Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

This insight outlines the tight oil/equity correlation within the context of the oil/USD link and outlines why Euro resistance is the make or break level for the current elevated risk-on euphoric rise. Looking at Asia and EM macro cycles suggest there is a lot more upside potential into 2019 but this FX pivot point will be able to identify any tactical correction that is due in February (and then Q2).Oil, in recent years has demonstrated a tight correlation with US equities and risk with…

This insight outlines the tight oil/equity correlation within the context of the oil/USD link and outlines why Euro resistance is the make or break level for the current elevated risk-on euphoric rise. Looking at Asia and EM macro cycles suggest there is a lot more upside potential into 2019 but this FX pivot point will be able to identify any tactical correction that is due in February (and then Q2).Oil, in recent years has demonstrated a tight correlation with US equities and risk with…

Single Chart Inflection Point that Will Define Risk in 1H 2018

Economist

Richard Iley

Macroeconomics

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At 2.6% q/q SAAR,<a href="https://www.bea.gov/newsreleases/national/gdp/2018/pdf/gdp4q17_adv.pdf" target="_blank"> the advance estimate of US Q4 GDP</a> was superficially disappointing but the more the data are dug into, the better they look. Private-sector domestic demand (what maters most for equities) in fact surged on some measures at its fastest pace in over a decade. Booming domestic demand sucking in imports at close to their fastest pace in a decade was the dominant factor crimping headline growth. 
The key metric to focus on in the GDP report is final sales to private domestic…
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At 2.6% q/q SAAR, the advance estimate of US Q4 GDP was superficially disappointing but the more the data are dug into, the better they look. Private-sector domestic demand (what maters most for equities) in fact surged on some measures at its fastest pace in over a decade. Booming domestic demand sucking in imports at close to their fastest pace in a decade was the dominant factor crimping headline growth. 
The key metric to focus on in the GDP report is final sales to private domestic…


Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist, CrossBorder Capital

Michael J. Howell

Cross-Asset Liquidity Strategist

Implementing Research Using Alt Data & AI

CrossBorder Capital

CrossBorder Capital is a London-based independent investment advisory firm. Founded in 1996, it exploits a gap in the investment arena by focusing on Central bank liquidity. 

It specialises in the monitoring and analysis of global liquidity flows - an important determinant of asset prices, from currencies through to bonds, equities and real estate.

CrossBorder Capital implements its investment strategy and currently manages over US$ 350m.


We have grown worried by the capital concentration in US assets, particularly in so-called ‘safe’ assets like Treasuries and the US dollar. Similar events occurred in 1987 ahead of the October stock market crash, and although conditions for a similar crash may be months away the triggers, namely rising bond yields and a weak USD need to be closely watched. As WarrenBuffett suggests: 'enjoy the party, but dance near the door'.Behind these 1987 triggers were two liquidity taps which quickly shut-o…

We have grown worried by the capital concentration in US assets, particularly in so-called ‘safe’ assets like Treasuries and the US dollar. Similar events occurred in 1987 ahead of the October stock market crash, and although conditions for a similar crash may be months away the triggers, namely rising bond yields and a weak USD need to be closely watched. As WarrenBuffett suggests: 'enjoy the party, but dance near the door'.Behind these 1987 triggers were two liquidity taps which quickly shut-o…

Economist (US Macro), RDQ Economics

Conrad DeQuadros

Economist (US Macro)

RDQ Economics

RDQ Economics provides global macroeconomic consulting services with an emphasis on U.S. economic fundamentals and monetary policy.  
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Our views are driven by consistent application of classical economic and monetary principles and has generated superior anticipation of changes in the stance of monetary policy and of movements in economic growth and inflation.
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The founders of RDQ Economics—John Ryding and Conrad DeQuadros—worked together on Wall Street for a decade, in the independent research space for nine years, and have experience in central banking at the Federal Reserve and the Bank of England.  John and Conrad have worked closely with fixed income, foreign exchange, and equity traders and portfolio managers, which has enabled their analysis and advice to be tailored to a clientele that is focused on trading and investment decisions.

