SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income, Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Geoff Howie

SGX Market Strategist, Equity & Fixed Income

Asia’s leading multi-asset exchange

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Singapore Exchange is Asia’s leading and trusted market infrastructure, facilitating the exchange of capital and ideas to create value for people, businesses and economies. As a multi-asset exchange operating equity, fixed income and derivatives markets to the highest regulatory standards, SGX is a vertically integrated business that provides listing, trading, clearing, settlement, depository and data services.

With about 40% of listed companies and over 80% of listed bonds originating outside of Singapore as well as established linkages across the region and in Europe, SGX is Asia’s most international and connected exchange. Offering a full suite of derivatives products across Asian equity indices, commodities and currencies, SGX is the world’s most liquid international market for the benchmark equity indices of China, India, Japan and ASEAN.

As Asia’s pioneering central counterparty, SGX is globally recognised for its risk management and clearing capabilities, and was one of the first globally to adopt the Principles for Financial Market Infrastructure.

Headquartered in AAA-rated Singapore, SGX has over 800 employees including offices in Beijing, Chicago, Hong Kong, London, New York, Mumbai, San Francisco, Shanghai and Tokyo.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>S-Reits with retail assets in Singapore reported strong committed occupancy and positive rental reversions, driven by tourism recovery.</li><li>Frasers Centrepoint Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust reported occupancy above 99% and rental growth.</li><li>CBRE and DBS Group Research anticipate continued strong leasing sentiment and retail rent growth in Singapore through 2025.</li></ul>

S-Reits with retail assets in Singapore reported strong committed occupancy and positive rental reversions, driven by tourism recovery.Frasers Centrepoint Trust, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, and Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust reported occupancy above 99% and rental growth.CBRE and DBS Group Research anticipate continued strong leasing sentiment and retail rent growth in Singapore through 2025.

REIT Watch – Occupancy remains high for S-Reits’ Singapore retail assets

Equity Analyst, Investory

Devi Subhakesan

Equity Analyst

ASIA CONSUMER: INSIGHTS AND INVESTMENT IDEAS

Investory

Investory is a Singapore-based boutique independent equity research firm founded in January 2017 with a primary focus on consumption themes across Asia-Pacific.

We aim to generate investible ideas based on consumption trends and outlook. We screen our ideas on several parameters - product potential, long-term growth and management commitment being the most critical.  We follow a fundamental analysis approach in our stock selection process and are not restricted by market cap.

We aspire to grow into a leading source of unbiased research, free of conflict of interest, for investors yearning for independent and disciplined analysis. 

We also undertake bespoke research mandates to support our Institutional clients’ investment needs.

Our team comprises of professionals with extensive experience in the Asian equity markets, in areas ranging from research, servicing institutional clients and investment management.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)</a>  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)</a>  in exchange for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property</a> at negotiated valuations, not market prices.</li>
<li>Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&amp;N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).</li>
<li>If the stake swap were valued at yesterday's closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.</li>
</ul>



Thai Beverage(THBEV SP)  has proposed a share swap-deal with a promoter company to acquire additional stake in FraserAnd Neave(FNN SP)  in exchange for Frasers Property at negotiated valuations, not market prices.
Post-Completion of the swap deal with the promoter-owned entity, which requires shareholder approval, Thai Bev will hold a 69.6% stake in F&amp;N and no stake in Fraser Property (FPL).
If the stake swap were valued at yesterday's closing share prices, it would imply a drop in the total stake value for Thai Bev after the proposed deal.


Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

Capitaland Integrated Commercial Trust / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>S-REITs rebounded 5.2% with S$50 million net institutional inflow, led by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Frasers Centrepoint Trust.</li><li>US Fed Fund Rates outlook turned dovish, with expectations of 75bps cuts by 2026 due to weak consumer gauges.</li><li>Larger-cap S-REITs averaged 4.8% returns, outperforming smaller-cap counterparts, supported by institutional inflows and index weightings.</li></ul>

S-REITs rebounded 5.2% with S$50 million net institutional inflow, led by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Frasers Centrepoint Trust.US Fed Fund Rates outlook turned dovish, with expectations of 75bps cuts by 2026 due to weak consumer gauges.Larger-cap S-REITs averaged 4.8% returns, outperforming smaller-cap counterparts, supported by institutional inflows and index weightings.

