China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>BABA/ JD/ PDD/ VIPS: Tmall outlines upcoming changes to its platform (-/-/-/-)</li>
<li>LI: Li Auto CEO reveals six pure EVs in pipeline(+)</li>
<li>700HK/NTES/BILI/: Game industry in general:  Domestic game codes published by NPPA（+）</li>
</ul>


BABA/ JD/ PDD/ VIPS: Tmall outlines upcoming changes to its platform (-/-/-/-)
LI: Li Auto CEO reveals six pure EVs in pipeline(+)
700HK/NTES/BILI/: Game industry in general:  Domestic game codes published by NPPA（+）


China TMT Update (Mar.27) - BABA/JD/ PDD/VIPS/LI/700HK/NTES/BILI/ - Tmall Outlines Upcoming Changes

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-leapmotor-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35968:1" rel="noopener">Leapmotor (9863 HK)</a> raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the low-end. The stock was listed on 29th Sep 2022, its six-month lockup will expire soon.</li>
<li>LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.</li>
</ul>



Leapmotor (9863 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the low-end. The stock was listed on 29th Sep 2022, its six-month lockup will expire soon.
LM is a smart EV company based in China, founded in 2015.
In this note, we will talk about the lock-up dynamics and updates since our last note.


Leapmotor IPO Lock-Up - A Precursor to a Larger Release Later in the Year

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

<ul><li>WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended March 17, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index underperformed the broader market, rising 1.2% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.6%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 4.4%).</li><li>Advanced Transportation Solutions (69.3% of the index) drove the index performance, rising 3.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (22.8% of the index) was down 2.0% and Energy Technology was down 5.8%.</li><li>Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 23.6x versus 17.6x for the S&amp;P 500.</li></ul>

WTR Sustainable Index: During the week ended March 17, 2023, the WTR Sustainable Index underperformed the broader market, rising 1.2% W/W versus the S&amp;P 500 Index (up 1.4%), the Russell 2000 Index (down 2.6%), and the Nasdaq Composite Index (up 4.4%).Advanced Transportation Solutions (69.3% of the index) drove the index performance, rising 3.3%, while Industrial Climate and Ag Technology (22.8% of the index) was down 2.0% and Energy Technology was down 5.8%.Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 23.6x versus 17.6x for the S&amp;P 500.

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended March 17, 2023

<ul>
<li>Even though we are long-term optimistic on the rise of Chinese consumer brands, we believe short-term optimism is misplaced. </li>
<li>Two themes: (1) structural changes led by China’s transition to an older and more affluent society, (2) substitution and globalization that can break the ceiling for valuation;</li>
<li>Our TOP PICKS are Li Auto, Atour, Luckin, FUTU, BEKE and Miniso</li>
</ul>


Even though we are long-term optimistic on the rise of Chinese consumer brands, we believe short-term optimism is misplaced. 
Two themes: (1) structural changes led by China’s transition to an older and more affluent society, (2) substitution and globalization that can break the ceiling for valuation;
Our TOP PICKS are Li Auto, Atour, Luckin, FUTU, BEKE and Miniso


[Consumer Brands Deep Dive]:Structural and Substitution Drive Chinese Consumer

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 11% YoY in Feb 2023, 4% lower than our prior forecast.</li><li>Wholesale volume also rose 11% YoY last month, 13% higher than our prior projection, again largely due to inventory restocking and higher export volume.</li><li>PV exports surged 86% YoY to about 271,000 units in Feb 2023. Automakers in China added about 131,000 units of inventories into their dealers in Feb 2023 based on our calculations, which has led to 2.2 months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Mar and Apr 2023. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

China’s passenger-vehicle (PV) retail sales volume rose 11% YoY in Feb 2023, 4% lower than our prior forecast.Wholesale volume also rose 11% YoY last month, 13% higher than our prior projection, again largely due to inventory restocking and higher export volume.PV exports surged 86% YoY to about 271,000 units in Feb 2023. Automakers in China added about 131,000 units of inventories into their dealers in Feb 2023 based on our calculations, which has led to 2.2 months of inventories based on our projected retail sales volume for Mar and Apr 2023. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Auto Sector – A trough in the short term?

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

China TMT Update (Mar.27) - BABA/JD/ PDD/VIPS/LI/700HK/NTES/BILI/ - Tmall Outlines Upcoming Changes

BABA/JD/PDD/VIPS: Tmall outlines upcoming changes(-/-/-/-); LI: Li Auto CEO reveals six pure EVs in pipeline(+); 700HK/NTES/BILI/game industry in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Leapmotor IPO Lock-Up - A Precursor to a Larger Release Later in the Year

Leapmotor (9863 HK) raised around US$800m in its Hong Kong IPO, after pricing at the low-end. The stock was listed on 29th Sep 2022, its six-month...

Sumeet Singh

Weekly Sustainable Investing Surveyor: Week Ended March 17, 2023

Valuation: Based on forward 12-month consensus estimates, the current P/E ratio of the WTR Sustainable index is 23.6x versus 17.6x for the S&P 500.

Water Tower Research

[Consumer Brands Deep Dive]:Structural and Substitution Drive Chinese Consumer

Chinese underconsumption is only half true. It only occurs in categories associated with development stages; Our TOP PICKS are Li Auto, Atour,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

China Auto Sector – A trough in the short term?

Wholesale volume also rose 11% YoY last month, 13% higher than our prior projection, again largely due to inventory restocking and higher export...

CMB International

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