FX & Rates

The U.S. is headed to record trade deficits and increased fiscal deficits over our forecast horizon of 2018-19.  In inflation-adjusted terms, we project that the trade deficit will widen from $618 billion in 2017 to $715 billion in 2018 and rise further to $836 billion in 2019.  The source of the widening in the trade deficit is the boost to demand—especially investment spending—from the cut in taxes at a time when the U.S. economy is close to full employment.  Over time, higher capital spending…

The U.S. is headed to record trade deficits and increased fiscal deficits over our forecast horizon of 2018-19.  In inflation-adjusted terms, we project that the trade deficit will widen from $618 billion in 2017 to $715 billion in 2018 and rise further to $836 billion in 2019.  The source of the widening in the trade deficit is the boost to demand—especially investment spending—from the cut in taxes at a time when the U.S. economy is close to full employment.  Over time, higher capital spending…

The U.S. Dollar: Deficits, Tax Cuts, and Mnuchin's Jawboning

FX Strategist

Greg Gibbs

Fundamental analysis of topical themes in FX

Amplifying Global FX Capital

Amplifying Global FX Capital was founded in 2015 and is fully owned by Greg Gibbs. It is a registered company both in Australia and Colorado, USA and is a licensed in Australia to provide financial services.

We are producing a regular trading view orientated macroeconomic analysis of topical themes in global financial markets, with a particular focus on foreign exchange. We invite you to view an “executive summary” of these reports in “AmpGFX Reports” under our “Research” menu.

These reports are drawn from the analysis of Greg Gibbs and inform the capital management he undertakes on behalf of the company. The trading performance is posted periodically on our website. We aim to build our company into both a research and capital management business. We are currently in the planning phase for managing capital for wholesale customers.

Greg Gibbs has spent his working life of more than 26 years in financial markets, beginning in 1989 at the Reserve Bank of Australia, after completing a Bachelor of Economics Degree (Honours) at the Australian National University. He has been a CFA Charterholder since 2005. He has worked in Sydney, Singapore, New York and London for major global banks and presented on foreign exchange markets to major financial institutions and companies around the world, and maintained a high profile in the financial media.

Before Amplifying Global FX Capital, Greg was the Head of Asia Pacific Market Strategy at the Royal Bank of Scotland based Singapore. He now resides in Breckenridge Colorado.

This won’t necessarily sound ground-breaking for many market observers, but the weak USD reflects the bull market in global equities.  Interest rate differentials are playing a very limited role in the FX market, less so than they have for a long time.  The divergence between interest rate spreads and many currencies’ exchange rate to the USD is around historical wides. Several factors are accentuating this divergence and may continue to do so for some time.

This won’t necessarily sound ground-breaking for many market observers, but the weak USD reflects the bull market in global equities.  Interest rate differentials are playing a very limited role in the FX market, less so than they have for a long time.  The divergence between interest rate spreads and many currencies’ exchange rate to the USD is around historical wides. Several factors are accentuating this divergence and may continue to do so for some time.

Stable Genius or Dumb Luck, Trump Gets a Weak Dollar

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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EURO/US DOLLAR (EURUSD CURNCY)

Single Chart Inflection Point that Will Define Risk in 1H 2018

This insight outlines the tight oil/equity correlation within the context of the oil/USD link and outlines why Euro resistance is the make or break...

Thomas Schroeder

Chart of the Day: What Lies Beneath

At 2.6% q/q SAAR, the advance estimate of US Q4 GDP was superficially disappointing but the more the data are dug into, the better they look....

Richard Iley

A 2018 Crash: 1987 Redux?

We have grown worried by the capital concentration in US assets, particularly in so-called ‘safe’ assets like Treasuries and the US dollar. Similar...

Michael J. Howell

The U.S. Dollar: Deficits, Tax Cuts, and Mnuchin's Jawboning

The U.S. is headed to record trade deficits and increased fiscal deficits over our forecast horizon of 2018-19. In inflation-adjusted terms, we...

RDQ Economics

Stable Genius or Dumb Luck, Trump Gets a Weak Dollar

This won’t necessarily sound ground-breaking for many market observers, but the weak USD reflects the bull market in global equities. Interest...

Greg Gibbs

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