HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vesync" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31067:1" rel="noopener">Vesync (2148 HK)</a>'s suspension may suggest privatisation by the Yang family (68.8% stake). With US$192m public float and US$216m net cash, out-of-pocket cash needed is limited. </li>
<li>1H24 is decent with a 37.5% earnings growth and 3.3pp margin expansion. The consensus forecast of 4.8% growth in 2H24 is conservative, providing a good opportunity for privatisation.</li>
<li>Benchmarking the take-out price to the 3-year average P/B will mean a 33% upside while the sector's average PER multiple implies ~70% higher than the pre-suspension price.</li>
</ul>



Vesync (2148 HK)'s suspension may suggest privatisation by the Yang family (68.8% stake). With US$192m public float and US$216m net cash, out-of-pocket cash needed is limited. 
1H24 is decent with a 37.5% earnings growth and 3.3pp margin expansion. The consensus forecast of 4.8% growth in 2H24 is conservative, providing a good opportunity for privatisation.
Benchmarking the take-out price to the 3-year average P/B will mean a 33% upside while the sector's average PER multiple implies ~70% higher than the pre-suspension price.


Vesync (2148 HK): A Potential Privatisation?

<ul>
<li>The spin-off of the value-added business (VAS) of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-gas-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14315:1" rel="noopener">China Gas Holdings (384 HK)</a> may add HK$0.22-0.83/share to the stock price, or 3.4-12.8%, based on our initial assessment.</li>
<li>VAS generated an operating profit of HK$1.58bn in FY24, up by 5.7% YoY. It is significant to China Gas as this accounted for 23.5% of its total segment profit.</li>
<li>The share price has not reacted much to the news because weak Chinese equity market and uncertainties on the upcoming 1H FY25 result. Once cleared, we see good upside.</li>
</ul>


The spin-off of the value-added business (VAS) of China Gas Holdings (384 HK) may add HK$0.22-0.83/share to the stock price, or 3.4-12.8%, based on our initial assessment.
VAS generated an operating profit of HK$1.58bn in FY24, up by 5.7% YoY. It is significant to China Gas as this accounted for 23.5% of its total segment profit.
The share price has not reacted much to the news because weak Chinese equity market and uncertainties on the upcoming 1H FY25 result. Once cleared, we see good upside.


China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Assessing the Spin-Off of Value-Added Business

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US: Electric vehicle sales were strong during the two weeks of the National Day holiday, with NIO, Leap, Zeekr, Xiaomi and Tesla performing better(///////)</li>
<li>Consumer sector: Steady Growth in Catering and Retail Consumption During the National Day Holiday(+)</li>
<li>Consumer sector: WeChat reports 20% YoY increase in transaction volume during National Day Holiday (+)</li>
</ul>


NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US: Electric vehicle sales were strong during the two weeks of the National Day holiday, with NIO, Leap, Zeekr, Xiaomi and Tesla performing better(///////)
Consumer sector: Steady Growth in Catering and Retail Consumption During the National Day Holiday(+)
Consumer sector: WeChat reports 20% YoY increase in transaction volume during National Day Holiday (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/000333 CH/600690 CH/000651 CH/1585 HK/NIUUS/603529CH

<ul>
<li>300750 CH/1211 HK:A fire broke out at CATL's Fujian factory, negatively affecting its safety image (-)</li>
<li>1211 HK:BYD recalls close to 100,000 vehicles, mainly produced in 2022-23 (/)</li>
<li>1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +40% yoy in prior week (+)</li>
</ul>


300750 CH/1211 HK:A fire broke out at CATL's Fujian factory, negatively affecting its safety image (-)
1211 HK:BYD recalls close to 100,000 vehicles, mainly produced in 2022-23 (/)
1519 HK/ZTO US: Parcel volume collection +40% yoy in prior week (+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/600690 CH/000333 CH/000651 CH

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

Douglas Research Advisory

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We would subscribe to the HK offering of Midea Group due to its attractive valuations, strong fundamentals, and meaningful price discount relative to the A shares. </li>
<li>We believe a premium valuation relative to the comps is appropriate for Midea Group due to its higher sales growth, EBIT margin, and ROE.</li>
<li>Pricing of this offering is expected to be completed on 13 September and listing on 17 September. </li>
</ul>


We would subscribe to the HK offering of Midea Group due to its attractive valuations, strong fundamentals, and meaningful price discount relative to the A shares. 
We believe a premium valuation relative to the comps is appropriate for Midea Group due to its higher sales growth, EBIT margin, and ROE.
Pricing of this offering is expected to be completed on 13 September and listing on 17 September. 


China

Gree Electric Appliances, Inc. of Zhuhai manufactures and sells a series of air conditioners.  The different series of air conditioners include window type, split type, floor type, mobile type, mobile split type and ceiling type.  The Company also produces air purifier.

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Gree Electric Appliances (000651 CH)

Vesync (2148 HK): A Potential Privatisation?

Vesync may be heading towards privatisation by the Yang family which owns a 68.8% stake. Using historical P/B average and sector PER average as...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Assessing the Spin-Off of Value-Added Business

China Gas' spin-off of value-added services could boost the stock by 3.4-12.8%, with VAS contributing 23.5% of total segment profit. Weak market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/000333 CH/600690 CH/000651 CH/1585 HK/NIUUS/603529CH

Electric vehicle sales, catering, and retail consumption saw strong growth during the National Day holiday, with companies like NIO, Leap, Zeekr,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/600690 CH/000333 CH/000651 CH

CATL's safety image takes a hit after fire at Fujian factory, BYD recalls 100,000 vehicles, ZTO sees 40% increase in parcel volume collection.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Midea Group HK IPO Valuation Analysis

Midea Group's shares closed up 7.8% at HK$59.10 on Tuesday. This strong IPO performance in HK by the Midea Group is likely to set in motion a...

Douglas Kim

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Vesync (2148 HK): A Potential Privatisation?

​Vesync may be heading towards privatisation by the Yang family which owns a 68.8% stake. Using historical P/B average and sector PER average as...

Osbert Tang, CFA

China Gas Holdings (384 HK): Assessing the Spin-Off of Value-Added Business

​China Gas' spin-off of value-added services could boost the stock by 3.4-12.8%, with VAS contributing 23.5% of total segment profit. Weak market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

[Blue Lotus Daily]:NIO US/XPEV US/1810 HK/LI US/000333 CH/600690 CH/000651 CH/1585 HK/NIUUS/603529CH

​Electric vehicle sales, catering, and retail consumption saw strong growth during the National Day holiday, with companies like NIO, Leap, Zeekr,...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:300750 CH/1211 HK/1519 HK/ZTO US/1810 HK/600690 CH/000333 CH/000651 CH

​CATL's safety image takes a hit after fire at Fujian factory, BYD recalls 100,000 vehicles, ZTO sees 40% increase in parcel volume collection.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Midea Group HK IPO Valuation Analysis

Midea Group's shares closed up 7.8% at HK$59.10 on Tuesday. This strong IPO performance in HK by the Midea Group is likely to set in motion a...

Douglas Kim

Vesync may be heading towards privatisation by the Yang family which owns a 68.8% stake. Using historical P/B average and sector PER average as...

China Gas' spin-off of value-added services could boost the stock by 3.4-12.8%, with VAS contributing 23.5% of total segment profit. Weak market...

Electric vehicle sales, catering, and retail consumption saw strong growth during the National Day holiday, with companies like NIO, Leap, Zeekr,...

CATL's safety image takes a hit after fire at Fujian factory, BYD recalls 100,000 vehicles, ZTO sees 40% increase in parcel volume collection.