Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Kuaishou and Bilibili’s GMV surged YoY during “June 18” sales.</li>
<li>
World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King, will formally start on June 27.</li>
<li>GAC Honda Automobile Ltd planned to dismiss 1700 employees, about 14% of total.</li>
</ul>


Kuaishou and Bilibili’s GMV surged YoY during “June 18” sales.

World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King, will formally start on June 27.
GAC Honda Automobile Ltd planned to dismiss 1700 employees, about 14% of total.


China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook

Tracking developments across tech supply chains, Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

Tracking developments across tech supply chains

Guangzhou Automobile Group  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Groundhog Tech focuses on expanding 5G in SE Asia to drive growth in the region's tech industry</li><li>Skymizer introduces ET2 LPU and LLM system platform to enter the chip IP market and enhance its offerings</li><li>Samsung increases staff at Japan lab for chip packaging innovations, while Malaysia plans to invest in chip ecosystem development</li></ul>

Groundhog Tech focuses on expanding 5G in SE Asia to drive growth in the region's tech industrySkymizer introduces ET2 LPU and LLM system platform to enter the chip IP market and enhance its offeringsSamsung increases staff at Japan lab for chip packaging innovations, while Malaysia plans to invest in chip ecosystem development

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-May-2024): Groundhog Tech eyes SEA growth as 5G expands.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

<ul><li>GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.</li><li>We are more conservative than management about Aion’s sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.</li><li>We are of the view that Trumpchi’s PHEV solid sales growth could be overlooked by investors.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.We are more conservative than management about Aion’s sales volume and profitability, as we believe that Aion needs quality growth (brand upscale, overseas expansion etc.) in FY24E to lay out foundation for long-term development.We are of the view that Trumpchi’s PHEV solid sales growth could be overlooked by investors.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

GAC Group (2238 HK) - In-Line 1Q24 Earnings

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Guangzhou Automobile Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.</li>
<li>SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday 25-March, then started again. NORTHBOUND has started selling (but buying semi tech).</li>
<li>Hs rebounded vs As. AH Premia still wide. Fabulous two-week performance by the Quiddity Portfolio (+2.09% over the two weeks) on a delta 3:1 long H/short A</li>
</ul>


The New/Better A-H Premium Tracker has tables, charts, measures galore to track A/H premium positioning, southbound and northbound positioning/volatility in pairs over time, etc.
SOUTHBOUND's consecutive buying streak ended on Monday 25-March, then started again. NORTHBOUND has started selling (but buying semi tech).
Hs rebounded vs As. AH Premia still wide. Fabulous two-week performance by the Quiddity Portfolio (+2.09% over the two weeks) on a delta 3:1 long H/short A


A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Apr 2024):  Liquid AH Premia Still Very Wide, The Right Spreads Behaving

<ul>
<li>Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.</li>
<li>GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.</li>
<li>Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.</li>
</ul>


Xiaomi’s global market increased to 15% in 2Q24 compared with 13% in 2Q23.
GAC Aion began to be produced in Thailand to bypass the new tariff barriers from the US and the European Union.
Cotti Coffee plans to extend its “RMB9.90” sales to three years.


China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

China

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company Limited develops, manufactures, and markets mini cars, mini sedans, full size sedans, and engines.

Chongqing Changan Automobile Company (200625 CH)

Lifan Industry (Group) Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells motorcycles, cars and gasoline engines. The Company's major products include motorcycles, motorcycle engines, passenger cars, passenger car engines, gasoline engines and other terminal products such as generator sets, water pumps and lawn mowers.

Jiangling Motors Corp. Ltd. manufactures and sells vehicles and related components.  The Company's main products include JMC series trucks and pickups, and Transit series commercial buses.

BAIC Motor Corporation Limited designs, researches, develops, manufactures and sells a variety of passenger vehicles in China.

Dongfeng Motor Group Company Limited, through joint ventures, designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, automobiles, castings, and related spare parts.

China Automotive Engineering Research Institute Company Limited develops, manufactures and sells automotive products, provides consulting, automotive testing and evaluation services. The Company's main products include dump trucks, concrete mixer trucks, and sanitation trucks.

