Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Happy Sunday from Copenhagen and welcome to our flagship editorial.</li><li>The cyclical rotation continues in markets, but interest rates have to a certain extent been out of sync with the business cycle for a while.</li><li>The yield curve inverted during the summer of 2022, but we are yet to see a recession in the US economy, which is a bit out of the ordinary given the typical validity of the yield curve inversion signal.</li></ul>

Happy Sunday from Copenhagen and welcome to our flagship editorial.The cyclical rotation continues in markets, but interest rates have to a certain extent been out of sync with the business cycle for a while.The yield curve inverted during the summer of 2022, but we are yet to see a recession in the US economy, which is a bit out of the ordinary given the typical validity of the yield curve inversion signal.

Steno Signals #89: Major Twist to QE Upcoming?

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

<ul>
<li>Bitcoin rose nearly 20% this week, and the impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs is huge, but with a twist.</li>
<li>This week's US personal income data provides yet another chart showing that the recession is already behind us. But will the US consumer keep spending?</li>
<li>That new The Economist cover does not bode well for stocks, but the moving average does. Yet, sentiment remains in Frenzy.</li>
</ul>


Bitcoin rose nearly 20% this week, and the impact of spot Bitcoin ETFs is huge, but with a twist.
This week's US personal income data provides yet another chart showing that the recession is already behind us. But will the US consumer keep spending?
That new The Economist cover does not bode well for stocks, but the moving average does. Yet, sentiment remains in Frenzy.


The Weekly Market Monitor – Please Give a Warm Welcome to BITCOIN

<ul><li>The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt up.</li><li>Welcome to our weekly Portfolio Watch, where we assess the tradeable themes and discuss our portfolio composition.</li><li>In this revamped version of the series, we will touch upon the developments in our Macro Alpha Portfolio and our Digital Assets Portfolio.</li></ul>

The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt up.Welcome to our weekly Portfolio Watch, where we assess the tradeable themes and discuss our portfolio composition.In this revamped version of the series, we will touch upon the developments in our Macro Alpha Portfolio and our Digital Assets Portfolio.

Portfolio Watch: What if We Add a Rate Cut to This Fire..

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Scotiabank

Scotiabank

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Scotiabank’s global foreign exchange strategy team provides in-depth regional insights and macro-economic analysis for G10 and advanced economies, Asia Pacific, and Latin America. Find technical and fundamental strategy reports focused on trade ideas, market risks, and the unfolding macro outlook. Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

FX & Rates

<ul><li>Major currencies are narrowly mixed for the most part in quiet trade ahead of today’s US data releases.</li><li>The exception is the JPY which is reflecting a relatively decent (0.5%) gain on the USD following comments last night from BoJ Governor Takata.</li><li>He commented that the central bank’s price target was “finally coming into sight”, suggesting the BoJ may be closer to a rate hike. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Major currencies are narrowly mixed for the most part in quiet trade ahead of today’s US data releases.The exception is the JPY which is reflecting a relatively decent (0.5%) gain on the USD following comments last night from BoJ Governor Takata.He commented that the central bank’s price target was “finally coming into sight”, suggesting the BoJ may be closer to a rate hike. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

FX Daily - USD Mixed Ahead of PCE data, JPY Firmer

<ul><li>Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.</li><li>Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.</li><li>Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Non-commercial (speculative) sentiment favouring the USD moderated slightly in the past week’s data.Speculative, aggregate net USD longs edged a little lower in the most recent week’s data to USD832mn, down just under USD600mn from the prior week’s report.Additional data showed Real Money (institutional traders) paring aggregate USD shorts by around USD5bn in the week while Leveraged Accounts (hedge funds) cut limited aggregate exposure to the USD long side down from USD2.8bn in the prior week to an all but flat USD400mn. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

Japan

The Japanese yen is the official currency of Japan. 

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JPY (USDJPY CURNCY)

Steno Signals #89: Major Twist to QE Upcoming?

Happy Sunday from Copenhagen and welcome to our flagship editorial. The cyclical rotation continues in markets, but interest rates have to a...

Steno Research

The Weekly Market Monitor – Please Give a Warm Welcome to BITCOIN

Welcome to the Weekly Market Monitor, keeping you updated on the week's most important charts and developments in financial markets.

Jeroen Blokland

Portfolio Watch: What if We Add a Rate Cut to This Fire..

The cyclical rotation is slowly but slowly rolling and if central banks add rate cuts to this mix, we are staring directly into the melt...

Steno Research

FX Daily - USD Mixed Ahead of PCE data, JPY Firmer

He commented that the central bank’s price target was “finally coming into sight”, suggesting the BoJ may be closer to a rate hike.

Scotiabank

Weekly CFTC Sentiment Report - Bullish USD Sentiment Moderates

Waning speculative USD sentiment reflects trends in other indicators suggesting that the improvement in the broad USD tone since the start of the...

Scotiabank

Price Gauge

52-week Range

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