Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 8 stocks listed in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Philippines that could be deleted from passive portfolios in February.</li>
<li>There is a fair bit to sell in the stocks with over US$50m flow and between 3.5-64x ADV. Positioning is not very high in a lot of the stocks.</li>
<li>Stocks could avoid deletion if they move higher in the next week or two. But increased positioning could keep a lid on that.</li>
</ul>


There are 8 stocks listed in Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand and Philippines that could be deleted from passive portfolios in February.
There is a fair bit to sell in the stocks with over US$50m flow and between 3.5-64x ADV. Positioning is not very high in a lot of the stocks.
Stocks could avoid deletion if they move higher in the next week or two. But increased positioning could keep a lid on that.


Southeast Asia: The Passive Axe Hangs as Positioning Increases

Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>We expect PH to win the 15th General Election, because it will win a majority of the seats in West Malaysia as the non-PH vote splits between UMNO and PN. </li>
<li>PH may fall short of a national majority because it competes with local parties (rather than aligning with any major ones) in Sabah-Sarawak, which may hold the final cards.</li>
<li>While that is our baseline scenario, if current polling holds, PH will comfortably form the government with Anwar as PM. Winners will be technology companies and Hong Leong group.</li>
</ul>


We expect PH to win the 15th General Election, because it will win a majority of the seats in West Malaysia as the non-PH vote splits between UMNO and PN. 
PH may fall short of a national majority because it competes with local parties (rather than aligning with any major ones) in Sabah-Sarawak, which may hold the final cards.
While that is our baseline scenario, if current polling holds, PH will comfortably form the government with Anwar as PM. Winners will be technology companies and Hong Leong group.


Malaysia: PH Is Stronger in West Malaysia, but Sabah-Sarawak May Hold Final Cards

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), Public Investment Bank Bhd

Public Investment Bank Bhd

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Public Investment Bank Berhad provides investment banking services. The Company offers corporate finance, banking, securities financing, capital market, treasury, and advisory services.

Content available is external broker reports authored by a third party outside the Smartkarma network and has been aggregated by an online aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed by Smartkarma in this format for user's convenience and general informational purposes only. Content does not constitute investment or financial advice and Smartkarma makes no representation or warranty regarding its accuracy or contents. Original third party author retains all copyright and other proprietary rights in the content. Access or use of third party links not controlled by Smartkarma are at the user's own risk.

Equity Bottom-Up

D&O Green Technologies / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Local data centre-linked stocks were under hefty selling pressure in recent weeks following the news of tighter controls on Artificial Intelligence (AI) chip exports and caps on the amount of compute that can be shipped by the US.</li><li>Following our channel checks, we gather that the impact is largely muted on the local players as they mostly deal with the US hyperscalers, while it may take longer lead time for the AI server assemblers and dealers to process their orders due to various audit checks and traceability.</li><li>Overall, we think most of the technology stocks have overreacted to the negative news flow and some may even have limited exposure to the data centre play. </li></ul><p><em>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.</em></p>

Local data centre-linked stocks were under hefty selling pressure in recent weeks following the news of tighter controls on Artificial Intelligence (AI) chip exports and caps on the amount of compute that can be shipped by the US.Following our channel checks, we gather that the impact is largely muted on the local players as they mostly deal with the US hyperscalers, while it may take longer lead time for the AI server assemblers and dealers to process their orders due to various audit checks and traceability.Overall, we think most of the technology stocks have overreacted to the negative news flow and some may even have limited exposure to the data centre play. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

TECHNOLOGY - US AI Chip Export Restriction

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>PM Anwar's effective abandonment of the multi-racial agenda he advocated during his quarter-century in Opposition has led to large net outflows of FPI and FDI, especially in Q1CY24. </li>
<li>The trend weakening of the BoP current account was temporarily reprieved in Q1 by a sharp decline in the incomes deficit. Medium-term challenges still pressure MYR, as FX reserves stagnate.</li>
<li>Cyclical recovery likely to peter out, with structural fiscal deficit at 5.5% of GDP, and scant scope for monetary stimulus. We recommend being Underweight Malaysia, with Penang-linked stocks the exception. </li>
</ul>


PM Anwar's effective abandonment of the multi-racial agenda he advocated during his quarter-century in Opposition has led to large net outflows of FPI and FDI, especially in Q1CY24. 
The trend weakening of the BoP current account was temporarily reprieved in Q1 by a sharp decline in the incomes deficit. Medium-term challenges still pressure MYR, as FX reserves stagnate.
Cyclical recovery likely to peter out, with structural fiscal deficit at 5.5% of GDP, and scant scope for monetary stimulus. We recommend being Underweight Malaysia, with Penang-linked stocks the exception. 


Malaysia: Net Outflow of FDI and FPI Reflect Basic Haemorrhage of Trust

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pentamaster-corp-bhd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15302:1" rel="noopener">Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK)</a> specialises in the manufacturing of automated testing equipment (ATE segment) and the provision of factory automated solutions (FAS segment). </li>
<li>Pentamaster's solid track record, exposure to structural trends (electric vehicles), profitability, cash generation and healthy balance sheet are attractive. The shares are up 12.9% YTD.</li>
<li>However, the shares reflect this story and the valuation looks full compared to peers and historical multiples. We like the fundamentals and would be buyers of any prolonged weakness.</li>
</ul>



Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK) specialises in the manufacturing of automated testing equipment (ATE segment) and the provision of factory automated solutions (FAS segment). 
Pentamaster's solid track record, exposure to structural trends (electric vehicles), profitability, cash generation and healthy balance sheet are attractive. The shares are up 12.9% YTD.
However, the shares reflect this story and the valuation looks full compared to peers and historical multiples. We like the fundamentals and would be buyers of any prolonged weakness.


Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK): Good Story, at What Price?

Malaysia

Inari Amertron Berhad is an investment holding company involved in the electronics manufacturing services (EMS) industry. The Company provides semiconductor packaging services such as back-end wafer processing, assembly and testing for global customers in Radio Frequency (RF) and in Optoelectronic products. Inari has manufacturing facilities in Malaysia, China and Philippines.

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Inari Amertron (INRI MK)

Southeast Asia: The Passive Axe Hangs as Positioning Increases

There are 8 Indo, Malay, Thai and Phil stocks that could be deleted from passive portfolios in February. Flow is US$52m-US$123m and impact is 3.5...

Brian Freitas

Malaysia: PH Is Stronger in West Malaysia, but Sabah-Sarawak May Hold Final Cards

Anwar Ibrahim will be PM by the end of November. PH will win west Malaysia comfortably, but may fall short nationally because of Borneo states....

Prasenjit K. Basu

TECHNOLOGY - US AI Chip Export Restriction

Overall, we think most of the technology stocks have overreacted to the negative news flow and some may even have limited exposure to the data...

Public Investment Bank Bhd

Malaysia: Net Outflow of FDI and FPI Reflect Basic Haemorrhage of Trust

Pressured by Islamist PAS, PM Anwar has abandoned his 25-year advocacy of multi-racialism. Net FDI & FPI outflows will pressure MYR. Fiscal deficit...

Prasenjit K. Basu

Pentamaster Corp (PENT MK): Good Story, at What Price?

The shares have had a strong run and the valuation looks full compared to peers and historical multiples. We like the fundamentals and would be...

Arun George

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