FLASH: Disinflationary UK Surprise in Sep-18
UK inflation disappointed almost all expectations, including my below consensus ones, by slowing to 2.4% on the CPI and 3.3% on the RPI in...
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FLASH: Hawkish UK Hours and Wages in Aug-18
The unemployment rate remained at 4.0% in August, as expected, while employment contracted marginally amid stagnant labour force growth. Average...
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Preview: UK Sep-18 Inflation and Aug Labour Market
Tuesday’s UK labour market report should be a story of bullish stability, with the UR at 4.0% and wage growth at 2.9%. Both remain on improving...
380 Views
FLASH: UK GDP Revisions Raise 3Q18 Forecast to 0.6%
Although UK monthly GDP was flat in August, upwards revisions to July have raised my tracking estimate for 3Q18 growth to 0.6% q-o-q. This outcome...
392 Views
UK Politics: Votes for the People
The government’s fragile majority risks shattering under internal tensions about Brexit. No form of future trade relationship appears to have a...
387 Views