Chief Economist & Political Strategist, CrossASEAN Research

Prasenjit K. Basu

PK Basu has 34 years experience covering Asia's economies and markets (equities, fixed income and currencies), including 20 years covering the global economy. He was Chief Economist (SE Asia & India) at Credit Suisse First Boston for 5 years, and Chief Asia (x-Jpn) Economist at Daiwa Securities for a similar period. Among other roles, he was global head of research at Maybank Kim Eng, Malaysia equity research head and chief ASEAN economist at Macquarie, Chief Economist at ICICI Securities, ASEAN economist at UBS and the first chief economist at Khazanah Nasional (where he was co-head of research, and led all agri-business initiatives). PK Basu started his career in the Asia Service of WEFA (Wharton Econometrics) in Philadelphia in 1990, rising to be Director of their Asia Service in June 1994. 
PK's book, "Asia Reborn: A continent rises from the ravages of Colonialism and War to a New Dynamism" won the Tata Literature First Book Award (non-fiction) for 2018. It is the first single chronicle of the modern economic and political history of the whole of Asia (from Iraq and Turkey to Korea and Japan, and everything in between), told from an Asian perspective.

Chief Economist & Political Strategist

Malaysian Politics Could Be Heading To A Bad Place

Malaysia:  Socioreligious Controversies Expose Limits of Government

Malaysia: Rate Cut by Mar'24, Lower Fiscal Deficit to Spur Cyclical Recovery in 2024

Battle Lines Drawn As BABA Builds Out First/Last-Mile Capacity; But Who Will Fund 75+ Bn CNY CapEx?

CrossASEAN Research

At CrossASEAN Research we strive to produce unbiased and differentiated on the ground insights on companies across South East Asia. Our Research is produced for the most part after face to face meetings and conversations with company management to dig deep into the long term vision and strategy of the companies we cover. We seek to deliver investable and actionable themes on sectors and markets across SE Asia, often in collaboration with other Insight Providers across the region, pooling the vast experience of the analysts within the Smartkarma Ecosystem. We also offer bespoke work and tailor made trips for our clients. 

Insights across South East Asia

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>PM Anwar's effective abandonment of the multi-racial agenda he advocated during his quarter-century in Opposition has led to large net outflows of FPI and FDI, especially in Q1CY24. </li>
<li>The trend weakening of the BoP current account was temporarily reprieved in Q1 by a sharp decline in the incomes deficit. Medium-term challenges still pressure MYR, as FX reserves stagnate.</li>
<li>Cyclical recovery likely to peter out, with structural fiscal deficit at 5.5% of GDP, and scant scope for monetary stimulus. We recommend being Underweight Malaysia, with Penang-linked stocks the exception. </li>
</ul>


PM Anwar's effective abandonment of the multi-racial agenda he advocated during his quarter-century in Opposition has led to large net outflows of FPI and FDI, especially in Q1CY24. 
The trend weakening of the BoP current account was temporarily reprieved in Q1 by a sharp decline in the incomes deficit. Medium-term challenges still pressure MYR, as FX reserves stagnate.
Cyclical recovery likely to peter out, with structural fiscal deficit at 5.5% of GDP, and scant scope for monetary stimulus. We recommend being Underweight Malaysia, with Penang-linked stocks the exception. 


Malaysia: Net Outflow of FDI and FPI Reflect Basic Haemorrhage of Trust