Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review cutoff date for the September rebalance of the HSIII was 28 June. The changes will be announced on 16 August and become effective after the close 6 September.</li>
<li>There could be 3 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Capping will result in passives buying <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kuaishou-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29725:1" rel="noopener">Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29043:1" rel="noopener">JD.com (9618 HK)</a> while selling <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


The review cutoff date for the September rebalance of the HSIII was 28 June. The changes will be announced on 16 August and become effective after the close 6 September.
There could be 3 changes to the index with some inclusions driven by potential addition to the Hang Seng Composite Index. That could lead to buying via Southbound Stock Connect.
Capping will result in passives buying Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK) and JD.com (9618 HK) while selling Meituan (3690 HK) and Tencent (700 HK).


Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Three Adds/Deletes & Capping Changes

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Equity Bottom-Up

Brilliance China Automotive / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.</li>
<li>This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.</li>
<li>Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China (1114 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan (909 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yidu-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29245:1" rel="noopener">Yidu Tech (2158 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a-living-smart-city-services-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26728:1" rel="noopener">A-Living Smart City (3319 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.
This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.
Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include Brilliance China (1114 HK), Ming Yuan (909 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK), and A-Living Smart City (3319 HK).


More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

<ul>
<li>We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.</li>
<li>We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 37 potential adds (including plenty of new listings) and 25 potential deletes (on market cap and liquidity) for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September.
We expect 32 stocks to be added to Southbound Stock Connect following the rebalance while 24 stocks could be deleted from the trading link and become Sell-only.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 28th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB, ICBC, Tencent

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Ethan Aw

APAC IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cloudchain" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40304:1" rel="noopener">Cloudchain (CC CH)</a> is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>Cloudchain is an independent industry digital finance platform in China, serving anchor enterprises, chain-related enterprises, and financial institutions.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Cloudchain (CC CH) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. 
Cloudchain is an independent industry digital finance platform in China, serving anchor enterprises, chain-related enterprises, and financial institutions.
In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.


Cloudchain Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Still Not Convinced

Hong Kong

Inspur International Limited, through its subsidiaries, distributes, sources, and resells IT (Information Technology) products in Hong Kong, China, and overseas markets.

Founder Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops software and provides systems integration services.  The Company also distributes computer products and invests in real estate.

NetDragon Websoft, Inc. develops online internet games. The Company offers tracks player behaviour and purchasing patterns to design games that cater to their customers' tastes. NetDragon Websoft operates worldwide.

Feiyu Technology International Co Ltd is a video-game developer. The Company is primarily focused on the development and operation of mobile games.

ABC Multiactive Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs and sells computer software for e-business, Customer Relationship Management (CRM), e-finance, Internet trading, and e-training, and provides related professional and maintenance services.

GET Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, provides system solutions to assist its customers in defining their online business strategies. The Company also develop customized e-commerce systems and integrate web applications and platform services.

AGTech Holdings Ltd. provides professional lottery services in China. The Company offers game content and software, hardware and terminals, and online and mobile lottery systems.

Azeus Systems Holdings Limited is an information technology services provider, focusing on software development and system implementation services.  The Company also provides maintenance and support services and operates business process outsourcing.

Sing Lee Software Group Limited, through its subsidiaries, develops and provides information and network technologies and services to the financial industry in China.

China e-Wallet Payment Group Limited provides biometrics and RFID products and solutions. The Company offers biometric access control devices, asset management systems, transport monitoring, and intelligent surveillance solutions. China e-Wallet Payment Group serves customers worldwide.

Gamania Digital Entertainment Co., Ltd. develops and publishes online games for the Internet and wireless applications as well as PC (Personal Computer) game software.  The Company develops an Internet-based interactive games platform capable of hosting numerous players simultaneously and charges players by time through pre-paid game card.

G-treeBNT Co Ltd. is a venture company researching and developing multimedia software for digital appliances.  The Company has three main business areas including Embedded 2D/3D Multimedia Platform Solutions, Mobile Services, and Embedded GUI content.

Shenzhen Ysstech Info-tech Co., Ltd provides software solutions for the financial industry in the PRC.

Digital Arts Inc. develops Internet filtering software for business, private, and educational use.  Its product protects users and network from harmful Internet contents and prevents inappropriate usages.

COMPUTER ENGINEERING & CONSULTING LTD. is an independent computer software development company.  The Company also installs, manages, and provides maintenance services for network systems.  Computer Engineering & Consulting also develops and sells packaged software.

Inspur Software Co., Ltd. develops communication and enterprise management software, as well as provides network engineering technology services. The Company also operates in import and export trading and provides cable transportation for the Tai Mountain in Shandong province.

OneSpan Inc. provides software services. The Company designs and develops security software and e-signature solutions that protects devices and financial transactions from fraud and misuse. OneSpan delivers risk analytics, mobile security, and authentication services. OneSpan serves clients worldwide.

Fixstars Corporation provides software products and computer programming services. The Company was founded in 2002.

NHN Corp. provides the variety of online and mobile games. The company offers web board, MMORPG, FPS, sports, casual, and other games.

Infomedia Limited develops and supplies electronic parts catalogues for the automotive industry. The Company's catalogues are used by various car dealers worldwide allowing them to find replacement parts required by a customer or service mechanic.  The Company also provides dealer management systems for the automotive industry.

Linklogis Inc operates as a technology solution provider. The company develops cloud native solutions and supply chain finance technology solutions which optimize the payment cycle of supply chain transactions and digitalize the entire workflow of supply chain finance. Linklogis provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Linklogis (9959 HK)

Hang Seng Internet & IT Index (HSIII) Rebalance Preview: Three Adds/Deletes & Capping Changes

There could be 3 changes for the HSIII in September. The passive buying on the adds is small while selling on the deletes is much larger. Lock-up...

Brian Freitas

More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

This note looks at Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract debt not included in current liabilities. Benjamin Graham...

David Blennerhassett

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Potential Changes in September

There could be nearly 80 adds/deletes for the HSCI in September. That will trigger changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and increase flows...

Brian Freitas

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Jun 28th): CCB, ICBC, Tencent

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CCB (939 HK), ICBC (1398 HK), Tencent (700 HK).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Cloudchain Pre-IPO - The Negatives - But Still Not Convinced

Cloudchain (CC CH) is looking to raise up to US$200m in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we will talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal.

Ethan Aw

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