Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> at the close on 14 June.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds and deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI 500 Index</a> have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) for the CSI 500 Index at the close on 14 June.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.1% at the June rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn.
The potential adds and deletes and the CSI 500 Index have performed in line since August and the current setup appears attractive.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

Jiangsu Zhongtian Technologies Co, Ltd. / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> in June.</li>
<li>We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.</li>
<li>There have been big ETF inflows to the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">CSI 300 Index</a> trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.</li>
</ul>


With three-quarters of the review period nearly complete, there could be 12 changes for the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Inde (SHSZ300 INDEX) in June.
We estimate one-way turnover of 1.3% at the June rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.06bn. There are a lot of stocks with over 1x ADV to trade.
There have been big ETF inflows to the CSI 300 Index trackers, but the potential adds have still outperformed the index and the potential deletes.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Midea Group Co Ltd A / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/midea-group-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16185:1" rel="noopener">Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH)</a>, the world’s biggest home appliances maker, has filed for a H Share listing to raise US$1 billion, according to press reports.   </li>
<li>Midea is the world’s largest home appliance company in sales volume and revenue in 2022. Its subsidiary, KUKA Group, is one of the world’s “big four” industrial robotics companies.</li>
<li>The investment case rests on return to growth, margin on an upward trajectory, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. </li>
</ul>



Midea Group Co Ltd A (000333 CH), the world’s biggest home appliances maker, has filed for a H Share listing to raise US$1 billion, according to press reports.   
Midea is the world’s largest home appliance company in sales volume and revenue in 2022. Its subsidiary, KUKA Group, is one of the world’s “big four” industrial robotics companies.
The investment case rests on return to growth, margin on an upward trajectory, cash generation, strong balance sheet and undemanding valuation. 


Midea Group H Share Listing: The Investment Case

Doosan Robotics  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> IPO has coincided with a fortuitous rerating of peers as robotics has recently emerged as a dominant theme in the Korean stock market. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111689" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111820" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-valuation-insights" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111919" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights</a>.</li>
<li>The risk is that sentiment can quickly shift the other way before the listing. Our bull-case DCF suggests that the IPO price range is, at best, fully priced. </li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) IPO has coincided with a fortuitous rerating of peers as robotics has recently emerged as a dominant theme in the Korean stock market. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case, Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case and Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights.
The risk is that sentiment can quickly shift the other way before the listing. Our bull-case DCF suggests that the IPO price range is, at best, fully priced. 


Doosan Robotics IPO: Exuberance Results in Valuation Disconnect

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/doosan-robotics" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36816:1" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics (454910 KS)</a> is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO. </li>
<li>We previously discussed the IPO in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bull-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111689" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/doosan-robotics-ipo-the-bear-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:111820" rel="noopener">Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case</a>. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



Doosan Robotics (454910 KS) is a global industrial and collaborative robotics leader. It has opened the books on an up to US$318 million IPO. 
We previously discussed the IPO in Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bull Case and Doosan Robotics IPO: The Bear Case. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive, and we would pass on the IPO.


China

Ecovacs Robotics Co., Ltd. designs and sells household maintenance technology based products. The Company offers robotic floor and window cleaners for residential and commercial applications.

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Ecovacs Robotics (603486 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: High Turnover & Big Flow

We forecast 50 changes in June leading to one-way turnover of 9.1% and one-way trade of CNY 5.34bn. There will be over 1x ADV to trade on 28...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: A Dozen Changes for June

We forecast 12 changes for the CSI300 Index in June with a one-way turnover of 1.3% and one-way trade of US$703m. The potential adds have...

Brian Freitas

Doosan Robotics IPO: Exuberance Results in Valuation Disconnect

The IPO has coincided with a fortuitous rerating of peers. The risk is that sentiment can quickly shift the other way before listing. Valuation...

Arun George

Doosan Robotics IPO: Valuation Insights

The syndicate has disclosed an additional valuation methodology based on peers’ trailing P/S multiple in an updated prospectus. The P/S methodology...

Arun George

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