at the potential changes to the HSCI at the June & September reviews and stocks that could be included in/excluded from Stock Connect. These...

Brian Freitas

Linklogis Post-IPO Trading & Valuation: Time to Get Out

After a two-week delay, it appears that Linklogis is slowly reaching our target exit range. We like the company’s long-term prospects, but at 20.2x...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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