IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

JD Health International  / Equity Capital Markets

<div>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a> is the largest online healthcare platform and the largest online retail pharmacy by revenue in China in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</p>
<div><p>At the proposed IPO price range of HK$62.80-70.58 per share, JD Health will have a market cap of $25.3-28.5 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total proceeds are HK$25,469 million ($3.3 billion). Six cornerstone investors will subscribe for $1.35 billion worth of the offer shares. The cornerstone investors include GIC, Hillhouse Capital and BlackRock. </p></div>
</div><div><div><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-initiation-e-ppointments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45106" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO Initiation: E-Ppointments</a>, we opined that JD Health’s fundamentals suggest that it is an attractive play on China’s online healthcare platform industry. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-phip-new-data-points-and-peer-comparison" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45377" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO: PHIP New Data Points and Peer Comparison</a>, we stated that the new data points disclosed in the PHIP along with our peer analysis reinforce our view that JD Health has attractive fundamentals. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.</p></div></div></div>


JD Health (6618 HK) is the largest online healthcare platform and the largest online retail pharmacy by revenue in China in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
At the proposed IPO price range of HK$62.80-70.58 per share, JD Health will have a market cap of $25.3-28.5 billion. At the mid-point of the IPO price range, the total proceeds are HK$25,469 million ($3.3 billion). Six cornerstone investors will subscribe for $1.35 billion worth of the offer shares. The cornerstone investors include GIC, Hillhouse Capital and BlackRock. 
In JD Health IPO Initiation: E-Ppointments, we opined that JD Health’s fundamentals suggest that it is an attractive play on China’s online healthcare platform industry. In JD Health IPO: PHIP New Data Points and Peer Comparison, we stated that the new data points disclosed in the PHIP along with our peer analysis reinforce our view that JD Health has attractive fundamentals. Overall, we would participate in the IPO due to an attractive IPO price range.

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a> , the largest online healthcare platform and retail pharmacy in China has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Reuters reported today that according to a term sheet obtained by them, JD Health is seeking to raise up to US$3.5bn by selling 381.9m shares at an indicative price range of HK$62.8-70.58 per share.</p><p>The greenshoe option includes the sale of further 15% of the company’s shares which would raise the total IPO proceeds to about US$4bn. The initial size of the deal represents 12.2% of JD Health’s enlarged share capital and at the midpoint of the IPO price of HK$66.69 per share, the company will have a valuation of US$25.6bn.</p><table class="table table-striped"><tbody>
<tr><td colspan="2" style="width: 240.0pt;"><p style="text-align: center;"><strong>JD Health International IPO Details</strong></p></td></tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>No. of Shares Issued (m)</p></td>
<td style="width: 60.0pt;"><p style="text-align: right;">381.9</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>IPO Price (HK$)</p></td>
<td style="width: 60.0pt;"><p style="text-align: right;">62.8-70.58</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Offer as a % Total Outstanding Shares</p></td>
<td style="width: 60.0pt;"><p style="text-align: right;">12.20%</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Total Shares Outstanding (m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>         3,130.3</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Gross Proceeds (HK$m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>      25,468.9</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Gross Proceeds (US$m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>         3,280.8</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Market Capitalisation (HK$m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>    208,761.6</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Market Capitalisation (US$m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>      26,891.6</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Enterprise Value (HK$m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>    199,039.3</p></td>
</tr>
<tr>
<td style="width: 180.0pt;"><p>Enterprise Value (US$m)</p></td>
<td style="text-align: right; width: 60pt;"><p>      25,639.2</p></td>
</tr>
</tbody></table><div class="content-caption"><em>Source: Company Disclosures, Reuters, LSR (gross proceeds, market cap and EV are based on the midpoint of the IPO price of HK$66.69 per share, EV is after adjusting for net cash as of Sep 2020)</em></div><p><em>Read our previous insights on the company's IPO:</em></p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-pre-ipo-poised-to-benefit-from-structural-changes-in-healthcare-in-china-and-the-pandemic" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44220" rel="noopener">JD Health Pre-IPO: Poised to Benefit from Structural Changes in Healthcare in China and the Pandemic</a> </p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-reveals-jd-health-s-financials-are-stronger-than-competition" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:44876" rel="noopener">JD Health Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison Reveals JD Health’s Financials Are Stronger than Competition</a> </p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-phip-data-re-affirms-our-positive-view-on-the-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45425" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO: PHIP Data Re-Affirms Our Positive View on the Company</a> </p>

