Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) - ADR / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Nvidia Vs. Taiwan Short Basket: Hedge Working; CES 2024 Likely Positive for Nvidia Vs. Basket</li>
<li>Silicon Motion: Next Wave of the Memory Recovery; High-End NAND Prices More Than Doubled From Lows</li>
<li>AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer</li>
</ul>


Nvidia Vs. Taiwan Short Basket: Hedge Working; CES 2024 Likely Positive for Nvidia Vs. Basket
Silicon Motion: Next Wave of the Memory Recovery; High-End NAND Prices More Than Doubled From Lows
AI PC Reality Check: PC Upgrade Cycle Ahead, But Worth a 50% 1M Acer Rally? Long Dell Vs. Short Acer


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Stocks At Highs & Looking for Laggards? CES 2024 to Showcase Edge AI

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-semiconductor-manufacturing-company" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11230:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)</a>'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/intel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16764:1" rel="noopener">Intel Corp (INTC US)</a> aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mediatek-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:772:1" rel="noopener">Mediatek Inc (2454 TT)</a> plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/qualcomm-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:969:1" rel="noopener">Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US)</a>.  </li>
</ul>



Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) (2330 TT)'s revenue outlook for 1Q24F is expected to show a decline of around negative high single digits QoQ.

Intel Corp (INTC US) aims to receive x86 CPU technology from TSMC 3nm in 1H24F.

Mediatek Inc (2454 TT) plans to utilize 3nm technology for manufacturing smartphone SoCs in 2H24F, which will narrow the gap with Qualcomm Inc (QCOM US).  


TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

<ul>
<li>PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results</li>
<li>Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade</li>
<li>Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining</li>
</ul>


PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest results
Micron Analysis, Industry Takeaways: Memory Market TAM New Highs into 2025; SK Hynix Trade
Taiwan Dual-Listings Monitor: TSMC Premium at a Decent Short Level; ASE Short Interest Declining


Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

uPI Semiconductor Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.</li>
<li>UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.</li>
<li>UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.</li>
</ul>


UPI Semi is a specialist designer of electronic components and semiconductors for power management. Power management is a key performance factor for AI devices.
UPI's clients include most of the world's largest leading technology companies for semiconductor distribution and AI products.
UPI shares have lagged the strong performance of its clients -- We see opportunity for UPI to now Outperform.


Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist, Objective Analysis

Jim Handy

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs Specialist

Objective Analysis

Objective Analysis offers third-party independent market research and data for the semiconductor industry and investors in the semiconductor industry.

Semiconductors, Memory and SSDs

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Objective Analysis has released its 2024 semiconductor forecast, calling for growth of below 5%</li>
<li>Other forecasters currently call for 11% to 17% growth, which would require another super cycle to accomplish</li>
<li>We do not see any event that will drive a 2024 super cycle, even with the current rapid adoption of AI in the data center</li>
</ul>


Objective Analysis has released its 2024 semiconductor forecast, calling for growth of below 5%
Other forecasters currently call for 11% to 17% growth, which would require another super cycle to accomplish
We do not see any event that will drive a 2024 super cycle, even with the current rapid adoption of AI in the data center


2024 High Conviction: Low Semiconductor Growth

United States

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Stocks At Highs & Looking for Laggards? CES 2024 to Showcase Edge AI

Summary: Nvidia is expected to perform well at CES 2024, while Silicon Motion predicts a memory recovery and increased NAND prices. The PC upgrade...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2024 High Conviction: Low Semiconductor Growth

2024 semiconductor revenue growth will be muted despite forecasts predicting strong growth. This post explains why the year will not see another...

Jim Handy

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Stocks At Highs & Looking for Laggards? CES 2024 to Showcase Edge AI

​Summary: Nvidia is expected to perform well at CES 2024, while Silicon Motion predicts a memory recovery and increased NAND prices. The PC upgrade...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC (2330.TT; TSM.US): The 1Q24F Revenue Outlook and the Progress for Intel, MediaTek and Samsung.

​TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...

Patrick Liao

Taiwan Tech Weekly: PC Shares Clearly On Santa's Nice List; Soaring After AI PC Releases; Dell Trade

PC Shares Soaring -- After 1) Intel's AI Everywhere AI chip launch, 2) Launch of First AI PCs, 3) Micron's positive outlook for PCs in its latest...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Power Semiconductor Specialist Will Benefit from AI Yet Lagging Key Customers' Share Price Rallies

UPI's clients include most of the world's leading tech companies for chip distribution and AI products. UPI shares have lagged the strong...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

2024 High Conviction: Low Semiconductor Growth

2024 semiconductor revenue growth will be muted despite forecasts predicting strong growth. This post explains why the year will not see another...

Jim Handy

Summary: Nvidia is expected to perform well at CES 2024, while Silicon Motion predicts a memory recovery and increased NAND prices. The PC upgrade...

TSMC shows a likely decline in 1Q24F. Intel aims to receive technology from TSMC for 3nm demand. Mediatek plans to narrow the gap with QCOM by...