China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>We continue to chat with venture capitalists (VC’s) and hedge fund managers in our tour of China.</li>
<li>Our takeaway is that Chinese government intend to nurture local governments into VC’s to (partially) replace land finance as a pillar of fiscal revenue;</li>
<li>The resulted policy measures and shifts will benefit STAR SSE as a politically oriented destination and EV/renewable sectors as national championships, at the expense of the consumer sector.</li>
</ul>


We continue to chat with venture capitalists (VC’s) and hedge fund managers in our tour of China.
Our takeaway is that Chinese government intend to nurture local governments into VC’s to (partially) replace land finance as a pillar of fiscal revenue;
The resulted policy measures and shifts will benefit STAR SSE as a politically oriented destination and EV/renewable sectors as national championships, at the expense of the consumer sector.


Blue Lotus Macro: No Short-Term Investors in the Short Term, Summary of Our Tour of China.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Just days after <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/byd-co-ltd-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20962:1" rel="noopener">BYD (1211 HK)</a> surpassed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a> as the world’s largest electric vehicle producer by sales, is Warren Buffet cashing in his chips?</li>
<li>225mn shares of BYD  - 7.73% of the H shares - moved into CCASS yesterday. These are Berkshire Hathaway's shares. </li>
<li>For a shareholder who has kept his holding in share certificates for 13 years, this development suggests the possibility of a partial or full exit. </li>
</ul>


Just days after BYD (1211 HK) surpassed Tesla Motors (TSLA US) as the world’s largest electric vehicle producer by sales, is Warren Buffet cashing in his chips?
225mn shares of BYD  - 7.73% of the H shares - moved into CCASS yesterday. These are Berkshire Hathaway's shares. 
For a shareholder who has kept his holding in share certificates for 13 years, this development suggests the possibility of a partial or full exit. 


Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eva-precision-industrial-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17511:1" rel="noopener">Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK)</a> is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and moulds), trading at 8.1x PE FY22 with an inflection point in earnings growth.</li>
<li>As a supplier to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US),</a> <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-wall-motor-co-ltd-cb302af9-398c-4d2d-ba39-023e43287eef" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:128:1" rel="noopener">Great Wall Motor (2333 HK)</a>, and Lucid, it is a play on the expansion of the EV space.</li>
<li>Legacy business of office equipment will also experience growth due to the exit of foreign businesses like Fuji and Samsung enabling the company to have 25% CAGR revenue growth.</li>
</ul>



Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and moulds), trading at 8.1x PE FY22 with an inflection point in earnings growth.
As a supplier to Tesla Motors (TSLA US), Great Wall Motor (2333 HK), and Lucid, it is a play on the expansion of the EV space.
Legacy business of office equipment will also experience growth due to the exit of foreign businesses like Fuji and Samsung enabling the company to have 25% CAGR revenue growth.


EVA Precision 838 HK: Play on EV Market Growth

Forensic Analyst

Jason Yap, CFA

Forensic Accounting

On 20 August 2021, the Cyberspace Administration of China and the Ministry of Transport, together with other relevant authorities, jointly issued the Provisions on Management of Automotive Data Security (Trial) ("Auto Data Provisions"). 
The Auto Data Provisions since took effect on 1 October 2021 to limited fanfare, with media headlines instead focused on the Personal Information Protection Law ("PIPL"), which took effect on 1 November 2021, and specific affected sectors, such as <a href="https://www.reuters.com/business/chinese-online-brokers-futu-up-fintech-face-regulatory-risks-peoples-daily-2021-10-14/" target="_blank" rel="noopener">China online brokerages</a>. 
Further, on 29 October 2021, regulators issued <a href="https://asia.nikkei.com/Business/China-tech/China-to-tighten-rules-on-data-transfers-abroad-with-review-trigger" target="_blank" rel="noopener">draft data protection regulations</a> which provide that businesses in China face a national security review prior to transfers outside the country of personal information of 100,000 individuals or more.  The draft consultation period will last through 28 November 2021, following which the directives would likely take effect soon after. 
EVs of today are no longer a mere mode of transport that depend on analog platforms.  As EV companies race to develop autonomous driving technologies, most if not all EV companies now harness vast amounts of users and real-time mobility data.  Think <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/didi-chuxing-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27467:1" rel="noopener">DiDi Global (DIDI US)</a>. 
Yet, apart from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesla-motors-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20279:1" rel="noopener">Tesla Motors (TSLA US)</a>, Chinese EV manufacturers (all listed in the US) such as <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO Inc (NIO US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/xpeng-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29217:1" rel="noopener">Xpeng (XPEV US)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/li-auto-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28812:1" rel="noopener">Li Auto Inc. (LI US)</a> have remained largely unscathed from the news flow and analysis surrounding data security in China. 
In this Insight, we discuss what the Auto Data Provisions entail, whether Chinese EV companies face any repercussions from tightening of data security laws, and which one is the most at risk.

