Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>In this CPI ‘preview’ we’ll turn to our charts trying to align expectations to select indicators.</li>
<li>We see inflation coming in lower than expected again both in headline- and core terms</li>
<li>USD could weaken, while positive vibes could resurface around global equities </li>
</ul>


In this CPI ‘preview’ we’ll turn to our charts trying to align expectations to select indicators.
We see inflation coming in lower than expected again both in headline- and core terms
USD could weaken, while positive vibes could resurface around global equities 


US Inflation Watch – Charts, Charts, Charts

Marketing Director, Asia Frontier Capital

Asia Frontier Capital

Marketing Director

Investing in high growth Asian frontier economies.

Asia Frontier Capital Ltd. is a pioneering fund management company based in Hong Kong that specializes in investing in high growth Asian frontier economies by managing the AFC Asia Frontier Fund , AFC Iraq Fund and the AFC Vietnam Fund.

The AFC Asia Frontier Fund invests in public equities of Asian frontier countries that are seeing increasing consumption due to favorable demographic trends, rising incomes and high GDP growth. The fund invests in listed equities of companies that have their principal business activities in Bangladesh, Bhutan, Cambodia, Iraq, Laos, Maldives, Mongolia, Myanmar (Burma), Nepal, Pakistan, Papua New Guinea, Sri Lanka and Vietnam. The AFC Asia Frontier Fund is positioned to take advantage of the continuing economic shifts in these countries and offers high returns combined with significant diversification opportunities. This fund is directed by the founder and CEO of Asia Frontier Capital, Thomas Hugger, who has been investing in frontier markets across Asia and Africa for more than 20 years.

The AFC Iraq Fund was launched on the 26th June 2015 and aims to achieve long-term capital appreciation for investors by capturing value and growth potential in the post conflict high-growth & resource rich Iraq market. The fund emphasises long term investment horizon to truly capture the opportunity in Iraq. The fund's investable universe consists of locally listed companies that have their principal business activities in Iraq as well as foreign listed companies that have the majority of the business in Iraq as a whole including the prosperous Kurdish Region of Iraq (KRI). The AFC Iraq Fund offers access to investments in post conflict recovery potential of Iraq, including the KRI, and/or stability in its territory. The AFC Iraq Fund is managed by Asia Frontier Capital (Iraq) Limited, Cayman Islands under the executive leadership team of Thomas Hugger (CEO & Fund Manager) and Ahmed Tabaqchali (CIO) who have more than 47 years of investment experience as well as an extensive background covering global, emerging, frontier and MENA markets.

The AFC Vietnam Fund invests exclusively in listed Vietnamese equities to capture value in growth companies with a focus on the small to medium size companies. This market segment offers a unique investment opportunity as the valuation gap between large- and small-cap stocks in Vietnam is presently much wider than in comparable neighboring markets and the valuations are significantly depressed versus their regional peers. The fund adopts a fundamental-quantitative approach and employs an in-house earnings model to identify attractive companies where we see high growth opportunities. In conjunction with targeting the maximum upside potential the portfolio has been structured to mitigate corporate government and liquidity risks. The fund invests in a diversified portfolio of 70-90 attractively valued companies to carefully control concentration risk.  This approach allows the fund to sell, or buy, positions without having a significant market impact. The fund is directed under the executive leadership of Thomas Hugger and Andreas Vogelsanger who have more than 50 years combined experience managing investments in frontier markets, Asia and around the world.

For more information about the fund, management team and investment strategy please contact us at info@asiafrontiercapital.com.

<ul><li>The AFC Iraq Fund was down 0.5% in January, outperforming its benchmark, the Rabee Securities RSISX USD Index, which was down 5.0% for the month.</li><li>For the third month in a row, the decline in the parallel market’s price of the Iraqi Dinar (IQD) versus the US Dollar (USD) negatively affected the market’s performance by reversing the index’s 5.5% increase in IQD terms to a decline of 5.0% in USD terms, and the fund’s 9.0% increase in IQD terms into a 0.5% decline in USD terms.</li><li>However, unlike the prior two months, the market has started looking through and discounting the currency’s volatility as seen from the market action and, in particular, those of banks and industrial stocks – two groups that stand out as net beneficiaries of the depreciation of the market price of the IQD vs the USD.</li></ul>

