Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst, Pennock Idea Hub

Cam Hui

Cross-Asset Strategist & Quantitative Analyst

Pennock Idea Hub

We are creators of independent equity research. The Pennock Idea Hub team are veterans of the investment industry. Much of our team has spent their careers at Merrill Lynch, Deutsche Bank, RBC Capital Markets and Wood Gundy. We have taken every aspect of research back to the studs and returned to first principles. The Pennock Idea Hub marries the interests of the sell and buy side. 

We offer the best research for institutional investors by:

-Only publishing research from veteran analysts
-Eliminate the inherent conflicts of the traditional sell and buy side relationship
-Ensure our team is always accessible; collaboration with clients nurtures our collective success

Cross-Asset & Quantitative Research

Technical Analysis

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Our base-case scenario calls for a period of minor weakness in the S&amp;P 500 or sideways consolidation, marked by a rolling correction.</li>
<li>A review of market internals reveals weakness in growth stocks and better performance by value and cyclical stocks.</li>
<li>The risk is a major scare in the extended growth names which drag down the S&amp;P 500 further than we expect.</li>
</ul>


Our base-case scenario calls for a period of minor weakness in the S&amp;P 500 or sideways consolidation, marked by a rolling correction.
A review of market internals reveals weakness in growth stocks and better performance by value and cyclical stocks.
The risk is a major scare in the extended growth names which drag down the S&amp;P 500 further than we expect.


<ul>
<li>We believe the current AI-driven rally has a long way to run. Market mania tops are characterized by excessive froth, which is not in evidence today.</li>
<li>In the short run, price momentum in technology stocks is faltering, and these stocks can pull back at any time.</li>
<li>We would regard any pullback in these stocks as a buying opportunity.</li>
</ul>


We believe the current AI-driven rally has a long way to run. Market mania tops are characterized by excessive froth, which is not in evidence today.
In the short run, price momentum in technology stocks is faltering, and these stocks can pull back at any time.
We would regard any pullback in these stocks as a buying opportunity.


Why This AI Bull Is Nothing Like the NASDAQ in 2000

HarmoniQ Insights

William Mann

Independent Insight Provider

At HarmoniQ Insights, we empower investors to enhance their investment strategies by integrating cutting-edge quantitative research processes and technologies. Our solutions provide access to leading quantitative data providers and services, tailored to align with each client’s unique goals. By bridging the gap between traditional investment approaches and advanced data-driven methods, we help clients gain a competitive edge through innovation in both process and technology.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>
Strong YTD performance with volatility: Systematic quantitative equity strategies have strong but volatile performance in 2024, with momentum and reversal factors driving returns, particularly in U.S. technology (AI sectors).</li>
<li>
Key macroeconomic drivers: Interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, geopolitical tensions (especially involving China), and the upcoming U.S. Presidential election will be major catalysts influencing equity markets through year-end.</li>
<li>
Sector-Specific opportunities: AI-driven tech and consumer discretionary stocks benefit from rate cuts, but overvaluation risks persist. Value and quality sectors in Europe and defensive strategies (e.g. reversal) hedge market corrections.</li>
</ul>



Strong YTD performance with volatility: Systematic quantitative equity strategies have strong but volatile performance in 2024, with momentum and reversal factors driving returns, particularly in U.S. technology (AI sectors).

Key macroeconomic drivers: Interest rate decisions from the Federal Reserve, geopolitical tensions (especially involving China), and the upcoming U.S. Presidential election will be major catalysts influencing equity markets through year-end.

Sector-Specific opportunities: AI-driven tech and consumer discretionary stocks benefit from rate cuts, but overvaluation risks persist. Value and quality sectors in Europe and defensive strategies (e.g. reversal) hedge market corrections.


Systematic Quantitative Equity Strategies Outlook: 9/15/24 – Year-End

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors, Fabricated Knowledge

Douglas O'Laughlin

Equity Long-Short, Semiconductors

Fabricated Knowledge

Learn more about the world's most important manufactured product. Meaningful insight, timely analysis, and an occasional investment idea.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>Markets always act erratically, but I thought I would highlight one aspect that disproportionately impacts semiconductors.</li><li>Factor investing is not new, but we are in a unique period where Momentum has quite a period of outperformance and short-term outperformance.</li><li>This matters because semiconductors are (as far as my memory holds) the most significant weight in Momentum I’ve ever witnessed. </li></ul>

Markets always act erratically, but I thought I would highlight one aspect that disproportionately impacts semiconductors.Factor investing is not new, but we are in a unique period where Momentum has quite a period of outperformance and short-term outperformance.This matters because semiconductors are (as far as my memory holds) the most significant weight in Momentum I’ve ever witnessed. 

