Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

United Microelectron Sp Adr / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>UMC spoke at an investment bank's recent conference, providing additional color on guidance and its collaboration with Intel for 12nm chip production.</li>
<li>UMC comments imply the key synergies between the two companies, whereby each can solve the other's key problem,</li>
<li>While UMC most likely needs to remain a "Taiwanese company" in terms of optics given its history, Intel's synergies with UMC establishes acquisition-value support for UMC shares in our view.</li>
</ul>


UMC spoke at an investment bank's recent conference, providing additional color on guidance and its collaboration with Intel for 12nm chip production.
UMC comments imply the key synergies between the two companies, whereby each can solve the other's key problem,
While UMC most likely needs to remain a "Taiwanese company" in terms of optics given its history, Intel's synergies with UMC establishes acquisition-value support for UMC shares in our view.


United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

Taiwan Tech Focused Senior Analyst

Patrick Liao

Novatek Microelectronics Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Novatek's share price has surged by more than 15% in four days due to the news of Novatek's alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2.</li>
<li>While the decision on whether the iPhone 16 will feature OLED technology is still pending, the general sentiment is optimistic.</li>
<li>Novatek is set to leverage Intel Corp (INTC US)'s 12nm capacity through United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) in the near future.</li>
</ul>


Novatek's share price has surged by more than 15% in four days due to the news of Novatek's alliance with ARM to develop Neoverse V2.
While the decision on whether the iPhone 16 will feature OLED technology is still pending, the general sentiment is optimistic.
Novatek is set to leverage Intel Corp (INTC US)'s 12nm capacity through United Microelectron Sp Adr (UMC US) in the near future.


Novatek (3034.TT): It's Said to Alliance with ARM to Build up Neoverse V2, Targeting AI Market.

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist, Ingenuity

William Keating

Semiconductor & Technology Specialist

Ingenuity

Our focus is exclusively on in-depth research & consulting in the broader semiconductor industry. We focus on the key players, namely Intel, Micron, Qualcomm, Apple, Samsung, NVIDIA, AMD, TSMC & Global Foundries - as well as some of the lesser known, but nonetheless critical, companies such as ASML (for EUV), Mellanox, Cavium, Xilinx etc. We specialise in their products, roadmaps, process technologies, competitive advantages & threats etc. We also help our clients understand the implications of new and emerging technologies, e.g. 3D X-Point, 3D NAND, Carbon Nanotubes, Autonomous Driving, Graphene, Silicon Photonics, Wafer-Level Optics, Artificial Intelligence, FPGA, GPU, ASIC etc. 

Semiconductor Analysis & Research

<ul>
<li>UMC's Q423 results in line with expectations. Q124 guidance, down 2-3% QoQ, demonstrates ongoing headwinds for foundry</li>
<li>Intel, UMC foundry partnership helps the latter overcome their 14nm issues while giving them bargain basement access to US manufacturing capacity </li>
<li>If Intel could have developed and deployed the proposed 12nm specialty process on their own, they would have....</li>
</ul>


UMC's Q423 results in line with expectations. Q124 guidance, down 2-3% QoQ, demonstrates ongoing headwinds for foundry
Intel, UMC foundry partnership helps the latter overcome their 14nm issues while giving them bargain basement access to US manufacturing capacity 
If Intel could have developed and deployed the proposed 12nm specialty process on their own, they would have....


Intel's UMC Partnership Is A Big Deal. For UMC.

Advanced Micro Devices / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 6% QoQ and up 10% YoY</li>
<li>Q124 guidance was for $5.4 billion at the midpoint, down 13% QoQ and flat YoY.</li>
<li>We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of &gt;70% YoY with potential for further upside</li>
</ul>


Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, $100 million above the guided midpoint, up 6% QoQ and up 10% YoY
Q124 guidance was for $5.4 billion at the midpoint, down 13% QoQ and flat YoY.
We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of &gt;70% YoY with potential for further upside


AMD. This Party's Just Getting Started...

