Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (1395186D CH)</a> is offering 1.355bn shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$3.73-3.99/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$6.2bn (US$801m).</li>
<li>Cornerstone investors will take up a third of the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.</li>
<li>Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 - however, as a stock with Weighted Voting Rights, inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only take place in May.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (1395186D CH) is offering 1.355bn shares in its IPO at a price range of HK$3.73-3.99/share. With the overallotment option, the IPO could raise up to HK$6.2bn (US$801m).
Cornerstone investors will take up a third of the offer. Those shares will be locked up for 6 months and will significantly reduce the free float of the stock.
Index inclusions will commence with the HSCI in March 2025 - however, as a stock with Weighted Voting Rights, inclusion in Southbound Stock Connect will only take place in May.


Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Index Inclusion Possibility & Timelines

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Horizon Robotics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a> raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. </li>
<li>Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.</li>
<li>We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) raised around US$800m, including over-allocation, in its Hong Kong IPO. 
Horizon Robotics (HR) is a provider of advanced driver assistance systems (ADAS) and autonomous driving (AD) solutions for passenger vehicles, empowered by its proprietary software and hardware technologies.
We have looked at the company’s past performance and valuations in our previous notes. In this note, we will talk about the trading updates.


Horizon Robotics IPO Trading - More than 55% of the Deal Taken up by Existing Shareholders

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a>, a provider of autonomous driving products and services, is seeking to raise up to US$696 million through a HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-robotics-9660-hk-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:162681" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-robotics-9660-hk-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:162910" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>Our valuation analysis suggests that Horizon is unattractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (9660 HK), a provider of autonomous driving products and services, is seeking to raise up to US$696 million through a HKEx IPO.
We previously discussed the IPO in Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bull Case and Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bear Case. 
Our valuation analysis suggests that Horizon is unattractively valued at the IPO price range. Therefore, we would pass on the IPO.


Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: Valuation Insights

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/horizon-robotics-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35637:1" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)</a>, a provider of autonomous driving products and services, is seeking to raise up to US$696 million through a HKEx IPO.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/horizon-robotics-9660-hk-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:162681" rel="noopener">Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bull Case</a>, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.</li>
<li>The bear case rests on high related parties' revenue, customer concentration risk, pricing pressure, uncertain path to profitability, high cash conversion cycle and FCF burn.</li>
</ul>



Horizon Robotics (9660 HK), a provider of autonomous driving products and services, is seeking to raise up to US$696 million through a HKEx IPO.
In Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bull Case, we highlighted the key elements of the bull case. In this note, we outline the bear case.
The bear case rests on high related parties' revenue, customer concentration risk, pricing pressure, uncertain path to profitability, high cash conversion cycle and FCF burn.


Horizon Robotics (9660 HK) IPO: The Bear Case

Covering IPOs, Healthcare and Technology Stocks

Andrei Zakharov

<ul>
<li>Horizon Robotics, a Beijing-based fast-growing provider of integrated ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, plans to raise ~$700M at the high end of the range at HK$3.99/share.</li>
<li>The IPO is expected to be between HK$3.73 and HK$3.99. However, the offer price may be, but is not expected to be, lower than the lower end of the range.</li>
<li>I believe that at the high end of the range, the company’s valuation is full, and I would await a share pull-back before becoming more positive on the stock.</li>
</ul>


Horizon Robotics, a Beijing-based fast-growing provider of integrated ADAS and AD solutions for passenger vehicles, plans to raise ~$700M at the high end of the range at HK$3.99/share.
The IPO is expected to be between HK$3.73 and HK$3.99. However, the offer price may be, but is not expected to be, lower than the lower end of the range.
I believe that at the high end of the range, the company’s valuation is full, and I would await a share pull-back before becoming more positive on the stock.


Horizon Robotics IPO (9660.HK): Global Offering and Valuation Update

China

Horizon Robotics, Inc. offers technology services. The Company develops advanced driver assistance systems, autonomous driving solutions, and other for passenger vehicles. Horizon Robotics provides its services throughout Hong Kong.

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Horizon Robotics (9660 HK)