JD Health (6618 HK) , the largest online healthcare platform and retail pharmacy in China has filed for an IPO to list its shares on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange. Reuters reported today that according to a term sheet obtained by them, JD Health is seeking to raise up to US$3.5bn by selling 381.9m shares at an indicative price range of HK$62.8-70.58 per share.The greenshoe option includes the sale of further 15% of the company’s shares which would raise the total IPO proceeds to about US$4bn. The initial size of the deal represents 12.2% of JD Health’s enlarged share capital and at the midpoint of the IPO price of HK$66.69 per share, the company will have a valuation of US$25.6bn.
JD Health International IPO Details

No. of Shares Issued (m)
381.9


IPO Price (HK$)
62.8-70.58


Offer as a % Total Outstanding Shares
12.20%


Total Shares Outstanding (m)
         3,130.3


Gross Proceeds (HK$m)
      25,468.9


Gross Proceeds (US$m)
         3,280.8


Market Capitalisation (HK$m)
    208,761.6


Market Capitalisation (US$m)
      26,891.6


Enterprise Value (HK$m)
    199,039.3


Enterprise Value (US$m)
      25,639.2

Source: Company Disclosures, Reuters, LSR (gross proceeds, market cap and EV are based on the midpoint of the IPO price of HK$66.69 per share, EV is after adjusting for net cash as of Sep 2020)Read our previous insights on the company's IPO:JD Health Pre-IPO: Poised to Benefit from Structural Changes in Healthcare in China and the Pandemic JD Health Pre-IPO: Peer Comparison Reveals JD Health’s Financials Are Stronger than Competition JD Health IPO: PHIP Data Re-Affirms Our Positive View on the Company 

JD Health IPO: Attractive Even at High End on Cheapness and Gearing to Healthcare Transformation

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhen Zhou, Toh

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (6618 HK)</a> (JDH) is looking to raise about US$3.47bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO </p><p>JDH’s retail pharmacy and online healthcare services form a strong, closed loop, end-to-end healthcare ecosystem that is well-positioned to benefit from the digitalization of China’s healthcare system. It has an extensive network of online and offline pharmacies which is expanding into offering more online healthcare services. Revenue has been strong in the past three years and it has accelerated further due to COVID-19. </p><p>We will share our final thoughts on valuation and deal dynamics.</p><p>Our previous coverage of the IPO:</p><ul style="list-style-type: disc;">
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-pre-ipo-well-positioned-to-ride-china-s-healthcare-digitalization" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:43711" rel="noopener">JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Well-Positioned to Ride China’s Healthcare Digitalization</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-pre-ipo-peer-comparison-it-s-a-close-fight-and-competition-is-intensifying" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45062" rel="noopener">JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - It's a Close Fight and Competition Is Intensifying</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-pre-ipo-assumptions-and-valuations" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45266" rel="noopener">JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Assumptions and Valuations</a> </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-pre-ipo-updates-from-phip-fine-tuning-forecasts" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45368" rel="noopener">JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Updates from PHIP - Fine-Tuning Forecasts</a> </li>
</ul>

JD Health (6618 HK) (JDH) is looking to raise about US$3.47bn in its upcoming Hong Kong IPO JDH’s retail pharmacy and online healthcare services form a strong, closed loop, end-to-end healthcare ecosystem that is well-positioned to benefit from the digitalization of China’s healthcare system. It has an extensive network of online and offline pharmacies which is expanding into offering more online healthcare services. Revenue has been strong in the past three years and it has accelerated further due to COVID-19. We will share our final thoughts on valuation and deal dynamics.Our previous coverage of the IPO:

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Well-Positioned to Ride China’s Healthcare Digitalization 

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Peer Comparison - It's a Close Fight and Competition Is Intensifying 

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Assumptions and Valuations 

JD Health (京东健康) Pre-IPO - Updates from PHIP - Fine-Tuning Forecasts 


JD Health (京东健康) IPO - Paying to Ride the Early Innings of Healthcare Transformation

