Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>KRX updated the Value-Up Index with five new names: KB Financial, Hana Financial, KT Corp, SK Telecom, and Hyundai Mobis, with Mobis replacing JB Financial, surprising the market.</li>
<li>This is the first rebalancing, packed into one day, so expect notable price action. Reverse moves could also follow Thursday as pre-positioned trades unwind, so monitor price action closely.</li>
<li>Even after Thursday's rebalancing, half of the funds, especially from the National Pension Service, will flow into high-yield stocks, likely driving significant price moves through early next year.</li>
</ul>


KRX updated the Value-Up Index with five new names: KB Financial, Hana Financial, KT Corp, SK Telecom, and Hyundai Mobis, with Mobis replacing JB Financial, surprising the market.
This is the first rebalancing, packed into one day, so expect notable price action. Reverse moves could also follow Thursday as pre-positioned trades unwind, so monitor price action closely.
Even after Thursday's rebalancing, half of the funds, especially from the National Pension Service, will flow into high-yield stocks, likely driving significant price moves through early next year.


KRX Value-Up Index Rebalance Results and Estimated Passive Impact

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) is a strong turnaround story and it has sharply outperformed KOSPI and other major Hyundai Motor Group stocks in the past three months.</li>
<li>In this insight, we discuss three major reasons why are remain positive on Hyundai Mobis. </li>
<li>The combined value of Hyundai Mobis' 21.9% stake in Hyundai Motor and stakes in other companies is worth 16.7 trillion won, which represents 73% of Hyundai Mobis' current market cap. </li>
</ul>


Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) is a strong turnaround story and it has sharply outperformed KOSPI and other major Hyundai Motor Group stocks in the past three months.
In this insight, we discuss three major reasons why are remain positive on Hyundai Mobis. 
The combined value of Hyundai Mobis' 21.9% stake in Hyundai Motor and stakes in other companies is worth 16.7 trillion won, which represents 73% of Hyundai Mobis' current market cap. 


Hyundai Mobis: A Turnaround Story With Strong Outperformance in the Past Three Months

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.</li>
<li>Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.</li>
<li>These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in 3Q 2024.
Of the 38 pair trades, 21 of them involved holdcos outperforming opcos in the past six months, suggesting increased capital allocation to Korean holdcos relative to their opcos.
These pairs could generate trading opportunities in terms of their pricing gaps closing reversal (Doosan Corp vs. Doosan Enerbility; Hyundai Mobis vs Hyundai Motor).


Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Early this morning, rumors spread that Hyundai’s honorary chairman Chung Mong-koo was hospitalized and died, causing stock prices to surge, but Hyundai denied this news.</li>
<li>Control of Hyundai hinges on increasing the stake in Mobis. Chung Eui-sun aims to keep Mobis's stock low, but Chung Mong-koo’s health complicates timing and strategy.</li>
<li>Mobis's trading point depends on Chung Mong-koo's health. Three scenarios: he's healthy, critically ill, or deceased. Current rumors' price impacts are unlikely to subside soon.</li>
</ul>


Early this morning, rumors spread that Hyundai’s honorary chairman Chung Mong-koo was hospitalized and died, causing stock prices to surge, but Hyundai denied this news.
Control of Hyundai hinges on increasing the stake in Mobis. Chung Eui-sun aims to keep Mobis's stock low, but Chung Mong-koo’s health complicates timing and strategy.
Mobis's trading point depends on Chung Mong-koo's health. Three scenarios: he's healthy, critically ill, or deceased. Current rumors' price impacts are unlikely to subside soon.


The Latest on the Rumors Surrounding the Death of Chung Mong-Koo of Hyundai Motor Group

Derivatives and Quantitative Strategist

Gaudenz Schneider

Equity Derivatives

Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 / Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs caused significant declines across Asia-Pacific markets. Although initial losses were partially recovered during the day, most markets closed substantially lower.</li>
<li>
Impact on South Korea: South Korea faces a 25% tariff. This led to a 1.5% drop in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/korea-stock-exchange-kospi-200" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26021:1" rel="noopener">Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX).</a> </li>
<li>
Volatility Increase: The Kospi 200 VIX index rose to a high of 28.64 before retreating to 26.05, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.</li>
</ul>



Market Reaction: The announcement of US reciprocal tariffs caused significant declines across Asia-Pacific markets. Although initial losses were partially recovered during the day, most markets closed substantially lower.

Impact on South Korea: South Korea faces a 25% tariff. This led to a 1.5% drop in the Korea Stock Exchange KOSPI 200 Index (KOSPI2 INDEX). 

Volatility Increase: The Kospi 200 VIX index rose to a high of 28.64 before retreating to 26.05, indicating the 99th percentile of implied volatility.


KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact

South Korea

Hyundai Mobis Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automotive parts and equipment, such as  automotive service components, modules, and systems. The Company also contractsenvironmental projects, including sewage treatment plant and industrial waste water treatment plant construction.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
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Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS)

KRX Value-Up Index Rebalance Results and Estimated Passive Impact

This post breaks down the latest special rebalancing results for the KRX Value-Up Index, along with the estimated passive impact.

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Mobis: A Turnaround Story With Strong Outperformance in the Past Three Months

Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) is a strong turnaround story and it has sharply outperformed KOSPI and other major Hyundai Motor Group stocks in the past...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

The Latest on the Rumors Surrounding the Death of Chung Mong-Koo of Hyundai Motor Group

This post offers the latest update on market rumors concerning the passing of Chung Mong-koo, chairman of Hyundai Motor Group.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact

US reciprocal tariffs announcement caused significant declines in Asia-Pacific markets, impacting South Korea with the KOSPI 200 implied...

Gaudenz Schneider

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

KRX Value-Up Index Rebalance Results and Estimated Passive Impact

This post breaks down the latest special rebalancing results for the KRX Value-Up Index, along with the estimated passive impact.

Sanghyun Park

Hyundai Mobis: A Turnaround Story With Strong Outperformance in the Past Three Months

Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS) is a strong turnaround story and it has sharply outperformed KOSPI and other major Hyundai Motor Group stocks in the past...

Douglas Kim

Korean Holdcos Vs Opcos Gap Trading Opportunities in 3Q 2024

In this insight, we highlight the recent pricing gap divergences of the major Korean holdcos and opcos which could provide trading opportunities in...

Douglas Kim

The Latest on the Rumors Surrounding the Death of Chung Mong-Koo of Hyundai Motor Group

This post offers the latest update on market rumors concerning the passing of Chung Mong-koo, chairman of Hyundai Motor Group.

Sanghyun Park

KOSPI 200 (KOSPI2 Index) Hits 99th Percentile Implied Volatility Amid US Tariff Impact

​US reciprocal tariffs announcement caused significant declines in Asia-Pacific markets, impacting South Korea with the KOSPI 200 implied...

Gaudenz Schneider

US reciprocal tariffs announcement caused significant declines in Asia-Pacific markets, impacting South Korea with the KOSPI 200 implied...