On 20 August 2021, the Cyberspace Administration of China and the Ministry of Transport, together with other relevant authorities, jointly issued the Provisions on Management of Automotive Data Security (Trial) ("Auto Data Provisions"). 
The Auto Data Provisions since took effect on 1 October 2021 to limited fanfare, with media headlines instead focused on the Personal Information Protection Law ("PIPL"), which took effect on 1 November 2021, and specific affected sectors, such as China online brokerages. 
Further, on 29 October 2021, regulators issued draft data protection regulations which provide that businesses in China face a national security review prior to transfers outside the country of personal information of 100,000 individuals or more.  The draft consultation period will last through 28 November 2021, following which the directives would likely take effect soon after. 
EVs of today are no longer a mere mode of transport that depend on analog platforms.  As EV companies race to develop autonomous driving technologies, most if not all EV companies now harness vast amounts of users and real-time mobility data.  Think DiDi Global (DIDI US). 
Yet, apart from Tesla Motors (TSLA US), Chinese EV manufacturers (all listed in the US) such as NIO Inc (NIO US), Xpeng (XPEV US) and Li Auto Inc. (LI US) have remained largely unscathed from the news flow and analysis surrounding data security in China. 
In this Insight, we discuss what the Auto Data Provisions entail, whether Chinese EV companies face any repercussions from tightening of data security laws, and which one is the most at risk. 

Nio Inc (Nio US) - Automotive Data Security, Delivery Declines and Hefei Investors

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>ATAT US/TCOM US:Daily Traffic Volume growth on highways is flattish YoY During the Summer Travel Season(-/-)</li>
<li>BEKE US: Decrease in New Short-term Loans to Residents in July, but Increase in New Long-term Loans(+)</li>
<li>BEKE US:House prices continued to decline in July . (-)</li>
</ul>


ATAT US/TCOM US:Daily Traffic Volume growth on highways is flattish YoY During the Summer Travel Season(-/-)
BEKE US: Decrease in New Short-term Loans to Residents in July, but Increase in New Long-term Loans(+)
BEKE US:House prices continued to decline in July . (-)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

China

Li Auto Inc. manufactures automobiles. The Company designs, develops, and sells smart new energy electric sport utility vehicles. Li Auto conducts businesses in China.

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Li Auto (LI US)

Blue Lotus Macro: No Short-Term Investors in the Short Term, Summary of Our Tour of China.

We continue to chat with venture capitalists (VC’s) and hedge fund managers in our tour of China. Our takeaway is that Chinese government intend to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD (1211 HK): Is Buffett Bailing?

BYD is expensive, even after this morning's decline. The recent price run-up appears to hit Buffet's exit level. I'd look to sell here and on any...

David Blennerhassett

EVA Precision 838 HK: Play on EV Market Growth

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and molds), trading at 8.1x PE...

Sameer Taneja

Nio Inc (Nio US) - Automotive Data Security, Delivery Declines and Hefei Investors

In this Insight, we discuss the impact of tightening auto data security laws, Oct 2021 delivery declines and residual Hefei investors risks on Nio...

Jason Yap, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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Blue Lotus Macro: No Short-Term Investors in the Short Term, Summary of Our Tour of China.

We continue to chat with venture capitalists (VC’s) and hedge fund managers in our tour of China. Our takeaway is that Chinese government intend to...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

BYD (1211 HK): Is Buffett Bailing?

BYD is expensive, even after this morning's decline. The recent price run-up appears to hit Buffet's exit level. I'd look to sell here and on any...

David Blennerhassett

EVA Precision 838 HK: Play on EV Market Growth

Eva Precision Industrial Holdings (838 HK) is a supplier of office and automotive equipment (seat/battery frames and molds), trading at 8.1x PE...

Sameer Taneja

Nio Inc (Nio US) - Automotive Data Security, Delivery Declines and Hefei Investors

In this Insight, we discuss the impact of tightening auto data security laws, Oct 2021 delivery declines and residual Hefei investors risks on Nio...

Jason Yap, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:ATAT US/TCOM US/BEKE US/NIO US/LI US/1810 HK/1211 HK/XPEV US/LKNCY US

​Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Summer travel season sees flat growth in highway traffic volume, decrease in short-term loans but increase in long-term loans, and continued...