Crypto Research and Data, Delphi Digital

Delphi Digital

Crypto Research and Data

Institutional-Grade Crypto Research & Data

Delphi Digital seeks to produce unbiased, actionable content for our clients on critical themes affecting digital assets and distributed ledger technology. Our team is committed to providing investors and institutions with key insights through a diverse suite of products including individual project analysis, bespoke research, and tailored consulting services.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Coinbase sees the looming opportunity in the global crypto futures &amp; derivatives market. It's positioning itself to capitalize on a market that’s been hollowed out over last 12-18 months.</li>
<li>We explore 3 key areas of Coinbase’s business that we believe Wall Street is overlooking. These include: Coinbase International, ETF Spot approvals, and Base Chain</li>
<li>We estimate Coinbase has the potential to realize additional top-line revenue in the range of 15-20% on the low-end to +150% increase on the high-end over the next few years.</li>
</ul>


Coinbase sees the looming opportunity in the global crypto futures &amp; derivatives market. It's positioning itself to capitalize on a market that’s been hollowed out over last 12-18 months.
We explore 3 key areas of Coinbase’s business that we believe Wall Street is overlooking. These include: Coinbase International, ETF Spot approvals, and Base Chain
We estimate Coinbase has the potential to realize additional top-line revenue in the range of 15-20% on the low-end to +150% increase on the high-end over the next few years.


Coinbase: From Sleeping Giant To Industry Leader

United States

Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 is an exchange-traded fund incorporated in the USA. The ETF tracks the Nasdaq 100 Index includes 100 of the largest non-financial companies by market cap listed on Nasdaq. The Index reflects companies across major industry groups including computer hardware and software, telecommunications, retail/wholesale trade and biotechnology.

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Invesco QQQ Trust Series 1 (QQQ US)

A Hindenburg Moment For Growth Stocks?

Our base-case scenario calls for a period of minor weakness in the S&P 500 or sideways consolidation, marked by a rolling correction.

Cam Hui

Why This AI Bull Is Nothing Like the NASDAQ in 2000

We believe the current AI-driven rally has a long way to run. Market mania tops are characterized by excessive froth, which is not in evidence today.

Cam Hui

Systematic Quantitative Equity Strategies Outlook: 9/15/24 – Year-End

Design a tactical, long-tilted portfolio to express systematic investing outlook with long-short Smart-Beta, Sector and Region-Specific ETFs.

William Mann

Factors and Semiconductors

A friendly warning. Momentum is outperforming all factors this year, and Semiconductors are a large part of that. Markets always act erratically,...

Fabricated Knowledge

Coinbase: From Sleeping Giant To Industry Leader

Coinbase plans to seize the opportunity in the crypto futures market, with potential for significant revenue growth in the coming years. Wall...

Delphi Digital

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

A Hindenburg Moment For Growth Stocks?

Our base-case scenario calls for a period of minor weakness in the S&P 500 or sideways consolidation, marked by a rolling correction.

Cam Hui

Why This AI Bull Is Nothing Like the NASDAQ in 2000

We believe the current AI-driven rally has a long way to run. Market mania tops are characterized by excessive froth, which is not in evidence today.

Cam Hui

Systematic Quantitative Equity Strategies Outlook: 9/15/24 – Year-End

Design a tactical, long-tilted portfolio to express systematic investing outlook with long-short Smart-Beta, Sector and Region-Specific ETFs.

William Mann

Factors and Semiconductors

A friendly warning. Momentum is outperforming all factors this year, and Semiconductors are a large part of that. Markets always act erratically,...

Fabricated Knowledge

Coinbase: From Sleeping Giant To Industry Leader

​Coinbase plans to seize the opportunity in the crypto futures market, with potential for significant revenue growth in the coming years. Wall...

Delphi Digital

Coinbase plans to seize the opportunity in the crypto futures market, with potential for significant revenue growth in the coming years. Wall...