China Automotive Engg Rsrch Inst (601965 CH)

Beiqi Foton Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles and parts. The Company produces light trucks, medium trucks, heavy trucks, passenger cars, and engine parts. Beiqi Foton Motor also conducts automotive wholesale businesses domestically and internationally.

China Jialing Industrial Co., Ltd. Group manufactures and sells motorcycles and related engines.

China Jialing Industrial Co Ltd (Group) (600877 CH)

Dongfeng Automobile Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and markets diesel engines, light trucks, castings, and related spare parts.

Tianjin FAW Xiali Automobile Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets cars, gasoline engines, internal combustion engines, and other automobile parts.

Tianjin Faw Xiali Automobile Co, Ltd. (000927 CH)

MITSUBISHI MOTORS CORPORATION develops and manufactures passenger cars and its related parts.  The Company has production facilities in Japan, the US, and Thailand.  Mitsubishi Motors Corp provides vehicle-related financing and leasing service through its subsidiary.

Harley-Davidson, Inc. designs, manufactures, and sells motorcycles.  The Company's products include heavyweight touring, custom, and performance motorcycles, as well as a line of motorcycle parts, accessories, and general merchandise.  Harley-Davidson also provides motorcycle floor planning and parts and accessories financing to its North American and European dealers.

Yadea Group is a leading electric two wheeler brand in China. The company produces electric bikes and scooters.

Tofas Turk Otomobil Fabrikasi AS manufactures cars and automobile parts under license from Fiat.  The Group also imports Alfa Romeo and Fiat cars for domestic market and provides financing services.

Brilliance China Automotive Holdings Limited, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes minibuses and sedans in the People's Republic of China.  The Company also manufactures and trades automotive components.

China Motor Corporation manufactures and markets trucks, vans, cars, and related parts and accessories.  The Company also has joint venture operations with Mitsubishi.

Sanyang Motor Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automobiles, motorcycles, and parts. The Company also provides related technical and consulting services.

Thor Industries, Inc. produces and sells a wide range of recreation vehicles.  The Company markets its products through independent dealers located throughout the United States and Canada.  Thor's products are sold under the Airstream Classic, Dutchmen, Skamper, Infinity, Four Winds, Citation, Signature, and other names.

Yulon Motor Co., Ltd. designs, manufactures, and sells motor vehicles and parts. The Company produces automobiles and trucks in a joint venture with Nissan Motor Company and operates dealerships throughout Taiwan.

Mazda Motor Corporation manufactures and sells automobiles, trucks, auto parts, and its accessories.  The Company operates its business worldwide.

Guangzhou Automobile Group Company, Ltd. manufactures, sells, and services automobiles. The Company is also involved in automobile parts and components, and auto finance and related services for both overseas and domestic markets.

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Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)

China Consumption Weekly (24 Jun 2024): Kuaishou, Bilibili, NetEase, GAC, Honda Motor, Chow Tai Fook

Kuaishou and Bilibili’s GMV surged YoY during “June 18” sales. World of Warcraft: Wrath of the Lich King, will formally start on June 27. GAC Honda...

Ming Lu

Tech Supply Chain Tracker (31-May-2024): Groundhog Tech eyes SEA growth as 5G expands.

Groundhog Tech, Skymizer, Samsung, Himax, China, BC Award, Malaysia, and Coherent face key developments in chip technology and investments,...

Tech Supply Chain Tracker

GAC Group (2238 HK) - In-Line 1Q24 Earnings

GAC Group (GAC)’s 1Q24 results were largely in line with our prior estimates and we maintain our FY24E net profit forecast of RMB5.4bn.

CMB International

A/H Premium Tracker (To 12 Apr 2024): Liquid AH Premia Still Very Wide, The Right Spreads Behaving

"The right trades" bounced back dramatically from the week before the "quiet week" to now. The delta-neutral Quiddity Portfolio gained 2+%. AH...

Travis Lundy

China Consumption Weekly (2024 Jul 22): Xiaomi, Guangzhou Automobile, NIO, AAPL, Starbucks

Xiaomi’s global market share increased to 15% in 2Q24 from 13% in 2Q23. GAC Aion began to produce in Thailand. Cotti Coffee extended its sales to...

Ming Lu

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