Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In late May, Toyota Group member <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> announced it would sell its 37% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. The market dropped. But that was an opportunity. </li>
<li>There was an announcement, a ToSTNeT-3 buyback, the offering, and more buyback to come. On 30 May, I said "Buy the deal, buy in the market. It's cheap and vulnerable."</li>
<li>Exedy is up 21% since. On 17 June, activist Murakami-san's group went over 5%. Then they bought more. Now they have 15%. Or more. Still cheap. Still vulnerable. </li>
</ul>


In late May, Toyota Group member Aisin (7259 JP) announced it would sell its 37% stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). The market dropped. But that was an opportunity. 
There was an announcement, a ToSTNeT-3 buyback, the offering, and more buyback to come. On 30 May, I said "Buy the deal, buy in the market. It's cheap and vulnerable."
Exedy is up 21% since. On 17 June, activist Murakami-san's group went over 5%. Then they bought more. Now they have 15%. Or more. Still cheap. Still vulnerable. 


[JAPAN ACTIVISM] - Murakami Group Bigger and Bolder on Exedy - STILL Room to Run

David Blennerhassett

<ul>
<li>Murakami Group now owns 10.13% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. Interestingly, NOMURA Aya sold 6.79% off-market to Minami Aoyama Fudosan. Has the Murakami Group made a "mistake" in its planning?</li>
<li>A big win for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a> as the U.S. Federal Appeals Court issued its decision on overturning <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insulet-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5252:1" rel="noopener">Insulet Corp (PODD US)</a>'s provisional injunction</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/l-occitane-international-sa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6772:1" rel="noopener">L'Occitane (973 HK)</a> finally announces the share alternative.  And  Pleasant Lake (3.25% of shares out) will accept the share offer (either cash or scrip). This is a done deal</li>
</ul>


Murakami Group now owns 10.13% of Exedy Corp (7278 JP). Interestingly, NOMURA Aya sold 6.79% off-market to Minami Aoyama Fudosan. Has the Murakami Group made a "mistake" in its planning?
A big win for EOFlow (294090 KS) as the U.S. Federal Appeals Court issued its decision on overturning Insulet Corp (PODD US)'s provisional injunction

L'Occitane (973 HK) finally announces the share alternative.  And  Pleasant Lake (3.25% of shares out) will accept the share offer (either cash or scrip). This is a done deal


Last Week in Event SPACE: Exedy Corp, EOFlow, L'Occitane, Jardine Cycle & Carriage

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>Murakami's entity, City Index Eleventh, and daughter reported a 5.46% position in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. The shares purchases began two days after the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> secondary offering.</li>
<li>Murakami's average buy-in price is JPY2,607.30 per share, 2.3% higher than the recent secondary offering price of JPY2,549.</li>
<li>Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents suggest the latter.</li>
</ul>


Murakami's entity, City Index Eleventh, and daughter reported a 5.46% position in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). The shares purchases began two days after the Aisin (7259 JP) secondary offering.
Murakami's average buy-in price is JPY2,607.30 per share, 2.3% higher than the recent secondary offering price of JPY2,549.
Murakami's disclosure suggests two possibilities: the start of an activist campaign or a short-term pump-and-dump play. Recent precedents suggest the latter.


Exedy Corp (7278 JP): Murakami Becomes a Substantial Shareholder

<ul>
<li>On Monday 27 May, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> announced an offering to sell ALL of its 36+% stake in equity affiliate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a> for likely ¥40bn+. </li>
<li>Exedy announced a big buyback to go with it. It bought back 30% of the total on Weds morning, and that reduced the size of the offer. </li>
<li>I had expected "short-term games" but we haven't really had them. Which is a bit weird. This update shows the details and dynamics (they differ).</li>
</ul>


On Monday 27 May, Aisin (7259 JP) announced an offering to sell ALL of its 36+% stake in equity affiliate Exedy Corp (7278 JP) for likely ¥40bn+. 
Exedy announced a big buyback to go with it. It bought back 30% of the total on Weds morning, and that reduced the size of the offer. 
I had expected "short-term games" but we haven't really had them. Which is a bit weird. This update shows the details and dynamics (they differ).


Exedy (7278) Huge Offering Resized - Watch the Dynamics Here

<ul>
<li>Toyota equity affiliate <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/aisin-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11809:1" rel="noopener">Aisin (7259 JP)</a> last September said it would sell all its crossholdings. That now includes a 36.5% stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/exedy-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6516:1" rel="noopener">Exedy Corp (7278 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>Today, they announced an offering of all the shares (when including the greenshoe). That is nearly ¥50bn. That is offset by a ¥15bn buyback which could reduce the offering size.</li>
<li>Games may be played, but there is considerable accretion, and Exedy will see higher float and still-high net cash.</li>
</ul>


Toyota equity affiliate Aisin (7259 JP) last September said it would sell all its crossholdings. That now includes a 36.5% stake in Exedy Corp (7278 JP). 
Today, they announced an offering of all the shares (when including the greenshoe). That is nearly ¥50bn. That is offset by a ¥15bn buyback which could reduce the offering size.
Games may be played, but there is considerable accretion, and Exedy will see higher float and still-high net cash.


Cash-Rich Exedy (7278) Sees Huge Offering Offset by Huge Buyback - Watch For Short-Term Games

Japan

EXEDY Corporation manufactures drivetrain products for automobiles, industrial vehicles, and construction machinery.  The Company's products include manual clutches, torque converters, power shift transmissions, and hydraulic clutches. Exedy has its subsidiaries in South Korea, Australia, the US and the UK.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Exedy Corp (7278 JP)

[JAPAN ACTIVISM] - Murakami Group Bigger and Bolder on Exedy - STILL Room to Run

Murakami-san now owns c16% of Exedy. Exedy had 10mos to do the rest of its buyback. It is 60% done in Month 1. Accretion is faster than expected....

Travis Lundy

Last Week in Event SPACE: Exedy Corp, EOFlow, L'Occitane, Jardine Cycle & Carriage

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett