Global Mobility/Transport, Equity Long-Short

Mohshin Aziz

Equity Bottom-Up

Brilliance China Automotive / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Business is struggling due to legacy luxury brands such as BMW losing its positioning in China. Local brands are eating into market share fast. </li>
<li>Thankfully, the company is cash rich and its trading nature enables steady supply of dividends and have been known to pay special dividends.  </li>
<li>Share price has been under pressure, now trading at ~15% dividend yield based on 50% payout,  appealing to yield seekers. </li>
</ul>


Business is struggling due to legacy luxury brands such as BMW losing its positioning in China. Local brands are eating into market share fast. 
Thankfully, the company is cash rich and its trading nature enables steady supply of dividends and have been known to pay special dividends.  
Share price has been under pressure, now trading at ~15% dividend yield based on 50% payout,  appealing to yield seekers. 


Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK, NEUTRAL, TP:HKD3.90): Go for the >15% Dividend Yields

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Brilliance China Automotive / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)</a> is up 220% on a total return basis since we first published our insight in August 2023.</li>
<li>The company paid a special dividend in April this year and will pay a large special dividend of HK$4.3/share going ex-div on 3 July.</li>
<li>The resultant drop in market cap will result in deletion of the stock from large global passive portfolios at the close on 3 July.</li>
</ul>



Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK) is up 220% on a total return basis since we first published our insight in August 2023.
The company paid a special dividend in April this year and will pay a large special dividend of HK$4.3/share going ex-div on 3 July.
The resultant drop in market cap will result in deletion of the stock from large global passive portfolios at the close on 3 July.


Brilliance China (1114 HK): Reversing Out of Passive Portfolios

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.</li>
<li>This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.</li>
<li>Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China (1114 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ming-yuan-cloud-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29268:1" rel="noopener">Ming Yuan (909 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yidu-tech-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29245:1" rel="noopener">Yidu Tech (2158 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/a-living-smart-city-services-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26728:1" rel="noopener">A-Living Smart City (3319 HK)</a>.</li>
</ul>


With the Hang Seng Index dipping below the 15,000 mark earlier this week, it's time to dust off some old school perspective.
This insight looks at Benjamin Graham's Net Nets, (current assets less current liabilities), then subtract any debt not included in current liabilities. More simply, current assets less total liabilities.
Graham would conclude these stocks are priced for liquidation.  Stocks discussed include Brilliance China (1114 HK), Ming Yuan (909 HK), Yidu Tech (2158 HK), and A-Living Smart City (3319 HK).


More Hong Kong Stocks Priced For Liquidation

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)</a> was deleted from local and global indices following its prolonged trading suspension from April 2021 to September 2022.</li>
<li>Following the resumption of trading, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/brilliance-china-automotive" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:469:1" rel="noopener">Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)</a> was added to the HSCI in March and subsequently to Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>The stock should be bought by global passive trackers over the next few months and there should be substantial passive inflows.</li>
</ul>



Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK) was deleted from local and global indices following its prolonged trading suspension from April 2021 to September 2022.
Following the resumption of trading, Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK) was added to the HSCI in March and subsequently to Southbound Stock Connect.
The stock should be bought by global passive trackers over the next few months and there should be substantial passive inflows.


Brilliance China (1114 HK): Driving Back Into Passive Portfolios

China Specialist, Auto and Industrial Specialist

Victoria Li

<ul>
<li>HK$0.96 per share special dividend announced last Friday disappointed the market. </li>
<li>The dividend implies only 20% of the cash on the balance sheet paid out in dividends</li>
<li>We think there could be 1-2 more special dividends in 2023E given lack of obvious uses for the cash balance</li>
</ul>


HK$0.96 per share special dividend announced last Friday disappointed the market. 
The dividend implies only 20% of the cash on the balance sheet paid out in dividends
We think there could be 1-2 more special dividends in 2023E given lack of obvious uses for the cash balance


Brilliance China: Special Dividend Amount Disappoints, but More Could Be on the Way

Hong Kong

Yadea Group is a leading electric two wheeler brand in China. The company produces electric bikes and scooters.

Qingling Motors Company Limited produces and sells Isuzu light duty trucks, pickup trucks, multi-purpose sport vehicles, heavy-duty trucks, other vehicles, and automobile parts and accessories.

Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (Holdings) Limited manufactures scooter and cub motorbikes.  The Company produces motorbike engines and parts for use in its own motorbikes and for sale, and also sells and services moulds for making die-cast and forged metal parts.

Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing (422 HK)

Vietnam Manufacturing and Export Processing

Hybrid Kinetic Group Ltd. seeks to develop and manufacture hybrid vehicles. The Company's initial targeted production is targeted for 2012.

New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Ltd is an automobile after-sales service provider in the Greater China region. The Company provides car-washing services, high-end detailing and tinting, basic maintenances, modifications, accessory sales, and body repair. New Focus Auto also manufactures and distributes auto ancillary products in North America, Europe, and other Asian countries.

New Focus Auto Tech Holdings Ltd (360 HK)

Wuling Motors Holdings Limited manufactures motor vehicle engines, parts and special vehicles in China. The Company's activities also include securities dealing, margin financing, money lending and property investment.

SJM Holdings Limited offers amusement and recreation services.  The Company operates casinos, hotels, and other tourism-related facilities in Macau.

Melco Resorts & Entertainment Limited develops, owns, and operates casinos. The Company offers casino gaming, restaurants, bars, and resorts facilities. Melco Resorts & Entertainment serves customers in Asia.

Yue Yuen Industrial (Holdings) Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and markets athletic, athletic style leisure, and casual and outdoor footwear.

Man Wah Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, designs, manufactures, sells recliner sofas.  The Company acts as an original design manufacturer, where it designs & manufactures leather sofas for exporting to third party customers. Man Wah also manufactures and sells mattresses and bedding accessories, and other furniture.

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells automotive products, provides consulting, automotive testing and evaluation services. The Company's main products include dump trucks, concrete mixer trucks, and sanitation trucks.

China Automotive Engg Rsrch Inst (601965 CH)

Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles and parts. The Company produces light trucks, medium trucks, heavy trucks, passenger cars, and engine parts. Beiqi Foton Motor also conducts automotive wholesale businesses domestically and internationally.

China Jialing Industrial Co., Ltd. Group manufactures and sells motorcycles and related engines.

China Jialing Industrial Co Ltd (Group) (600877 CH)

Dongfeng Automobile Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, castings, and related spare parts.

Tianjin FAW Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cars, gasoline engines, internal combustion engines, and other automobile parts.

Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co, Ltd. (000927 CH)

China Motor Corporation manufactures and markets trucks, vans, cars, and related parts and accessories.  The Company also has joint venture operations with Mitsubishi.

Sanyang Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles, motorcycles, and parts. The Company also provides related technical and consulting services.

Lifan Industry (Group) Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells motorcycles, cars and gasoline engines. The Company's major products include motorcycles, motorcycle engines, passenger cars, passenger car engines, gasoline engines and other terminal products such as generator sets, water pumps and lawn mowers.

Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes minibuses and sedans in the People's Republic of China.  The Company also manufactures and trades automotive components.

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Brilliance China Automotive (1114 HK)