Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.</li>
<li>Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.</li>
<li>With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 Index</a>, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.</li>
</ul>


The KRX announced the 100 constituents of the much-awaited Korea Value-Up Index on 24 September. There were hits and misses but broad consensus was that the index is a miss.
Following market feedback, the KRX could conduct a special rebalance of the index in December. But this could be after the launch of ETFs tracking the index.
With a big overlap and similar characteristics as the KOSPI 200 Index, there could be limited assets benchmarked to the Korea Value-Up Index in the short-term.


Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>While the short-selling ban for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">KOSPI 200 INDEX</a> will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.</li>
<li>Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.</li>
<li>Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.</li>
</ul>


While the short-selling ban for the KOSPI 200 INDEX will remain in place until the first months of 2025, that does not prevent the index from pulling back.
Pullbacks, in this context, are an opportunity to buy, in the hope the index will rise higher from its current position.
Our models right now are showing a short-term WEEKLY OVERBOUGHT scenario coming in the next 2 weeks. Keep reading for more details.


Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Investment Research - Asia Consumer Sector

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Equity Capital Markets

Hyundai Motor India  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (HMIL)</a> 's USD 3 billion+ IPO opens today, 15th October, at 10:00 am IST. The bidding will remain open until 4:30 pm IST on 17th October.</li>
<li>
Near-Term Outlook: Limited Short-Term Gain Potential. While Hyundai is likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki given the valuation discount, it may underperform the broader sector in the near term.</li>
<li>
Long-Term Opportunity: For investors with a longer-term horizon, Hyundai presents a relatively low-risk opportunity. Its established brand and world-class manufacturing facilities offer the potential for steady, long-term growth.</li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) 's USD 3 billion+ IPO opens today, 15th October, at 10:00 am IST. The bidding will remain open until 4:30 pm IST on 17th October.

Near-Term Outlook: Limited Short-Term Gain Potential. While Hyundai is likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki given the valuation discount, it may underperform the broader sector in the near term.

Long-Term Opportunity: For investors with a longer-term horizon, Hyundai presents a relatively low-risk opportunity. Its established brand and world-class manufacturing facilities offer the potential for steady, long-term growth.


Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX stocks as of Oct 11th which has an aggregated holding worth USD532.4bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD61mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight changes of foreign holdings in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics, Samsung Elec (PREF).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-india-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:40900:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN)</a>, a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hyundai-motor-co-44d5ac4e-94e3-4be9-b34f-5f3155e7a3d6" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26936:1" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor (005385 KS)</a>, aims to raise up to US$3.3 billion at a valuation of US$19 billion. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-motor-india-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:151701" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/hyundai-motor-india-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:152017" rel="noopener">Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case</a>. In this note, we examine RHP.</li>
<li>The RHP shows that the positives (recovering lost market share, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile) more than offset the negatives (bottom-quartile growth). </li>
</ul>



Hyundai Motor India (1342Z IN), a subsidiary of Hyundai Motor (005385 KS), aims to raise up to US$3.3 billion at a valuation of US$19 billion. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bull Case and Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Bear Case. In this note, we examine RHP.
The RHP shows that the positives (recovering lost market share, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile) more than offset the negatives (bottom-quartile growth). 


Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Investment Case

South Korea

Kia Corporation manufactures, sells, and exports passenger cars, mini-buses, trucks and commercial vehicles. The Company also manufactures auto-parts and tools using hybrid electric and fuel cell technology. Kia markets its products worldwide.

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Kia Corp (000270 KS)

Korea Value-Up Index: Estimated Passive Flows as ETF Launches Coming

The Korea Value-Up Index is very similar to the KOSPI200 Index. That could mean not a lot of passive assets tracking the index. Stocks with the...

Brian Freitas

EQD | KOSPI 200 May Pullback Soon...

Pullbacks on the KOSPI 200 INDEX are currently a buy opportunity, given the short-selling ban still in place. We predict a short-term WEEKLY...

Nico Rosti

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Good, The Bad and The Valuation. Not for Quick Gain Seekers

HMIL likely to outperform Maruti Suzuki thanks to Valuation discount but both may underperform broader sector in the near term. Limited short term...

Devi Subhakesan

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (Oct 11th): Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung Electronics

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Sk Hynix, Hanwha Aerospace, Korzinc, Samsung...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hyundai Motor India IPO: The Investment Case

The RHP shows that the positives (recovering lost market share, top-quartile operating and FCF margin profile) more than offset the negatives...

Arun George

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