Greater China Equity Long/Short Analyst

Eric Chen

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>1Q massive beat was driven by TEMU, higher-than expected take rates and other income, in order of importance. </li>
<li>We remain confident PDD's China online marketplace business will face increasing growth headwinds, but also acknowledge that TEMU has been growing on track with lower-than-expected losses.</li>
<li>Earnings growth from PDD's domestic business will be largely offset by losses incurred by TEMU for 2023. Strong 1Q has not fundamentally changed deceleration trend of full-year bottom-line growth trajectory. </li>
</ul>


1Q massive beat was driven by TEMU, higher-than expected take rates and other income, in order of importance. 
We remain confident PDD's China online marketplace business will face increasing growth headwinds, but also acknowledge that TEMU has been growing on track with lower-than-expected losses.
Earnings growth from PDD's domestic business will be largely offset by losses incurred by TEMU for 2023. Strong 1Q has not fundamentally changed deceleration trend of full-year bottom-line growth trajectory. 


Pinduoduo (PDD US): Deciphering Massive 1Q Beat

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

JD Industrial Technology  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials</a>  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. </li>
<li>JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company background and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.</li>
</ul>



JD Industrials  is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. 
JDI is a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China in terms of GMV in each year during the Track Record Period, according to CIC.
We have looked at the company background and undertaken a peer comparison in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about valuations.


JD Industrials Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a>/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-com-inc-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:446:1" rel="noopener">JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)</a> owns a 77.95% stake.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/jd-industrials-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:103407" rel="noopener">JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer of most cash for treasury management.</li>
</ul>



JD Industrials (2231713D CH)/JDI, a leading industrial supply chain technology and service provider in China, has filed for a US$1bn IPO. JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US) owns a 77.95% stake.
In JD Industrials IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer of most cash for treasury management.


<ul>
<li>A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>ECM developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> prices its offer, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tata-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:23700:1" rel="noopener">Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology (1833969D CH)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jd-industrials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36875:1" rel="noopener">JD Industrials (2231713D CH)</a> IPOs.</li>
<li>Event-Driven developments - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-laser-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33498:1" rel="noopener">Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>.     </li>
</ul>


A weekly summary of key developments across ECM and Event-Driven names tracked by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, Korea, India and Chinese ADRs.
ECM developments - Rakuten (4755 JP) prices its offer, Tata Technologies (TATATECH IN), Growatt Technology (1833969D CH), JD Industrials (2231713D CH) IPOs.
Event-Driven developments - Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU), Healius (HLS AU), Penguin International (PBS SP), Lian Beng (LBG SP).     


Weekly Deals Digest (28 May) - Rakuten, Growatt, JD Industrials, Toyo, Silk Laser, Penguin

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>In the IPO space, HK market sentiment is likely to be put to test again with the upcoming listing for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/growatt-new-energy-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36103:1" rel="noopener">Growatt Technology.</a>
</li>
<li>The REIT were once again at the front lines this week for placements, while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten (4755 JP)</a> has so far been holding up.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
In the IPO space, HK market sentiment is likely to be put to test again with the upcoming listing for Growatt Technology.

The REIT were once again at the front lines this week for placements, while Rakuten (4755 JP) has so far been holding up.


ECM Weekly (28th May 2023) - HK Trip Notes, Rakuten, JD Ind, Horizon Const, Nippon Prologis, MINT

China

JD.com Inc is an online direct sales company in China.  The Company offers a wide selection of products through its website and mobile applications.  JD.com sells appliances, computers, digital products, communication products, garments, books, and household items to consumers and vendors.

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JD.com Inc (ADR) (JD US)

Pinduoduo (PDD US): Deciphering Massive 1Q Beat

PDD’s massive 1Q beat didn’t answer the questions around its sustainability. We expect large fluctuations in earnings growth for the rest of 2023...

Eric Chen

JD Industrials Pre-IPO - Initial Thoughts on Valuation

JD Industrials is looking to raise about US$1bn in its upcoming HK IPO. In this note, we talk about our initial thoughts on valuations.

Sumeet Singh

JD Industrials IPO: The Bear Case

The key elements of the bear case rest on slowing SME growth, declining key accounts take rate and gross margin, unnecessary factoring and transfer...

Arun George

Weekly Deals Digest (28 May) - Rakuten, Growatt, JD Industrials, Toyo, Silk Laser, Penguin

Last week, notable developments occurred in Event-Driven (Toyo, Penguin, Healius, Penguin, Lian Beng) and ECM (Tata Tech, Adicon, Growatt, JD...

Arun George

ECM Weekly (28th May 2023) - HK Trip Notes, Rakuten, JD Ind, Horizon Const, Nippon Prologis, MINT

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

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