Overseas Chinese Equities, Aequitas Research

Ming Lu

Overseas Chinese Equities

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Bottom-Up

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We estimate that the revenue growth will rise to 11.5% YoY in 4Q22 from 9.7% YoY in 3Q22.</li>
<li>Freshippo is the store chain closest to the operation before the lockdown among all large retailers.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has an upside of 27% for March 2023.</li>
</ul>


We estimate that the revenue growth will rise to 11.5% YoY in 4Q22 from 9.7% YoY in 3Q22.
Freshippo is the store chain closest to the operation before the lockdown among all large retailers.
We believe the stock has an upside of 27% for March 2023.


Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Still Active Under Lockdown, Buy

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia and the US (ADRs only).</li>
<li>This week, highest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-dongzheng-automotive-finance-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27984:1" rel="noopener">Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sezzle-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30969:1" rel="noopener">Sezzle Inc (SZL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/21-vianet-group-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:8489:1" rel="noopener">21Vianet Group (VNET US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/infomedia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11385:1" rel="noopener">Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/link-administration-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:970:1" rel="noopener">Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU)</a>, Alliance Aviation.</li>
<li>Lowest gross spreads are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/virtus-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14776:1" rel="noopener">Virtus Health (VRT AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-logistics-property-holdings-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22799:1" rel="noopener">China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/uniti-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29042:1" rel="noopener">Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mapletree-north-asia-commercial-trust" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5127:1" rel="noopener">Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irongate-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30897:1" rel="noopener">Irongate Group (IAP AU)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Indonesia and the US (ADRs only).
This week, highest gross spreads are Dongzheng Automotive Finance (2718 HK), Sezzle Inc (SZL AU), 21Vianet Group (VNET US), Infomedia Ltd (IFM AU), Link Administration Holdings (LNK AU), Alliance Aviation.
Lowest gross spreads are Virtus Health (VRT AU), China Logistics Property Holdings (1589 HK), Uniti Group Ltd (UWL AU), Mapletree North Asia Commercial Trust (MAGIC SP), Irongate Group (IAP AU).


Merger Arb Mondays (16 May) - Link Admin, Infomedia, VNET, Alliance Aviation, Ramsay, Link Net

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

Equity Capital Markets

Life Insurance  of India / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>On the IPOs front, LIC's lists tomorrow, while Delhivery's bookbuild wasn't great.</li>
<li>There were no major placements this week, with even Air New Zealand failing to hold its deal price.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
On the IPOs front, LIC's lists tomorrow, while Delhivery's bookbuild wasn't great.
There were no major placements this week, with even Air New Zealand failing to hold its deal price.


ECM Weekly (15th May 22) - LIC, ThaiBev, Delhivery, One Store, Yunkang, VistaREIT, Ngern Tid Lor

<ul>
<li>JD is facing a severe logistics problem due to the lockdowns in many cities of China.</li>
<li>We believe JD is trying to secure its revenue no matter how large the fulfillment expense is.</li>
<li>We believe the stock has a downside of 22% for the year end 2022.</li>
</ul>


JD is facing a severe logistics problem due to the lockdowns in many cities of China.
We believe JD is trying to secure its revenue no matter how large the fulfillment expense is.
We believe the stock has a downside of 22% for the year end 2022.


JD.com (9618 HK): To Keep Revenue at Any Cost

Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

Equity Analyst

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/coupang-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28425:1" rel="noopener">Coupang (CPNG US)</a>’s 1Q22 results were mixed with revenue 2.5% below consensus but an operating loss of $205.7m was $94.3m lower than consensus through a 3% gross margin improvement.</li>
<li>The company’s comments on the gross margin outlook are a bit concerning and make us think that the improvement in Q1 was just a one-off.</li>
<li>Coupang is fundamentally expensive on EV/GMV+Retail Sales. With selling pressure from Softbank and a significant downside to revenue estimates, we remain Short Coupang.</li>
</ul>



Coupang (CPNG US)’s 1Q22 results were mixed with revenue 2.5% below consensus but an operating loss of $205.7m was $94.3m lower than consensus through a 3% gross margin improvement.
The company’s comments on the gross margin outlook are a bit concerning and make us think that the improvement in Q1 was just a one-off.
Coupang is fundamentally expensive on EV/GMV+Retail Sales. With selling pressure from Softbank and a significant downside to revenue estimates, we remain Short Coupang.


Coupang: Decelerating Revenue, Sporadic Profitability and Still Expensive

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Alibaba (9988 HK) Pre-Earnings: Still Active Under Lockdown, Buy

We estimate that the revenue growth will rise to 11.5% YoY in 4Q22 from 9.7% YoY in 3Q22. Freshippo is the store chain closest to the operation...

Ming Lu

Merger Arb Mondays (16 May) - Link Admin, Infomedia, VNET, Alliance Aviation, Ramsay, Link Net

This week, the highest gross spreads are Dongzheng AFC (40.7%), Sezzle (36.6%), VNET (33.6%), Infomedia (32.8%), Link Admin (24.4%), Alliance...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (15th May 22) - LIC, ThaiBev, Delhivery, One Store, Yunkang, VistaREIT, Ngern Tid Lor

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

JD.com (9618 HK): To Keep Revenue at Any Cost

JD is facing a severe logistics problem due to the lockdowns in many cities of China. We believe JD is trying to secure its revenue no matter how...

Ming Lu

Coupang: Decelerating Revenue, Sporadic Profitability and Still Expensive

Coupang's comments on the gross margin outlook are a bit concerning and make us think that the improvement in Q1 was just a one-off. Meantime, the...

Oshadhi Kumarasiri

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