Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There are 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.</li>
<li>One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Singaporean construction firm <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a> announced a voluntary unconditional cash Offer from the controlling Ong family,</li>
<li>Key updates took place for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newcrest-mining-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:691:1" rel="noopener">Newcrest Mining (NCM AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oz-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1138:1" rel="noopener">OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/glory-star-new-media-group-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33080:1" rel="noopener">Glory Star New Media Group Holdings (GSMG US)</a>.</li>
</ul>


There are 42 - mostly firm, mostly Asia-Pac - transactions currently being discussed and analysed on Smartkarma. Inside is a timetable of upcoming key events for each deal.
One new deal was discussed on Smartkarma this past week: Singaporean construction firm Lian Beng (LBG SP) announced a voluntary unconditional cash Offer from the controlling Ong family,
Key updates took place for Newcrest Mining (NCM AU) and OZ Minerals Ltd (OZL AU), and Glory Star New Media Group Holdings (GSMG US).


(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liann Beng, Newcrest, OZ Minerals, Glory Star New Media

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>’s Board has unanimously recommended Wyloo’s unconditional off-market takeover bid at A$1.40 per share. The offer price is final. </li>
<li>The Board has taken the path of least resistance by recommending the offer instead of rejecting the low-balled offer and addressing the production quality issues.</li>
<li>The offer is attractive in terms of multiples (EV/Resource and EV/Reserve) but at a discount to recent share prices and analyst price targets. Shares are trading in line with terms.</li>
</ul>



Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)’s Board has unanimously recommended Wyloo’s unconditional off-market takeover bid at A$1.40 per share. The offer price is final. 
The Board has taken the path of least resistance by recommending the offer instead of rejecting the low-balled offer and addressing the production quality issues.
The offer is attractive in terms of multiples (EV/Resource and EV/Reserve) but at a discount to recent share prices and analyst price targets. Shares are trading in line with terms.


Mincor Resources (MCR AU): Production Issues Result in the Board Succumbing to Wyloo’s Offer

<ul>
<li>Last week, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU)</a> would <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02649202-6A1143054?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications</a>, and therefore would no longer accept lower-quality ore.</li>
<li>Mincor subsequently withdrew its earnings guidance, and Wyloo Metals shortly followed by declaring its A$1.40/share unconditional on-market Offer <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02650576-6A1143658?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">best and final</a>.</li>
<li>This morning (4 April), Mincor released its <a href="https://cdn-api.markitdigital.com/apiman-gateway/ASX/asx-research/1.0/file/2924-02651163-6A1143881?access_token=83ff96335c2d45a094df02a206a39ff4" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Target Statement</a>, and recommends shareholders accept the Offer from Wyloo.</li>
</ul>


Last week, Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) said BHP Group Ltd (BHP AU) would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and therefore would no longer accept lower-quality ore.
Mincor subsequently withdrew its earnings guidance, and Wyloo Metals shortly followed by declaring its A$1.40/share unconditional on-market Offer best and final.
This morning (4 April), Mincor released its Target Statement, and recommends shareholders accept the Offer from Wyloo.


Mincor Backs Wyloo's Offer After BHP Offtake Uncertainties

<ul>
<li>One may presume that <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/prosus-nv" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28104:1" rel="noopener">Prosus (PRX NA)</a> moved their <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan-dianping" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a> shares received from their non-CCASS holdings of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tencent-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26:1" rel="noopener">Tencent (700 HK)</a>. It does not tell us much else. </li>
<li>Allocation in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/s-m-entertainment-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3500:1" rel="noopener">S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS)</a> partial Offer was 44.14%. With shares trading ~₩95k, that was a pretty good outcome. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a> has asked the Japanese government to investigate YFO's alleged breaches of FEFTA. Expect YFO to say they did no wrong. Expect Toyo to complain about it. </li>
</ul>


One may presume that Prosus (PRX NA) moved their Meituan (3690 HK) shares received from their non-CCASS holdings of Tencent (700 HK). It does not tell us much else. 
Allocation in the S.M.Entertainment Co (041510 KS) partial Offer was 44.14%. With shares trading ~₩95k, that was a pretty good outcome. 

Toyo Construction (1890 JP) has asked the Japanese government to investigate YFO's alleged breaches of FEFTA. Expect YFO to say they did no wrong. Expect Toyo to complain about it. 


Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

<ul>
<li>Earlier today (30 March), <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a> said <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bhp-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:147:1" rel="noopener">BHP Group (BHP AU)</a> would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and will no longer accept lower-quality ore.</li>
<li>Mincor delivers 100% of its ore to BHP.  It will continue to deliver on-specification ore to BHP, but has withdrawn its forward guidance. </li>
<li>Shares rolled over 5.7% to close at A$1.42/share, above Wyloo's unconditional A$1.40/share. Offer.</li>
</ul>


Earlier today (30 March), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU) said BHP Group (BHP AU) would not agree to amend off-take agreement specifications, and will no longer accept lower-quality ore.
Mincor delivers 100% of its ore to BHP.  It will continue to deliver on-specification ore to BHP, but has withdrawn its forward guidance. 
Shares rolled over 5.7% to close at A$1.42/share, above Wyloo's unconditional A$1.40/share. Offer.


Australia

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

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IGO Ltd (IGO AU)

(Mostly) Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Wrap: Liann Beng, Newcrest, OZ Minerals, Glory Star New Media

This insight provides a summary of gross/annualised spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific as at the last trading date, and...

David Blennerhassett

Mincor Resources (MCR AU): Production Issues Result in the Board Succumbing to Wyloo’s Offer

The Board has taken the path of least resistance by recommending the offer instead of rejecting the low-balled offer and addressing the production...

Arun George

Mincor Backs Wyloo's Offer After BHP Offtake Uncertainties

Wyloo's broker will be standing in the market at $1.40. Only buy above terms on the expectation of a competing Offer. Yet with Wyoloo holding 23%+,...

David Blennerhassett

Last Week in Event SPACE: Meituan, S.M.Entertainment, Toyo, Mincor, JD.com, AAG

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Mincor: Did Twiggy Thwart BHP Offtake?

Mincor's inability to supply BHP with the inferior product will eat into costs. And sentiment. That probably plays into Wyloo's court. Your...

David Blennerhassett

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