The AFC Iraq Fund was down 0.5% in January, outperforming its benchmark, the Rabee Securities RSISX USD Index, which was down 5.0% for the month.For the third month in a row, the decline in the parallel market’s price of the Iraqi Dinar (IQD) versus the US Dollar (USD) negatively affected the market’s performance by reversing the index’s 5.5% increase in IQD terms to a decline of 5.0% in USD terms, and the fund’s 9.0% increase in IQD terms into a 0.5% decline in USD terms.However, unlike the prior two months, the market has started looking through and discounting the currency’s volatility as seen from the market action and, in particular, those of banks and industrial stocks – two groups that stand out as net beneficiaries of the depreciation of the market price of the IQD vs the USD.

AFC Iraq Fund January 2023 Update: "Market Begins to Discount Currency Upheavals"

<ul>
<li>2023 had a flamboyant start with European and US stock markets in positive territory.</li>
<li>Also, the VN-Index gained an impressive 10.3% in the first month of the year, mainly due to the strong performance of bank stocks.</li>
<li>The AFC Vietnam Fund unfortunately doesn’t have much exposure to banks and hence the NAV rose by only +4.1% to USD 3,004 in January, according to internal estimates. </li>
</ul>


2023 had a flamboyant start with European and US stock markets in positive territory.
Also, the VN-Index gained an impressive 10.3% in the first month of the year, mainly due to the strong performance of bank stocks.
The AFC Vietnam Fund unfortunately doesn’t have much exposure to banks and hence the NAV rose by only +4.1% to USD 3,004 in January, according to internal estimates. 


Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>We take you through all of our leading indicators on growth, inflation and liquidity ahead of the Fed meeting</li>
<li>Inflation and growth is coming down, while liquidity is currently improving </li>
<li>Bottom-Line: The Fed is close to pausing but QT will remain in place until the early Autumn at least</li>
</ul>


We take you through all of our leading indicators on growth, inflation and liquidity ahead of the Fed meeting
Inflation and growth is coming down, while liquidity is currently improving 
Bottom-Line: The Fed is close to pausing but QT will remain in place until the early Autumn at least


Macro Watch – 16 Charts On US Macro Ahead Of The Fed Meeting

CEO, ByteTree Asset Management

ByteTree Asset Management

Specialising in Bitcoin, Gold and Digital Assets

Investment Manager specialising in bitcoin, gold and digital assets

<ul><li>With stocks up while the dollar is down, 2023 continues to surprise.</li><li>It was supposed to be the great recession, but the market says otherwise.</li><li>That is one of the confusions around gold. In this week’s Atlas Pulse, I compared the bull vs bear arguments. </li></ul>

With stocks up while the dollar is down, 2023 continues to surprise.It was supposed to be the great recession, but the market says otherwise.That is one of the confusions around gold. In this week’s Atlas Pulse, I compared the bull vs bear arguments. 

United States

The euro is the official currency of the European Economic & Monetary Union.  The US dollar is the official currency of the United States of America.

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US Inflation Watch – Charts, Charts, Charts

We bet economists and traders are on the edge of their seats awaiting the coming US CPI-print. In this ‘preview’ we’ll turn to our charts trying to...

Steno Research

AFC Iraq Fund January 2023 Update: "Market Begins to Discount Currency Upheavals"

The AFC Iraq Fund was down 0.5% in January, outperforming its benchmark, the Rabee Securities RSISX USD Index, which was down 5.0% for the month.

Asia Frontier Capital

AFC Vietnam Fund January 2023 Report

The AFC Vietnam Fund unfortunately doesn’t have much exposure to banks and hence the NAV rose by only +4.1% to USD 3,004 in January, according to...

Asia Frontier Capital

Macro Watch – 16 Charts On US Macro Ahead Of The Fed Meeting

Before the FOMC meeting we take the temperature of the US economy via a pamphlet of indicators on inflation, growth, liquidity and asset markets....

Steno Research

Going for Gold

With stocks up while the dollar is down, 2023 continues to surprise. It was supposed to be the great recession, but the market says otherwise.

ByteTree Asset Management

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