Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The review period for the March rebalance of the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index ends on 29 February with results announced on 8 March and implemented on 15 March.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> are very close to deletion zone and price moves over the next couple of weeks are important.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/igo-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:462:1" rel="noopener">IGO Ltd (IGO AU)</a> is also a deletion from a global index in February and a lower stock price could lead to deletion from this index too.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the March rebalance of the MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index ends on 29 February with results announced on 8 March and implemented on 15 March.

Lendlease Group (LLC AU), IDP Education (IEL AU) and IGO Ltd (IGO AU) are very close to deletion zone and price moves over the next couple of weeks are important.

IGO Ltd (IGO AU) is also a deletion from a global index in February and a lower stock price could lead to deletion from this index too.


MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Should I Stay or Should IGO?

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Beijing Capital Land Ltd H / Event-Driven

At long last - a summary of M&amp;A spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific.
I number 32, mostly firm, deals around the region.
This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks
More below the fold.

At long last - a summary of M&amp;A spreads (on deals discussed on Smartkarma) across Asia-Pacific.
I number 32, mostly firm, deals around the region.
This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised (where possible) spreads as at the last trading date, and how those spreads have changed over the last week; plus the next hard events over the coming weeks
More below the fold.

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Aiport, Beijing Capital Land, IGO/Western Areas

Travis Lundy

<ul>
<li>The original trade was discussed at end-April in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tax-loss-selling-in-australia-2024-historical-analysis-and-a-trade-basket" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:139337" rel="noopener">Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 - Historical Analysis and A Trade Basket</a> then updated <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tax-loss-selling-in-australia-2024-a-trade-basket-updated" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/tax-loss-selling-in-australia-2024-the-may-basket-april-basket-2-3-to-6-3-rtn" target="_blank" rel="noopener">here</a>. </li>
<li>That has done OK. The LIQUID basket has delta neutral performance of +8.4% over 2mos; LIQUID+LESSLIQUID +7.2%; If one did a mixed basket (3x L+LL + 1x Illiquids) it's +8.6%.</li>
<li>Now it is time to reverse the trade, buying the basket you were short, and running it against index for the next 6-8 weeks.</li>
</ul>


The original trade was discussed at end-April in Tax-Loss Selling in Australia 2024 - Historical Analysis and A Trade Basket then updated here and here. 
That has done OK. The LIQUID basket has delta neutral performance of +8.4% over 2mos; LIQUID+LESSLIQUID +7.2%; If one did a mixed basket (3x L+LL + 1x Illiquids) it's +8.6%.
Now it is time to reverse the trade, buying the basket you were short, and running it against index for the next 6-8 weeks.


Tax-Loss Selling In Australia 2024 - Time To Reverse The Trade (7.2-8.6% Rtn in Two Months So Far)

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day, Money of Mine

Money of Mine

Breaking Down the Mining News of the Day

An ex-underground miner, an ex-investment banker, and an ex-equity research guy breaking down the mining news of the day. It's a bit of entertainment, information, and occasionally some alpha.

<ul>
<li>Deterra has made a deal to acquire Trident Royalties, a UK listed royalty company, at a 42% premium to its undisturbed price</li>
<li>The deal includes assuming Trident's debt and will result in Deterra cutting its dividend payout ratio in half from FY 25 going forward, upsetting current shareholders</li>
<li>Deterra's fully frank dividends have attracted Australian institutional shareholders, who may be affected by the change in dividend policy and potential impact on share price</li>
</ul>
This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.


Deterra has made a deal to acquire Trident Royalties, a UK listed royalty company, at a 42% premium to its undisturbed price
The deal includes assuming Trident's debt and will result in Deterra cutting its dividend payout ratio in half from FY 25 going forward, upsetting current shareholders
Deterra's fully frank dividends have attracted Australian institutional shareholders, who may be affected by the change in dividend policy and potential impact on share price

This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/idp-education-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1098:1" rel="noopener">IDP Education (IEL AU)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lendlease-group" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11248:1" rel="noopener">Lendlease Group (LLC AU)</a> will be deleted from the MV Australia Equal Weight Index at the June rebalance.</li>
<li>Constituent, float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5% and in a round-trip trade of A$228m.</li>
<li>There are many stocks from the S&amp;P/ASX index family that will have same way or opposing flows from <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-vectors-australian-equal-weight-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24297:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>



IDP Education (IEL AU) and Lendlease Group (LLC AU) will be deleted from the MV Australia Equal Weight Index at the June rebalance.
Constituent, float and capping changes will result in a one-way turnover of 5% and in a round-trip trade of A$228m.
There are many stocks from the S&amp;P/ASX index family that will have same way or opposing flows from VanEck Vectors Australian Equal Weight ETF (MVW AU). 


MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: IDP Education (IEL) & Lendlease Group (LLC) Out

Australia

Alumina Limited is an Australian resource company that produces alumina.  The Company owns about 40% of Alcoa World Alumina and Chemicals through a joint venture with Alcoa.

