China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>In early July, Toyota announced a breakthrough in all-solid-state-battery (ASSB) delivering 745 miles per charge and &lt;10-minute charging time. </li>
<li>Currently lithium-ion battery (LIB) can reach 500 miles and 25 minutes; We, however, believe the migration of LIB to ASSB will be a continuous process. </li>
<li>ASSB is expensive to manufacture. Further, mineral reliance on China is unlikely to lessen.</li>
</ul>


In early July, Toyota announced a breakthrough in all-solid-state-battery (ASSB) delivering 745 miles per charge and &lt;10-minute charging time. 
Currently lithium-ion battery (LIB) can reach 500 miles and 25 minutes; We, however, believe the migration of LIB to ASSB will be a continuous process. 
ASSB is expensive to manufacture. Further, mineral reliance on China is unlikely to lessen.


[Blue Lotus EV Sector Update]: All Solid-State Battery Unlikely to Disrupt EV Market

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.</li><li>Apart from its products, we like the Company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.</li><li>We project Li Auto’s 2Q23E revenue to more than triple YoY to RMB 27.9bn, as its sales volume beat guidance.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of scale.Apart from its products, we like the Company’s high self-discipline in costs and business expansion even as it is much more resourceful than before.We project Li Auto’s 2Q23E revenue to more than triple YoY to RMB 27.9bn, as its sales volume beat guidance.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

CMBI Research Focus List (July Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Forty to sixty percent of the world’s carbon emission takes place in buildings. Energy efficiency job is the single largest component that balances the job loss</li>
<li>In traditional energy and job gain in renewable energy. China is materially behind the US in energy efficiency; We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package </li>
<li>Will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, and our listed companies in the new energy sector shall benefit from the trend.</li>
</ul>


Forty to sixty percent of the world’s carbon emission takes place in buildings. Energy efficiency job is the single largest component that balances the job loss
In traditional energy and job gain in renewable energy. China is materially behind the US in energy efficiency; We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package 
Will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, and our listed companies in the new energy sector shall benefit from the trend.


[Blue Lotus Macro]: A Job-Creating Stimulus that Also Saves the Real Estate

<ul><li>We summarize the Jun 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.</li><li>Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of May 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jun retail sales volume data have not been released yet.</li><li>Most automakers’ discounts widened MoM in Jun 2023 to rush for 1H23 targets and cut inventories, as we had expected. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We summarize the Jun 2023 price discounts at dealers for major automakers in this report.Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of May 2023 retail sales volume for each model, as Jun retail sales volume data have not been released yet.Most automakers’ discounts widened MoM in Jun 2023 to rush for 1H23 targets and cut inventories, as we had expected. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – When will discounts peak after rising for 8 months

<ul>
<li>XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)</li>
<li>XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)</li>
<li>ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)</li>
</ul>


XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order in China auto market (+/+/+/+/+)
XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50%, outperforming the industry (+)
ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn Efgartigimod received NMPA approval. We expect 2023 revenue US$10mn (-)


China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

[Blue Lotus EV Sector Update]: All Solid-State Battery Unlikely to Disrupt EV Market

We, however, believe the migration of LIB to ASSB will be a continuous process. ASSB is expensive to manufacture. Further, mineral reliance on...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

CMBI Research Focus List (July Edition) – Our best high conviction stock ideas

We project Li Auto’s net profit to rise 27% QoQ to RMB 1.2bn in 2Q23E. Profitability in FY24E could also beat expectation on greater economies of...

CMB International

[Blue Lotus Macro]: A Job-Creating Stimulus that Also Saves the Real Estate

We believe inclusion of energy efficiency in the upcoming stimulus package will be a sound choice to boost employment and GDP, listed companies in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Auto Sector – When will discounts peak after rising for 8 months

Note that such discounts for each automaker are calculated based on weighted average of May 2023 retail sales volume for each model

CMB International

China TMT Update-XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK/ZLAB: 16 Automakers Pledge to Maintain Order;G6 Conversion

XPEV/NIO/LI/TSLA/1211HK: 16 major automakers pledge to jointly maintain order;XPEV: Xpeng G6's conversion rate exceeds 50% (+)ZLAB：ZLAB’s FcRn...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

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