Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Wednesday will be a busy day as positions are put on and unwound following announcement of the changes to the MSC indices.</li>
<li>Friday will end the review cutoff for the ASX indices and Hang Seng Indexes will announce the December changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hong-kong-hang-seng-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22899:1" rel="noopener">HSI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-china-enterprises-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22900:1" rel="noopener">HSCEI</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hang-seng-tech-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31367:1" rel="noopener">HSTECH</a> and HSCI post market close.</li>
<li>Another week of large outflows for China focused ETFs with redemptions across all the major indices.</li>
</ul>


Wednesday will be a busy day as positions are put on and unwound following announcement of the changes to the MSC indices.
Friday will end the review cutoff for the ASX indices and Hang Seng Indexes will announce the December changes for the HSI, HSCEI, HSTECH and HSCI post market close.
Another week of large outflows for China focused ETFs with redemptions across all the major indices.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Equity Bottom-Up

Foxconn Technology Corp / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Foxconn is facing one of its biggest compliance challenges on the Chinese mainland, where the key iPhone assembler has been caught in the crosshairs of government investigators.</li><li>Multiple Foxconn-affiliated entities are being investigated by Chinese authorities as part of probes into the company’s mainland facilities, Caixin confirmed Monday with Foxconn Industrial Internet Co. Ltd., the Taiwanese contract manufacturer’s Shanghai-listed arm.</li><li>State-owned newspaper Global Times first reported Sunday that Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd., was facing tax and land-use probes into its mainland facilities.</li></ul>

Foxconn is facing one of its biggest compliance challenges on the Chinese mainland, where the key iPhone assembler has been caught in the crosshairs of government investigators.Multiple Foxconn-affiliated entities are being investigated by Chinese authorities as part of probes into the company’s mainland facilities, Caixin confirmed Monday with Foxconn Industrial Internet Co. Ltd., the Taiwanese contract manufacturer’s Shanghai-listed arm.State-owned newspaper Global Times first reported Sunday that Foxconn, also known as Hon Hai Precision Industry Co. Ltd., was facing tax and land-use probes into its mainland facilities.

How Foxconn Triumphed on the Chinese Mainland 

Hygon Information Technology C / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With the review period complete, we see 9 stocks in inclusion zone and 10 in deletion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.7% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.86bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.</li>
<li>Apart from being added to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-stock-exchange-sse-50-a-share-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31073:1" rel="noopener">SSE50 Index</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hygon-information-technology-c" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36366:1" rel="noopener">Hygon Information Technology (688041 CH)</a> could also be added to other local/global indices over the next few weeks and months.</li>
</ul>


With the review period complete, we see 9 stocks in inclusion zone and 10 in deletion zone. However, there can be a maximum of 5 changes at a review.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 4.7% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 3.86bn. Index arb balances could increase the impact on the stocks.
Apart from being added to the SSE50 Index, Hygon Information Technology (688041 CH) could also be added to other local/global indices over the next few weeks and months.


SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes; Hygon Stands Out

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Shenzhen Mindray Bio-Medical Electronics / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.</li>
<li>The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.</li>
<li>NORTHBOUND saw net inflow for the first time in three months. Small at RMB 557mm, but positive.</li>
</ul>


This is the somewhat-brand-spanking-new Quiddity Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Monitor. We work off the same presentation as the A/H Premium Monitor and HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Monitor.
The same five names continue at the top of the gross flows list - Kweichow Moutai, Contemporary Amperex, Wuliangye Yibin, Foxconn Industrial, and BYD. Nets are dropping.
NORTHBOUND saw net inflow for the first time in three months. Small at RMB 557mm, but positive.


Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of November 3rd.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$100.5 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, health care sectors, and offset by industrials, consumer discretionary.
We highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray, Wuliangye, BYD.


Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

Taiwan

Foxconn Industrial Internet Co., Ltd. operates as a communication network equipment development company. The Company develops and sells network switches, routers, wireless devices, web servers, set top boxes, smart home gateways, and other products. Foxconn Industrial Internet also manufactures storage equipment.

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Foxconn Industrial Internet (601138 CH)

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: SSE50, Chinext/50, Renesas, Tencent, Amman Mineral

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

How Foxconn Triumphed on the Chinese Mainland

Foxconn is facing one of its biggest compliance challenges on the Chinese mainland, where the key iPhone assembler has been caught in the...

Caixin Global

SSE50 Index Rebalance Preview: Five Potential Changes; Hygon Stands Out

There should be 5 index changes in Dec. Hygon has been outperforming with inflows from multiple passive inflows expected in the next month. Adds...

Brian Freitas

Mainland Connect NORTHBOUND Flows (To 3Nov23): First Week of Net Buying in 3mos

Northbound Connect flows were positive for the first time in three months last week. Top stocks saw the same. Watch for more jawboning on short...

Travis Lundy

Northbound Flows (Nov 3rd): Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend Microelectronics, Mindray

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Moutai, China Yangtze Power, Maxscend...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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