External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>FX Market Update —The USD remains firm after yesterday gains.</li><li>US Treasurys remain under pressure following the Fitch news and, perhaps more especially, the US Treasury refunding announcement which highlighted a significant increase in supply over the coming year —even though this would not have been a surprise for the Treasury market.</li><li>Weak Treasurys are weighing on global yields and extending pressure on stocks.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Market Update —The USD remains firm after yesterday gains.US Treasurys remain under pressure following the Fitch news and, perhaps more especially, the US Treasury refunding announcement which highlighted a significant increase in supply over the coming year —even though this would not have been a surprise for the Treasury market.Weak Treasurys are weighing on global yields and extending pressure on stocks.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Supported by Rising Yields

<ul><li>Fitch’s announcement late yesterday that it was cutting the US sovereign credit rating by one notch to AA+ caught the market by surprise.</li><li>The decision was unexpected, even though the agency had put the US on ratings watch negative back in May.</li><li>S&amp;P Global cut its sovereign rating for the US back in 2011 and was widely criticized for the decision then. The Fitch downgrade has also been criticized, with Treasury Sec.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Fitch’s announcement late yesterday that it was cutting the US sovereign credit rating by one notch to AA+ caught the market by surprise.The decision was unexpected, even though the agency had put the US on ratings watch negative back in May.S&amp;P Global cut its sovereign rating for the US back in 2011 and was widely criticized for the decision then. The Fitch downgrade has also been criticized, with Treasury Sec.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Snapshot - Fitch Ratings Cut Not Fatal, but Not Good for the USD

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In our “out of the box” series, we aim at being ahead of the current consensus narrative and think of the next theme that could drive price action before anyone else has given it any noteworthy attention.</li>
<li>This week we look at four reasons why the curve steepener is now the trend to watch! There are four reasons for the USD curve steepening now</li>
<li>The issuance profile will move towards longer durations, the BoJ decision has decreased Japanese incentives to buy USTs, the Manufacturing rebound will add to steepening pressures, positioning is already loaded with duration</li>
</ul>


In our “out of the box” series, we aim at being ahead of the current consensus narrative and think of the next theme that could drive price action before anyone else has given it any noteworthy attention.
This week we look at four reasons why the curve steepener is now the trend to watch! There are four reasons for the USD curve steepening now
The issuance profile will move towards longer durations, the BoJ decision has decreased Japanese incentives to buy USTs, the Manufacturing rebound will add to steepening pressures, positioning is already loaded with duration


Out of the Box #14: 4 Reasons Why Curve Steepening Is Now on the Cards

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>A credit downgrade of the US sovereign debt amidst a steepening of global curves triggered by the Bank of Japan finally making mini-steps towards normalization of monetary policy.</li>
<li>Macro never fails to surprise and here is how we view the five most present topics in global macro.</li>
<li>This week we are watching the following 5 topics within global macro: you can find in depth research pieces on all topics on the links below or just read our brief summary in this article.</li>
</ul>


A credit downgrade of the US sovereign debt amidst a steepening of global curves triggered by the Bank of Japan finally making mini-steps towards normalization of monetary policy.
Macro never fails to surprise and here is how we view the five most present topics in global macro.
This week we are watching the following 5 topics within global macro: you can find in depth research pieces on all topics on the links below or just read our brief summary in this article.


5 Things We Watch: Downgrades, Cyclicals, Oil, JGBs and GDP/GDI

<ul>
<li>The change to the YCC-policy in Japan caught a majority of investors off guard, but so did the subsequent flows and moves in Japanese markets.</li>
<li>We kept reiterating that JGB yield risks were to the upside, while the JPY could see downside, which is exactly what has happened.</li>
<li>In this piece, we will try to elaborate on why that is and why we see a slow grind to 1% in 10yr JGB yields alongside a move in USDJPY to +150 territory.</li>
</ul>


The change to the YCC-policy in Japan caught a majority of investors off guard, but so did the subsequent flows and moves in Japanese markets.
We kept reiterating that JGB yield risks were to the upside, while the JPY could see downside, which is exactly what has happened.
In this piece, we will try to elaborate on why that is and why we see a slow grind to 1% in 10yr JGB yields alongside a move in USDJPY to +150 territory.


Japan Watch: Flows in JPY and JGBs after the YCC decision

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

FX Daily - USD Supported by Rising Yields

FX Market Update —The USD remains firm after yesterday gains. US Treasurys remain under pressure following the Fitch news and, perhaps more...

Scotiabank

FX Snapshot - Fitch Ratings Cut Not Fatal, but Not Good for the USD

Fitch’s announcement late yesterday that it was cutting the US sovereign credit rating by one notch to AA+ caught the market by surprise.

Scotiabank

Out of the Box #14: 4 Reasons Why Curve Steepening Is Now on the Cards

In our “out of the box” series, we aim at being ahead of the current consensus narrative and think of the next theme that could drive price action...

Steno Research

5 Things We Watch: Downgrades, Cyclicals, Oil, JGBs and GDP/GDI

A credit downgrade of the US sovereign debt amidst a steepening of global curves triggered by the Bank of Japan finally making mini-steps towards...

Steno Research

Japan Watch: Flows in JPY and JGBs after the YCC decision

The change to the YCC-policy in Japan caught a majority of investors off guard, but so did the subsequent flows and moves in Japanese markets. We...

Steno Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)