Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>If you are still long the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hokuhoku-financial-group-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19006:1" rel="noopener">Financial Group (8377 JP)</a> from before, stay long.If you sold Hokuhoku from before, be long again, and buy on weakness</li>
<li>Disaster for arb players as AusSuper rewrites the record books as an investor class and shoots down Brookfield's sweetened Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kyocera-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:753:1" rel="noopener">Kyocera (6971 JP)</a> announced Q2 results and lowered its full-year forecast. Then the CEO said it was "reconsidering" what to do with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kddi-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:639:1" rel="noopener">KDDI (9433 JP)</a> shares (after an AGM disaster).</li>
</ul>


If you are still long the Financial Group (8377 JP) from before, stay long.If you sold Hokuhoku from before, be long again, and buy on weakness
Disaster for arb players as AusSuper rewrites the record books as an investor class and shoots down Brookfield's sweetened Offer for Origin Energy (ORG AU).

Kyocera (6971 JP) announced Q2 results and lowered its full-year forecast. Then the CEO said it was "reconsidering" what to do with KDDI (9433 JP) shares (after an AGM disaster).


Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

Haitong International Securities Group / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For the month of October 2023, 7 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn.</li>
<li>The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in October was 65%. The average YTD is 37% (85 deals).</li>
<li>This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.</li>
</ul>


For the month of October 2023, 7 new deals (firm and non-binding) were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall announced deal size of ~US$4bn.
The average premium for the new deals announced (or first discussed) in October was 65%. The average YTD is 37% (85 deals).
This compares to the average premium for all deals in 2022 (106 deals), 2021 (165 deals), 2020 (158 deals), and 2019 (145 deals) of 41%, 33%, 31%, and 31% respectively.


(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2023: Haitong, Azure, Hollysys, Aeon, Teraoka, Tietto, Lithium Power

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.</li>
<li>Highest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/111-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27412:1" rel="noopener">111 Inc (YI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">Eoflow (294090 KS)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hollysys-automation-technologies" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26078:1" rel="noopener">Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/symbio-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20292:1" rel="noopener">Symbio Holdings (SYM AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/jsr-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17620:1" rel="noopener">JSR Corp (4185 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/healius-ltd-6d4d947d-ad32-4aea-b2d8-265f5768b55e" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14208:1" rel="noopener">Healius (HLS AU)</a>, Haitong International.</li>
<li>Lowest spreads - <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pact-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:692:1" rel="noopener">Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/origin-energy-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:797:1" rel="noopener">Origin Energy (ORG AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chindata-group-holdings-adr" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29274:1" rel="noopener">Chindata Group (CD US)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/allkem-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:3572:1" rel="noopener">Allkem Ltd (AKE AU)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/t-k-toka-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:18678:1" rel="noopener">T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/azure-minerals-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16538:1" rel="noopener">Azure Minerals (AZS AU)</a>. </li>
</ul>


We summarise the latest spreads and newsflow of merger arb situations we cover across Hong Kong, Australia, New Zealand, Singapore, Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia, Philippines, Thailand and Chinese ADRs.
Highest spreads - 111 Inc (YI US), Eoflow (294090 KS), Hollysys Automation Technologies (HOLI US), Symbio Holdings (SYM AU), JSR Corp (4185 JP), Healius (HLS AU), Haitong International.
Lowest spreads - Pact Group Holdings (PGH AU), Origin Energy (ORG AU), Chindata Group (CD US), Allkem Ltd (AKE AU), T&amp;K Toka Co Ltd (4636 JP), Azure Minerals (AZS AU). 


Merger Arb Mondays (30 Oct) - JSR, Eoflow, Azure Minerals, Symbio, Hollysys, Haitong Intl

<ul>
<li>Recent underperformance of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/newmont-mining-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14503:1" rel="noopener">Newmont Mining (NEM US)</a> vs Peers appears to be part of a "perfect storm". </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pccw-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:873:1" rel="noopener">PCCW Ltd (8 HK)</a> has an attractive yield on its side; and Richard Li has been buying. But a 6% premium to NAV is unsustainable for this holding company structure.</li>
<li>Palliser Capital's straightforward request is for a 35% reduction in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)</a>'s <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/oriental-land-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13517:1" rel="noopener">Oriental Land (4661 JP)</a> holding reflects a strategic urgency. </li>
</ul>


Recent underperformance of Newmont Mining (NEM US) vs Peers appears to be part of a "perfect storm". 