S-REITs That Bucked Recent Market Downturn

<ul><li>Over the five trading sessions from Nov 1 to 7, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$141 million.</li><li>Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over those five sessions were OCBC, Capitaland Ascendas Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, UOB, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Suntec Reit, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Keppel.</li><li>Notably, in the November 2024 rebalance, Singapore stands out as the only Asia developed market with a net increase in MSCI Standard Index constituents.</li></ul>

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 1 to 7, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of S$141 million.Stocks that led the net institutional outflow over those five sessions were OCBC, Capitaland Ascendas Reit, CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust, Mapletree Pan Asia Commercial Trust, Mapletree Industrial Trust, UOB, Frasers Centrepoint Trust, Suntec Reit, Frasers Logistics & Commercial Trust and Keppel.Notably, in the November 2024 rebalance, Singapore stands out as the only Asia developed market with a net increase in MSCI Standard Index constituents.

SIA Engineering resumes buybacks after reporting H1 FY2025 results

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Back on the 18th, the Sirivadhanabhakdi family-backed <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thai-beverage-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3656:1" rel="noopener">Thai Beverage (THBEV SP)</a> announced it would <a href="https://links.sgx.com/FileOpen/1.%20SGX_Announcement_Share_Swap.ashx?App=Announcement&amp;FileID=810120" target="_blank" rel="noopener">swap</a> its 28.78% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/frasers-property-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1670:1" rel="noopener">Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)</a> with THBEV-affiliate TCC Assets.</li>
<li>Under the agreement, TCC will transfer a 41.3% stake in food and beverage play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fraser-and-neave-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:980:1" rel="noopener">Fraser And Neave (FNN SP)</a> to THBEV, lifting THBEV's holding to 69.61% from 28.31% currently.</li>
<li>The share swap triggers no Offers for either F&amp;N or FPL. THBEV says it has no plans to privatise F&amp;N  ... at the moment.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 18th, the Sirivadhanabhakdi family-backed Thai Beverage (THBEV SP) announced it would swap its 28.78% stake in Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP) with THBEV-affiliate TCC Assets.
Under the agreement, TCC will transfer a 41.3% stake in food and beverage play Fraser And Neave (FNN SP) to THBEV, lifting THBEV's holding to 69.61% from 28.31% currently.
The share swap triggers no Offers for either F&amp;N or FPL. THBEV says it has no plans to privatise F&amp;N  ... at the moment.


Charoen Rearranges ThaiBev and TCC's Deckchairs

Singapore

Frasers Property Limited provides real estate ownership and development services. The Company engages in the development of land, housing projects, apartments, as well as commercial, industrial, and retail properties. Frasers Property serves customers globally.

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Frasers Property Ltd (FPL SP)

REIT Watch – Occupancy remains high for S-Reits’ Singapore retail assets

S-Reits with retail assets in Singapore reported strong committed occupancy and positive rental reversions, driven by tourism recovery. Frasers...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Thai Bev (THBEV SP): Exits Property, Boosts F&N Stake. Deal Valuation Seem Excessive

Proposed share swap deal with promoter company based on negotiated values not market prices. Acquisition value for F&N seem excessive and...

Devi Subhakesan

S-REITs That Bucked Recent Market Downturn

S-REITs rebounded 5.2% with S$50 million net institutional inflow, led by CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust and Frasers Centrepoint Trust. US...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

SIA Engineering resumes buybacks after reporting H1 FY2025 results

Over the five trading sessions from Nov 1 to 7, institutions were net sellers of Singapore stocks, resulting in a net institutional outflow of...

Singapore Exchange Ltd (SGX)

Charoen Rearranges ThaiBev and TCC's Deckchairs

I can see the Sirivadhanabhakdi family taking out F&N down the road. Buy on any significant dips from here if illiquid value names are your bent.

David Blennerhassett

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