Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>KT's foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.</li>
<li>Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT's 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.</li>
<li>Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.</li>
</ul>


KT's foreign room has been exhausted due to value-up trading inflows, NPS selling shares, and KT canceling treasury stocks.
Hyundai Motor may sell 0.5% of its KT stake, likely to overseas investors. KT's 700,000 share cancellation will lower foreign ownership to the low-4% range, possibly below 3.75% by November.
Focus on the stock price surge from ETF recall requests around the effective date, and note that passive outflow corrections typically occur afterward.


Reasons Why KT's Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level

<ul>
<li>Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."</li>
<li>Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.</li>
<li>We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.</li>
</ul>


Korea's majority party plans to amend the Capital Markets Act to base listed companies' merger ratios on intrinsic rather than market value, dubbed the "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law."
Other conglomerates, like Hanwha and Hyundai Motor Group, may execute mergers just before this amendment.
We should expect shareholder-favorable merger ratios. So, we should position in such companies before announcements, ideally just before the new amendment's enforcement.


Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In the past several days, the South Korean Presidential Office has announced that it is pushing for a comprehensive inheritance tax reforms.</li>
<li>Although the Presidential Office mentioned it is pushing to reduce highest inheritance tax rates from 60% to 30%, the more likely scenario is to reduce this rate to about 50%.</li>
<li>The lump sum personal deduction of 500 million won or inheritance tax which has been maintained for nearly 27 years could be doubled to about 1 billion won or more. </li>
</ul>


In the past several days, the South Korean Presidential Office has announced that it is pushing for a comprehensive inheritance tax reforms.
Although the Presidential Office mentioned it is pushing to reduce highest inheritance tax rates from 60% to 30%, the more likely scenario is to reduce this rate to about 50%.
The lump sum personal deduction of 500 million won or inheritance tax which has been maintained for nearly 27 years could be doubled to about 1 billion won or more. 


Korean Government Is Pushing for a Comprehensive Inheritance Reforms - Will They Pass or Fail?

<ul>
<li>Hyundai Motor Group has become the largest shareholder of KT Corp, as the National Pension Service has recently reduced its stake in KT from 8.53% previously to 7.51%. </li>
<li>Despite this recent change in the largest shareholder status of KT Corp, this requires the approval from the Korean Ministry of Science and ICT. </li>
<li>Although the Hyundai Motor Group (HMG) has become the largest owner in KT Corp, the most likely scenario is for HMG to remain a passive investor in KT.</li>
</ul>


Hyundai Motor Group has become the largest shareholder of KT Corp, as the National Pension Service has recently reduced its stake in KT from 8.53% previously to 7.51%. 
Despite this recent change in the largest shareholder status of KT Corp, this requires the approval from the Korean Ministry of Science and ICT. 
Although the Hyundai Motor Group (HMG) has become the largest owner in KT Corp, the most likely scenario is for HMG to remain a passive investor in KT.


Hyundai Motor Group Becomes the Largest Shareholder of KT Corp

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD529.7bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,168mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in Celltrion (068270 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of KRX Stocks as of May 3rd which has an aggregated holding worth USD529.7bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD1,168mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in Celltrion (068270 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).


KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): Celltrion, Sk Hynix

South Korea

Hankook Tire & Technology Co. Ltd. develops and manufactures radial tires for passenger cars, light trucks, trucks, and buses.  The Company also produces batteries and aluminum alloy wheels and operates real estate business.

HL Mando Corp manufactures and markets automotive parts and equipments.  The Company's product line includes brake systems, suspension systems, and steering systems.

Kumho Tire Co., Inc. designs and produces tires.  The Company's main products include various automobile tires and tubes used in sedan, SUV, RV, truck, and bus.  Kumho Tire also provides racing tires.

Hanon Systems manufactures a variety of automotive air control equipment.  The Company's products include air conditioners, heaters, cooling modules, compressors, radiators, fans, evaporators, and condensers. Hanon Systems distributes its products on an original equipment manufacturing (OEM) basis.

SL Corp. designs and manufactures head lamps, chassis, and power trains for autos and motorcycles.  The Company exports its products to overseas market such as North America and Australia.

Sebang Global Battery Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing storage batteries used in automobiles, motorcycles, electric vehicles, and industrial machinery such as excavators and bulldozers.  The Company provides its products to domestic and overseas markets.

Hyundai Wia Corp. manufactures automobile parts. The Company also produces machine tools, robots, presses, industrial machinery, and aircraft parts.