Sandfire Resources Limited is an Australian copper and gold producer. The Company's key asset is the DeGrussa Copper-Gold Mine located in Western Australia. Sandfire also has exploration assets targeting a range of commodities throughout Australia.

Perseus Mining Limited is a mining and exploration company. The Company acquires, explores, develops, mines, and produces gold. Perseus Mining conducts its mining operations in Africa and Australia.

Genesis Minerals Limited is an Australian-based mineral exploration company. The Company acquires commercially significant mineral deposits that can be brought into production.

AVZ Minerals Limited operates as a mineral exploration company. The Company acquires, develops, mines, and produces lithium, tin, tantalum, and other base metals. AVZ Minerals serves customers globally.

De Grey Mining Limited is an exploration and mining company focusing on zinc, gold, platinum, silver and base metals.

Red 5 Limited is a minieral exploration and development company. The Company's principal asset is the Siana Gold Project in the Philippines held under a Mineral Production Sharing Agreement by a Red5 Philippine compliant company. Red 5's second asset is the Mapawa MPSA, located north of Siana.

Iluka Resources Limited is involved in the mining, concentration and separation of mineral sands and titanium minerals. The Company also produces ilmenite and other titani-ferrous concentrates, zircon, and synthetic rutile along with the exploration of coal. Iluka's products are exported throughout the world.

MMG Limited is a mid-tier global resources company which explores, develops and mines base metal projects around the world.  The Company currently owns and operates the Century, Golden Grove and Rosebery mines in Australia, the Kinsevere mine in the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) and the LXML Sepon mine in Laos.

Lynas Corporation Limited explores and mines for rare earth minerals such as cerium and neodymium.

Angang Steel Company Limited produces steel products which include cold rolled sheets, steel rail, pipe billets, wire rods, thick plates, and other steel products.

Hyundai Steel Company is an electric furnace steel maker.  The Company manufactures concrete reinforcing bars, H beams, stainless steel sheets, cast steel, and other steel products.  Hyundai Steel sells its products to the domestic and overseas markets.

Shanxi Taigang Stainless Steel Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets stainless steel ingots and billets.  The Company also processes and produces other steel products including hot rolled steel plates and tandem steel plates.

China Minmetals Rare Earth Co Ltd engages in south ionic rare earth separation and processing. The Company mainly focuses on the production and distribution of rare earth oxide, rare earth metal, and highly processed products of rare earth, as well as the research and consult service of rare earth techniques.

Yunnan Tin Co., Ltd. produces and markets tin, tin alloy products, and tin chemicals.  The Company sells its tin products under the YT trade mark.

Ta Chen Stainless Pipe Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets various types of stainless steel pipes, butt-welded fittings, casting fittings, and stainless steel ball valves.  The Company primarily sells its products to the United States, Canada, Europe, South East Asia, South Africa, Australia, New Zealand, South America, and the Middle East.

Coeur Mining, Inc., through its subsidiaries, explores, develops, operates, and/or owns silver and gold mining properties and companies.  The Company's properties are located primarily in the United States, Australia, and South America.

Hindustan Copper Limited is a vertically integrated multi-unit copper producer in India engaged in a wide spectrum of activities ranging from mining, beneficiation, smelting, refining and manufacturing of copper cathodes, continuous cast wire rods and wire bars. The Company was the first Indian Copper producer to get ISO-9002 certificate for its Continuous Cast Wire Rod Plant.

Beijing Shougang Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets rolled steel, steel billets, and other steel products.  Through its subsidiaries, the Company produces compact discs and software.  Beijing Shougang sells its steel products worldwide.

Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining Co Ltd. explores for and produces metals.  The Company operates zinc and lead mines and smelters in Inner Mongolia in China.

Inner Mongolia Xingye Mining C (000426 CH)

IGO Limited operates as an exploration company. The Company explores and mines copper, ore, nickel, gold, and other mineral resources. IGO serves customers worldwide.

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IGO Ltd (IGO AU)

MVIS Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance Preview: Should I Stay or Should IGO?

There are 3 stocks close to the deletion zone for the March rebal. IGO is also a passive sell from a global index in Feb. There will be a lot of...

Brian Freitas

Asia-Pac Weekly Risk Arb Summary: Sydney Aiport, Beijing Capital Land, IGO/Western Areas

This insight provides a quick summary of gross/annualised spreads as at the last trading day, and how those spreads have changed over the last...

David Blennerhassett

Tax-Loss Selling In Australia 2024 - Time To Reverse The Trade (7.2-8.6% Rtn in Two Months So Far)

Many of the stocks in the most beaten-down list are Australia-listed lithium producers. Some down today. Others in Asia are down today too. If one...

Travis Lundy

Uranium Grows, Lithium Woes

Deterra is considering acquiring Trident royalties in a deal valued at 49 pence per share, which would involve assuming Trident's debt and cutting...

Money of Mine

MV Australia Equal Weight Index Rebalance: IDP Education (IEL) & Lendlease Group (LLC) Out

IDP Education and Lendlease Group will be deleted from the MV Australia Equal Weight Index. Constituent, float and capping changes will result in 1...

Brian Freitas

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