Asia and Global Semiconductor and Tech Research

Andrew Lu

<ul>
<li>Microchip used to be the bellwether for semiconductor demand After many semis guided weaknesses in automotive, industrial, and digital consumer much earlier, Microchip's 19% miss in 1Q24 gives no surprise.</li>
<li>
<strong>Why the worst among all?</strong> We attributed Microchip to over 85% of its products on automotive, industrial, and digital consumer. Other semis have higher exposure on PC and comm.</li>
<li>
<strong>Priced in?</strong> We estimate over 20% y/y decline in 2024 sales vs. Bloomberg's -8% y/y. 2024E EPS of US$2.94 is likely below US$1. Price is only 10% below historical peak.</li>
</ul>


Microchip used to be the bellwether for semiconductor demand After many semis guided weaknesses in automotive, industrial, and digital consumer much earlier, Microchip's 19% miss in 1Q24 gives no surprise.

Why the worst among all? We attributed Microchip to over 85% of its products on automotive, industrial, and digital consumer. Other semis have higher exposure on PC and comm.

Priced in? We estimate over 20% y/y decline in 2024 sales vs. Bloomberg's -8% y/y. 2024E EPS of US$2.94 is likely below US$1. Price is only 10% below historical peak.


From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?

United States

Applied Materials, Inc. develops, manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor wafer fabrication equipment and related spare parts for the worldwide semiconductor industry.  The Company's customers include semiconductor wafer and integrated circuit manufacturers, flat panel liquid crystal displays, solar photovoltaic cells and modules and other electronic devices manufacturers.

QUALCOMM, Inc . manufactures digital wireless communications equipment.  The Company licenses its code division multiple access (CDMA) and orthogonal frequency division multiplexing access intellectual property to other companies, and produces CDMA-based integrated circuits; and produces equipment and software used to track workers and assets; and software for wireless content enablement.

KLA-Tencor Corporation manufactures yield management and process monitoring systems for the semiconductor industry.  The Company's systems are used to analyze product and process quality at critical steps in the manufacture of circuits and provide feedback so that fabrication problems can be identified. KLA-Tencor operates sales, service, and application centers worldwide.

Lam Research Corporation manufactures, markets, and services semiconductor processing equipment used in the making of integrated circuits.  The Company's products are used to deposit special films on a silicon wafer and etch away portions of various films to create a circuit design.  Lam sells its products around the world.

Monolithic Power Systems Inc specializes in high-performance, integrated power solutions. The Company provides small, highly energy efficient, easy-to-use power solutions for systems found in industrial applications, telecom infrastructures, cloud computing, automotive, and consumer applications.

ON Semiconductor Corporation supplies analog, standard logic, and discrete semiconductors for data and power management. The Company's products include integrated circuits, and analog ICs. ON also offers discrete semiconductors in a variety of surface mount and standard packages.

Skyworks Solutions, Inc., a wireless semiconductor company, designs and manufactures radio frequency and complete semiconductor system solutions for mobile communications applications.  The Company provides front-end modules, radio frequency subsystems, and system solutions to wireless handset and infrastructure customers worldwide.

Microchip Technology Incorporated designs, manufactures, and markets microcontrollers, related mixed-signal and memory products, and application development systems for high-volume embedded control applications. The Company also designs, develops, and markets linear/mixed-signal, power management, and thermal management products.

Entegris Inc. provides materials management products and services to the microelectronics industry on a worldwide basis.  The Company provides products such as wafer shippers, wafer transport and process carriers, pods, and work-in-process boxes.  Entegris also provides chemical delivery products such as valves, fittings, tubing, pipe, and containers.

Analog Devices, Inc. designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits used in analog and digital signal processing.  The Company's products are used in communications, computer, industrial, instrumentation, military/aerospace, automotive, and high-performance consumer electronics applications.  Analog Devices sells its products worldwide.

Tokyo Electron Limited manufactures and sells industrial electronics products, such as semiconductor manufacturing machines, computer system, and electronic components.  The Company products are sold in US, Taiwan, and others as well as in Japan.