Hankook & Company Co., Ltd. operates as a holding company. The Company operates batteries manufacturing, leasing, management consulting, tires production, and other businesses. Hankook provides services worldwide.

Nexen Tire Corporation manufactures, markets, and exports tires and inner tubes for automobiles, industrial and agricultural machinery, and construction equipment.

Sungwoo Hitech Co., Ltd. manufactures automotive parts, such as bumper rails, side members, and dash panels.  The Company supplies its products to Hyundai Motors.

Fuyao Glass Industry Group Co Ltd, through its subsidiaries, manufactures and distributes automobile glass, decorated glassware, and other industrial glassware. The Company also provides glass installation service. Fuyao Glass Industry Group markets its products internationally.

MRF Limited manufactures and distributes tyres and tubes for automobiles, aircrafts, motorcycles and cycles. The Company also manufactures conveyor belts, paint and coats, and hoses. Every MRF tyre designed is the result of a special acid test on the race and rally tracks.

Bosch Limited manufactures a wide range of automotive parts. The Company'products includes fuel injection pumps, spark plugs, including nozzles and nozzle holders, elements, delivery valves, filters and filter inserts, glow plugs, starter motors, alternators and wipers. Bosch also manufactures hydraulics and pneumatic equipment and electric power tools and fixtures.

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power Co., Ltd. designs, produces, and markets power systems including electricity, gas, steam, chemical, diesel, civil-nuclear, and stirling engines.

China Shipbuilding Industry Group Power (600482 CH)

Huayu Automotive Systems Company Limited manufactures and sells auto parts. The Company's main products include interior and exterior auto parts, functional assembly autoparts and thermo processed auto parts etc.

Gentex Corporation designs, manufactures, and markets products that use electro-optic technology.  The Company's product lines include automatic-dimming rearview mirrors and fire protection products.  Gentex's Night Vision Safety Mirror automatically darkens to the degree required to eliminate rearview headlight glare.  The Company sells its products around the world.

Bharat Forge Limited manufactures steel forgings and machined components for the automotive, diesel engine, railway, earthmoving, cement, sugar, steel, coal, ship building and oilfield industries. The Company specializes in Closed Die as well as Open Die Forgings.

Sumitomo Electric Industries, Ltd. manufactures electric wires, cables, and their related equipment.  The Company's products include optical fibers, wire harnesses, antennas for broadcasting stations, and electric monitoring systems.  Sumitomo Electric also produces disc brakes and antilock braking systems for automobiles and printed circuit board.

Samvardhana Motherson International Limited manufactures and distributes automotive parts. The Company offers products such as HVAC systems, air intake manifolds, highway vehicle cabins, air compressors, and pedal box assembly. Samvardhana Motherson International markets its products worldwide.

Samvardhana Motherson International Ltd (MOTHERSO IN)

Aisin Corporation manufactures and distributes motor vehicle parts. The Company produces drive train, transmissions, clutches, disc brakes, anti-skid brake system, suspensions, oil pumps, power windows, power door locks, and more. Aisin operates sales and production subsidiaries worldwide.

Hyundai Mobis Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets automotive parts and equipment, such as  automotive service components, modules, and systems. The Company also contractsenvironmental projects, including sewage treatment plant and industrial waste water treatment plant construction.

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Hyundai Mobis (012330 KS)

Reasons Why KT's Foreign Room Is Likely to Fall Below the 3.75% Cutoff Level

This post examines the reasons why KT's foreign room is likely to fall below the 3.75% cutoff level before the November review.

Sanghyun Park

Trading Opportunities Arising from the Enactment of The "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law"

This post explores trading opportunities expected from the upcoming "Doosan Bobcat Prevention Law," as labeled by the local market.

Sanghyun Park

Korean Government Is Pushing for a Comprehensive Inheritance Reforms - Will They Pass or Fail?

Although the South Korean Presidential Office mentioned it is pushing to reduce highest inheritance tax rates from 60% to 30%, the more likely...

Douglas Kim

Hyundai Motor Group Becomes the Largest Shareholder of KT Corp

On 9 May, KT Corp (030200 KS) announced that it will cancel 5.1 million treasury shares (about 2% of outstanding shares), representing...

Douglas Kim

KRX Foreign Holding Weekly (May 3rd): Celltrion, Sk Hynix

We analyzed KRX foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in Celltrion (068270 KS), Sk Hynix (000660 KS).

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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