IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>In <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/i-tail-corporation-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:83568" rel="noopener">I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case</a></strong></em>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. </li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the peak and declining FCF margin. </li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.
In I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case. 
The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the peak and declining FCF margin. 


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/i-tail-corp-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36428:1" rel="noopener">I-Tail (ITC TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.</li>
<li>I-Tail is one of the largest original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for wet cat &amp; dog food in Asia, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among peers.</li>
</ul>



I-Tail (ITC TB), Thai Union Group (TU TB)’s pet care division, has started pre-marketing an up to US$600 million SET IPO, according to press reports.
I-Tail is one of the largest original equipment manufacturers (OEMs) for wet cat &amp; dog food in Asia, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among peers.


Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>. </li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB). 
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance and undertaken a peer comparison. In this note, we talk about valuations.


I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

<ul>
<li>I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-union-group-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:161:1" rel="noopener">Thai Union Group (TU TB)</a>. </li>
<li>As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.</li>
</ul>


I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group (TU TB). 
As per ITC, it was the number two pet food company in Asia and in the top ten pet food companies globally. ITC expertise lies in fish-based wet pet food.
In our previous notes, we have looked at the company’s past performance. In this note, we undertake a peer comparison.


I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Following panic selling that we have outlined over the past month, we finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE.</li>
<li>There is hope that this panic buying could signal a major bottom, but we still need to see more confirmation before declaring that the low is in.</li>
<li>We are watching the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and the steep RS uptrends on Utilities (XLU) and Staples (XLP) for more confirmation that a major low is in place. Details below.</li>
</ul>


Following panic selling that we have outlined over the past month, we finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE.
There is hope that this panic buying could signal a major bottom, but we still need to see more confirmation before declaring that the low is in.
We are watching the Nasdaq 100 (QQQ) and the steep RS uptrends on Utilities (XLU) and Staples (XLP) for more confirmation that a major low is in place. Details below.


Panic Buying Achieved, Waiting for More Confirmation of a Bottom;Buying Staples & Auto Dealers/Parts

United States

The JM Smucker Company manufactures and markets food products on a worldwide basis. The Company's principal products include peanut butter, shortening and oils, fruit spreads, canned milk, baking mixes and ready-to-spread frostings, flour and baking ingredients, juices and beverages, frozen sandwiches, dessert toppings, syrups, pickles and condiments, and potato side dishes.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Jm Smucker Co (SJM US)

I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on its under-representation in the dog food category (largest pet food category), margins at or near the...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation IPO: The Bull Case

The key elements of the bull case rest on strong top-line growth, market share gains, ambitious growth plans and the highest margin profile among...

Arun George

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

I-Tail Corporation, an original equipment manufacturer (OEM) in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of...

Sumeet Singh

I-Tail Corporation Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison

I-Tail Corporation, an OEM in the wet pet food category, aims to list in Thailand in 4Q22. ITC is a subsidiary of Thai Union Group. In this note,...

Sumeet Singh

Panic Buying Achieved, Waiting for More Confirmation of a Bottom;Buying Staples & Auto Dealers/Parts

We finally saw panic buying last Friday in the form of 92% upside volume on the NYSE. There is hope that this panic buying could signal that a...

Vermilion Research

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)