ASE Technology Holding Co., Ltd. offers assembly and testing services. The Company provides outsourced assembly, semiconductor testing, semiconductor packaging, and other related services. ASE Technology Holding operates in Taiwan.

MediaTek Inc. is a fabless semiconductor company for wireless communications and digital multimedia solutions. The company provides SOC system solutions for wireless communications, high-definition TV, optical storage, DVD and Blu-ray products.

Lasertec Corporation develops, designs, manufactures and markets photomask inspection systems to make semiconductor devices, confocal scanning laser microscopes and liquid crystal display (LCD) inspection systems.

United Microelectronics Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets integrated circuits (ICs) and related electronic products.  The Company's main products are consumer electronic ICs, memory ICs, personal computer peripheral ICs, and communication ICs.

NXP Semiconductors NV operates as a global semiconductor company. The Company designs semiconductors and software for mobile communications, consumer electronics, security applications, in-car entertainment, and networking.  NXP offers its products to the automotive, identification, wireless infrastructure, lighting, mobile, and computing applications.

LONGi Green Energy Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures and sells silicon rods and silicon wafers. The Company's main products include 6 inch, 6.5 inch and 8 inch monocrystalline silicon rods and wafers.

LONGi Green Energy Technology (601012 CH)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation operates a semiconductor foundry. The Company provides integrated circuit foundry and technology services including the testing, development, design, manufacturing, packaging, and sale of integrated circuits. Semiconductor Manufacturing International offers its products and services around the world.

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

DISCO CORPORATION manufactures abrasive and precision industrial machinery for cutting and grinding purposes.  The Company's products are applied in the semiconductor, electronics, and construction industries to produce consumer goods such as personal computers, digital cameras, video game systems, and Digital Video Disc (DVD) players.

Renesas Electronics Corporation researches, develops, designs and manufactures electronic components such as semiconductors and integrated devices.

Intel Corporation designs, manufactures, and sells computer components and related products.  The Company's major products include microprocessors, chipsets, embedded processors and microcontrollers, flash memory products, graphics products, network and communications products, systems management software, conferencing products, and digital imaging products.

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Intel Corp (INTC US)

United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): It's Said to Alliance with ARM to Build up Neoverse V2, Targeting AI Market.

Novatek's stock soars on partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2, potential collaboration with Intel for 12nm capacity. Optimism surrounds iPhone...

Patrick Liao

Intel's UMC Partnership Is A Big Deal. For UMC.

Intel deal helps UMC overcome their FinFET issues while giving them access to valuable US manufacturing capacity. If Intel could have developed the...

William Keating

AMD. This Party's Just Getting Started...

Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, +6% QoQ, +10% YoY. Q124 $5.4 billion,-13% QoQ & flat YoY. We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of >70% YoY with...

William Keating

From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?

From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All? For next six months, we like both Intel and Qualcomm more...

Andrew Lu

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United Microelectronics Is Becoming a Great Long-Term Acquisition Target for Intel

​UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Novatek (3034.TT): It's Said to Alliance with ARM to Build up Neoverse V2, Targeting AI Market.

​Novatek's stock soars on partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2, potential collaboration with Intel for 12nm capacity. Optimism surrounds iPhone...

Patrick Liao

Intel's UMC Partnership Is A Big Deal. For UMC.

Intel deal helps UMC overcome their FinFET issues while giving them access to valuable US manufacturing capacity. If Intel could have developed the...

William Keating

AMD. This Party's Just Getting Started...

Q423 revenues of $6.2 billion, +6% QoQ, +10% YoY. Q124 $5.4 billion,-13% QoQ & flat YoY. We forecast 2024 Data Center growth of >70% YoY with...

William Keating

From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All?

From the Bellwether to a Lagging Indicator- Why Does Microchip Guide the Worst Among All? For next six months, we like both Intel and Qualcomm more...

Andrew Lu

UMC discussed collaboration with Intel at conference Monday, highlighting synergies and potential acquisition-value support for UMC shares. Why...

Novatek's stock soars on partnership with ARM for Neoverse V2, potential collaboration with Intel for 12nm capacity. Optimism surrounds iPhone...