PCCW Ltd (8 HK) has an attractive yield on its side; and Richard Li has been buying. But a 6% premium to NAV is unsustainable for this holding company structure.
Palliser Capital's straightforward request is for a 35% reduction in Keisei Electric Railway Co (9009 JP)'s Oriental Land (4661 JP) holding reflects a strategic urgency. 


Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

<ul>
<li>When <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/eoflow-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36100:1" rel="noopener">EOFlow (294090 KS)</a> was suspended on the 11th October, and ceased global sales, either the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/medtronic-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14982:1" rel="noopener">Medtronic (MDT US)</a> deal was (largely) toast; or it was a tactical move. </li>
<li>I'm firmly in the latter camp. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/insulet-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5252:1" rel="noopener">Insulet</a>'s lawsuit was expected. And completing the transaction enables the more financially and legally resource-rich MDT to become the party to the litigation.</li>
<li>The SPA between Jesse Kim and MDT was expected to complete on 25 October. That was not a hard date. It has now been pushed out to 3 January 2024. </li>
</ul>


When EOFlow (294090 KS) was suspended on the 11th October, and ceased global sales, either the Medtronic (MDT US) deal was (largely) toast; or it was a tactical move. 
I'm firmly in the latter camp. Insulet's lawsuit was expected. And completing the transaction enables the more financially and legally resource-rich MDT to become the party to the litigation.
The SPA between Jesse Kim and MDT was expected to complete on 25 October. That was not a hard date. It has now been pushed out to 3 January 2024. 


South Korea

INTEROJO CO LTD manufactures and markets contact lens.  The Company's main brands are Clalen, Morning-Q, Festival-II, Bandage, Multivision.

Value Added Technology Co., Ltd. develops, manufactures, and engages in sales of digital radiography medical equipments for dental clinics.  The Company also supplies digital sensor for X-ray equipments.

Curexo Inc. distributes medical equipment such as MRI (Magnetic Resonance Imaging) and endoscope used in operating of breast cancer.  The Company also produces goods for aromatic therapy.

InBody Co., Ltd. manufactures and markets a body composition analyzer and other related medical instruments.  The Company supplies its products to the hospitals, clinics, fitness clubs, and households.  Biospace also exports its products to overseas markets, such as America, Europe, and Asia.

Huons Co., Ltd. manufactures pharmaceutical products.  The Company produces medical drugs in the fields of nervous system, sensory organs, anti-histamines, circulatory system, respiratory system, digestive system, metabolic agents and hormones.

Vieworks Company Ltd. designs and manufactures camera systems for digital radiography, digital fluoroscopy, and angiography systems.

Infopia Co., Ltd specializes in developing equipments to prevent heart disease and cancer.  The Company produces heart disease diagnosing kits, cancer diagnosing kits, and remote treatment systems.  Infopia manufactures blood glucose monitoring systems, hemoglobin measuring systems, auto chemical analyzers, and glucose mobile phones.

Suheung Co., Ltd. manufactures hard and soft gelatin capsules for pharmaceutical  industry.  The Company also produces Health & Nutrition Food and hard capsule filling machines.

Access Bio Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets in-vitro diagnostic (IVD) tests.  The Company develops rapid diagnostic test (RDT) for Malaria and Pregnancy.

L&K Biomed Co., Ltd. develops and manufactures medical devices.  The Company's main products include cervical spine devices, 3D wholebody scanner and bio-similar products.

OraSure Technologies, Inc. develops, manufactures, and markets medical devices and diagnostic products.  The Company supplies oral fluid collection devices and assays to the life insurance industry and public health markets for the detection of antibodies to HIV.  OraSure also supplies oral fluid testing solutions for drugs-of-abuse testing.

