Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>In our view, China growth equity faces high geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 ahead of the US election, but can experience a relief rally in C1Q24.</li>
<li>We prepared high beta and low risk recommendations for 2024</li>
<li>For low-risk, we recommend JD/JDL/JDH, Tencent and Luckin. For high beta, we recommend BEKE, LI Auto and Kuaishou.</li>
</ul>


In our view, China growth equity faces high geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 ahead of the US election, but can experience a relief rally in C1Q24.
We prepared high beta and low risk recommendations for 2024
For low-risk, we recommend JD/JDL/JDH, Tencent and Luckin. For high beta, we recommend BEKE, LI Auto and Kuaishou.


[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: 2024 High Conviction Idea: Two Scenarios Towards Year End

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. This week saw reversion.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND saw net buys of HK$3.5bn this week, breaking a nascent sell streak. Meituan dip-buying Wednesday to Friday was worth the entire net buy.</li>
<li>High-Div SOEs remain mixed. CNOOC (883) saw decent net buying, and China Mobile saw decent net selling. Again.</li>
</ul>


SOUTHBOUND flows the last several weeks clearly indicated a momentum move. The top net sells were all down. The top buys were all up. This week saw reversion.
SOUTHBOUND saw net buys of HK$3.5bn this week, breaking a nascent sell streak. Meituan dip-buying Wednesday to Friday was worth the entire net buy.
High-Div SOEs remain mixed. CNOOC (883) saw decent net buying, and China Mobile saw decent net selling. Again.


HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Dec 23); Meituan Dip-Buyings Leads Inflows; CNOOC Vs 941 on SOEs

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Robosense Technology / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-robosense-technology-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:39903:1" rel="noopener">Robosense Technology (ROBO HK)</a> (RT) is looking to raise around US$400m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.</li>
</ul>



Robosense Technology (ROBO HK) (RT) is looking to raise around US$400m (estimated) in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO. 
As of Mar 23, it had earned design wins for mass production of LiDAR for 52 vehicles with 21OEMs and Tier 1 suppliers, ranking No. 1 globally, according to CIC.
In this note, we talk about the positive aspects of the deal.


Robosense Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - A Whole Lot of Potential

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly Hongkong connect flows for Meituan and Tencent.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 1st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight weekly Hongkong connect flows for Meituan and Tencent.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 24th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. </li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Xiaomi and Link Reit.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 24th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period. 
We highlight short changes in Xpeng, Xiaomi and Link Reit.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Xiaomi, Link Reit

China

Kuaishou Technology operates as a content community and social platform. The Company helps users create, upload and watch short videos on mobile devices. Kuaishou Technology offers services worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Kuaishou Technology (1024 HK)

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: 2024 High Conviction Idea: Two Scenarios Towards Year End

China growth equity faces geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 due to the US election, but a relief rally is expected in C1Q24. Blue Lotus prepared...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Dec 23); Meituan Dip-Buyings Leads Inflows; CNOOC Vs 941 on SOEs

Quiddity's SOUTHBOUND Connect Monitor: Large net buys on Meituan after the dip make up all of the last week's net buys. Other names see smaller...

Travis Lundy

Robosense Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - A Whole Lot of Potential

Robosense filed its PHIP for an HK listing over the weekend. We looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound weekly Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and we highlighted weekly flows for Meituan and Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Xiaomi, Link Reit

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 24th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, Xiaomi and Link Reit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Sector Update]: 2024 High Conviction Idea: Two Scenarios Towards Year End

​China growth equity faces geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 due to the US election, but a relief rally is expected in C1Q24. Blue Lotus prepared...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (To 1 Dec 23); Meituan Dip-Buyings Leads Inflows; CNOOC Vs 941 on SOEs

Quiddity's SOUTHBOUND Connect Monitor: Large net buys on Meituan after the dip make up all of the last week's net buys. Other names see smaller...

Travis Lundy

Robosense Technology Pre-IPO - The Positives - A Whole Lot of Potential

Robosense filed its PHIP for an HK listing over the weekend. We looked at the company's past performance in our earlier notes.

Sumeet Singh

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Dec 1st): Meituan, Tencent

We analyzed southbound weekly Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and we highlighted weekly flows for Meituan and Tencent.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Xpeng, Xiaomi, Link Reit

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Nov 24th and highlight short interest changes in Xpeng, Xiaomi and Link Reit.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

China growth equity faces geopolitical uncertainty in C3Q24 due to the US election, but a relief rally is expected in C1Q24. Blue Lotus prepared...