IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

Metro Pacific Investments Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> disclosed a revised voluntary delisting tender offer from a consortium at PHP5.20 per share (PHP5.24 per share including a potential 1H23 dividend).</li>
<li>The revised offer remains conditional on meeting the threshold for voluntary delisting (95% of outstanding shares) or obtaining an exemptive relief from the PSE.  The IFA valued MPI at PHP3.37-5.10.  </li>
<li>The offer was revised to increase the chance of meeting the high delisting threshold, which requires an 86% acceptance rate. At the last close, the gross spread is 8.6%. </li>
</ul>



Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) disclosed a revised voluntary delisting tender offer from a consortium at PHP5.20 per share (PHP5.24 per share including a potential 1H23 dividend).
The revised offer remains conditional on meeting the threshold for voluntary delisting (95% of outstanding shares) or obtaining an exemptive relief from the PSE.  The IFA valued MPI at PHP3.37-5.10.  
The offer was revised to increase the chance of meeting the high delisting threshold, which requires an 86% acceptance rate. At the last close, the gross spread is 8.6%. 


Metro Pacific Investments (MPI PM): Revised and Final Offer at PHP5.20

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/tesserent-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:30716:1" rel="noopener">Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU)</a>, Poly Culture. </li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/musgrave-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1" rel="noopener">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kenedix-residential-investment" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17149:1" rel="noopener">Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Chindata Group (CD US), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Tesserent Ltd (TNT AU), Poly Culture. 
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM), Kenedix Residential Investment (3278 JP).


Merger Arb Mondays (03 Jul) - Dali Foods, Poly Culture, NWS, Yitai, JSR, DDH1, Silk Laser

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>With a couple of trading days to the end of the review period, we do not forecast any changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/philippines-stock-exchange-psei-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22912:1" rel="noopener">Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX)</a> in August. </li>
<li>However, there could be an ad hoc change if <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/metro-pacific-investments-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1054:1" rel="noopener">Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM)</a> is delisted. The stock now trades above the tender offer price.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bloomberry-resorts-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17961:1" rel="noopener">Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM)</a> is the highest ranked non-constituent and the stock has started to move higher again, likely driven in part by potential index inclusion.</li>
</ul>


With a couple of trading days to the end of the review period, we do not forecast any changes for the Philippines Stock Exchange PSEi Index (PCOMP INDEX) in August. 
However, there could be an ad hoc change if Metro Pacific Investments Co (MPI PM) is delisted. The stock now trades above the tender offer price.

Bloomberry Resorts (BLOOM PM) is the highest ranked non-constituent and the stock has started to move higher again, likely driven in part by potential index inclusion.


PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Just the Ad Hoc Change

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-laser-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33498:1" rel="noopener">Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/musgrave-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1" rel="noopener">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/mincor-resources-nl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6731:1" rel="noopener">Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), ENM Holdings (128 HK), Chindata Group (CD US), Estia Health (EHE AU).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Mincor Resources NL (MCR AU), Lian Beng (LBG SP).


Merger Arb Mondays (26 Jun) - Eoflow, ENM, Estia, InvoCare, United Malt, Arclands, Chindata

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/united-malt-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29116:1" rel="noopener">United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/silk-laser-australia-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33498:1" rel="noopener">Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/estia-health-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:77:1" rel="noopener">Estia Health (EHE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/enm-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16267:1" rel="noopener">ENM Holdings (128 HK)</a>.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/liontown-resources-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20488:1" rel="noopener">Liontown Resources (LTR AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/musgrave-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2564:1" rel="noopener">Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toyo-construction-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1176:1" rel="noopener">Toyo Construction (1890 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lian-beng-group-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17636:1" rel="noopener">Lian Beng (LBG SP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/penguin-international-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10190:1" rel="noopener">Penguin International (PBS SP)</a>.</li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations covered by us across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), United Malt Group Ltd (UMG AU), Silk Laser Australia (SLA AU), Estia Health (EHE AU), Chindata Group (CD US), ENM Holdings (128 HK).
Lowest spreads - Healius (HLS AU), Liontown Resources (LTR AU), Musgrave Minerals (MGV AU), Toyo Construction (1890 JP), Lian Beng (LBG SP), Penguin International (PBS SP).


Merger Arb Mondays (19 Jun) - Golden Eagle, Hailan, Yitai Coal, Toshiba, Kenedix, Tesserent, Oishi

Philippines

GT Capital Holdings Inc. is an investment holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, provides banking, automotive, property development, infrastructure, utilities, and insurance services.

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GT Capital (GTCAP PM)

Metro Pacific Investments (MPI PM): Revised and Final Offer at PHP5.20

The offer was revised to increase the chance of meeting the high delisting threshold (86% minority acceptance rate). A reasonable offer increases...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (03 Jul) - Dali Foods, Poly Culture, NWS, Yitai, JSR, DDH1, Silk Laser

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (48.8%), United Malt (13.6%), Chindata (11.7%), ENM (11.5%), Tesserent (8.3%), Poly Culture (8.2%),...

Arun George

PCOMP Index Rebalance Preview: Just the Ad Hoc Change

There are no forecast changes for the PCOMP in August. MPI's delisting could lead to BLOOM's inclusion. MPI is trading above the tender office...

Brian Freitas

Merger Arb Mondays (26 Jun) - Eoflow, ENM, Estia, InvoCare, United Malt, Arclands, Chindata

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (44.1%), Silk Laser (18.8%), United Malt (14.4%), ENM (11.5%), Chindata (10.7%), Estia (10.0%), Golden...

Arun George

Merger Arb Mondays (19 Jun) - Golden Eagle, Hailan, Yitai Coal, Toshiba, Kenedix, Tesserent, Oishi

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (28.4%), United Malt (14.7%), Silk Laser (14.7%), Estia (10.0%), Chindata (9.7%), ENM (9.4%), Metro...

Arun George

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