Utah Medical Products, Inc. develops, manufactures, assembles, and markets a broad range of disposable and reusable specialty medical devices. The Company's products are designed to provide better health outcomes for patients and their care-providers. Utah Medical's primary focus is healthcare for women and their babies.

United Orthopedic Corporation manufactures orthopedic implants and precision medical devices.  The Company's products include hip replacement system, knee replacement system, as well as oncology and custom implants.  UOC also acts as an OEM (Original Equipment Manufacturer) supplier.

St.Shine Optical Co., Ltd. specializes in manufacturing cast-molding soft contact lens, including disposable and frequent replacement contact lens.  The Company also produces lathe-cutting contact lens.  St.Shine Optical markets its products under the brand name Ticon.

PW Medtech Group Ltd is a medical device developer, manufacturer and marketer in China.  The Company's products include infusion products and orthopedic implant products.

AngioDynamics, Inc. designs, develops, manufactures, and markets therapeutic and diagnostic devices.  The Company's products enable interventional physicians to treat peripheral vascular disease and other non-coronary diseases. AngioDynamic's product lines consist of angiographic catheters, hemodialysis catheters, image guided vascular access products, and thrombolytic products.

Bioteque Corporation manufactures and markets disposable medical products. The Company's products include hemodialysis blood line sets, AV (arteriovenous) fistula needles, IV (intravenous) infusion bags, IV infusion sets, drainage bags, precision infusion sets, surgical drainage tubes, medical catheters. medical components, and homecare items.

Scivision Biotech Inc produces medical Hyaluronic Acid using fermentation biotechnology. The company products include Hya-Dermis and Hya-Joint injection, skin care series and health food.

MEDIKIT Co., LTD. mainly manufactures medical devices for use in blood-related tests and treatments such as transfusion and intravenous introduction.  The Company produces a variety of catheters for use in kidney dialysis, angiography, transfusion, and vessel access.

Tristel plc develops, manufactures, and markets infection control, contamination control, and hygiene products. It offers hospital infection prevention and control, and hygiene products based on its proprietary chlorine dioxide chemistry technology; disinfection and cleaning products for veterinary and animal welfare sectors; and contamination control products for pharmaceutical and personal care industries. The company markets its products under Tristel, Crystel, Anistel, Dermastel, Enzystel, Medistel, Airstel, and Odostel brand names. It markest its products directly and through distributors and dealers in the United Kingdom, Germany, Switzerland, Austria, the Russian Federation, China, Hong Kong, New Zealand, and internationally. Tristel plc was founded in 1993 and is based in Snailwell, the United Kingdom.

Eoflow Co.,Ltd. develops and sells medical devices. The Company produces and sells wearable disposable insulin pumps and other products. Eoflow markets its products throughout Korea.

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Eoflow (294090 KS)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Hokuhoku, Origin Energy, KDDI, BoJ

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

(Mostly) Asia M&A, Oct 2023: Haitong, Azure, Hollysys, Aeon, Teraoka, Tietto, Lithium Power

For the month of October, 7 new deals were discussed on Smartkarma with an overall deal size of ~US$4bn. The average premium for the new deals...

David Blennerhassett

Merger Arb Mondays (30 Oct) - JSR, Eoflow, Azure Minerals, Symbio, Hollysys, Haitong Intl

This week, the highest gross spreads are 111 (71.8%), Eoflow (38.2%), Hollysys (22.4%), Symbio (10.1%), JSR (9.3%), Healius (8.9%), Haitong Intl...

Arun George

Last Week In Event SPACE: Newcrest/Newmont, Keisei Electric, PCCW, Cosmo Energy, Leapmotor

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

EOFlow/Medtronic: Signs of Life

The SPA between Jesse Kim and Medtronic was expected to complete on 25 October. That was not a hard date. It has now been pushed out to 3 Janaury...

David Blennerhassett

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