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-health-international" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29677:1" rel="noopener">JD Health (JDH HK)</a> is the largest online healthcare platform and the largest online retail pharmacy by revenue in China in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JD Health is seeking to raise $4 billion at a $29 billion valuation, according to IFR. The rumoured valuation is a significant increase to the August 2020 Series B round - a raise of $914 million at a $19.2 billion valuation. </p><div class="content-highlight"><p>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-initiation-e-ppointments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45106" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO Initiation: E-Ppointments</a>, we opined that JD Health’s fundamentals suggest that it is an attractive play on China’s online healthcare platform industry. In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-health-ipo-phip-new-data-points-and-peer-comparison" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45377" rel="noopener">JD Health IPO: PHIP New Data Points and Peer Comparison</a>, we stated that the new data points disclosed in the PHIP along with our peer analysis reinforce our view that JD Health has attractive fundamentals. In this note, we take a first look at JD Health's valuation. Overall, based on valuation analysis, we think that the rumoured IPO valuation can be justified.</p></div>

JD Health (JDH HK) is the largest online healthcare platform and the largest online retail pharmacy by revenue in China in 2019, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan. JD Health is seeking to raise $4 billion at a $29 billion valuation, according to IFR. The rumoured valuation is a significant increase to the August 2020 Series B round - a raise of $914 million at a $19.2 billion valuation. In JD Health IPO Initiation: E-Ppointments, we opined that JD Health’s fundamentals suggest that it is an attractive play on China’s online healthcare platform industry. In JD Health IPO: PHIP New Data Points and Peer Comparison, we stated that the new data points disclosed in the PHIP along with our peer analysis reinforce our view that JD Health has attractive fundamentals. In this note, we take a first look at JD Health's valuation. Overall, based on valuation analysis, we think that the rumoured IPO valuation can be justified.

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p style="text-align: justify;">Throughout the year 2020, the COVID-19 had certain negative impact on the economy. The pharmaceutical industry has the attributes of relatively rigid demand and countercyclical, and some medical products and services were benefited from the epidemic. Therefore, in 2020/1H, the pharmaceutical industry outperformed the market significantly. As the epidemic in China has been effectively under control and the resumption of work and production has been comprehensively promoted, domestic investment hotspots have been frequently switched, and the pharmaceutical sector has undergone periodic adjustments. Besides, in 2020/2H, the advance of new volume-based purchasing policy in the field of drugs and high-value medical consumables also negatively impact the performance of healthcare sector. However, the development and potential of the China healthcare industry is still very promising, and there will be good investment opportunities in the future. </p>

Throughout the year 2020, the COVID-19 had certain negative impact on the economy. The pharmaceutical industry has the attributes of relatively rigid demand and countercyclical, and some medical products and services were benefited from the epidemic. Therefore, in 2020/1H, the pharmaceutical industry outperformed the market significantly. As the epidemic in China has been effectively under control and the resumption of work and production has been comprehensively promoted, domestic investment hotspots have been frequently switched, and the pharmaceutical sector has undergone periodic adjustments. Besides, in 2020/2H, the advance of new volume-based purchasing policy in the field of drugs and high-value medical consumables also negatively impact the performance of healthcare sector. However, the development and potential of the China healthcare industry is still very promising, and there will be good investment opportunities in the future. 

2021 High Conviction - Investment Opportunities in China Healthcare Industry

China

JD Health International Inc. operates drug stores. The Company retails Chinese and Western medicines, nutrition products, health care products, and other products. JD Health International markets its products throughout China.

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JD Health International (6618 HK)

JD Health IPO: Valuation Insights

At the proposed IPO price range of HK$62.80-70.58 per share, JD Health will have a market cap of $25.3-28.5 billion. Overall, we would participate...

Arun George

JD Health IPO: Attractive Even at High End on Cheapness and Gearing to Healthcare Transformation

Reuters reported today that according to a term sheet obtained by them, JD Health is seeking to raise up to US$3.5bn by selling 381.9m shares at an...

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

JD Health (京东健康) IPO - Paying to Ride the Early Innings of Healthcare Transformation

JD Health launched its Hong Kong IPO to raise up to US$3.47bn. Valuation is reasonable relative to peers and we think that there's decent upside...

Zhen Zhou, Toh

JD Health IPO: Valuation First Look

JD Health is seeking to raise $4 billion at a $29 billion valuation, according to IFR. Overall, based on valuation analysis, we think that the...

Arun George

2021 High Conviction - Investment Opportunities in China Healthcare Industry

This article reviewed the performance of China healthcare industry in 2020 and analyzed good investment opportunities (innovative drugs, CRO/CDMO,...

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

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