Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Equity Bottom-Up

<p><strong>We maintain SELL rating with new 2022E target price at Bt293.00, +31% from Bt223.00 previously, derived from 48.3xPE’22E, which is +1SD of its 5-years trading average.</strong></p><div>• We expect DELTA to report 2Q21 recurring profit of Bt1.6bn (-21%YoY, +6%QoQ).</div><div></div><div>• We estimate 2Q21 revenue at Bt20bn (+41%YoY, +8%QoQ). The YoY increase came from more operating days, while the QoQ expansion was thanks to growth in ODM businesses and Baht depreciation.</div><div></div><div>• We expect 2Q21 gross profit margin of 21.9% (-5.0ppts YoY, +0.3ppts QoQ).</div><div></div><div>•SG&amp;A to sales should tick up to 14.7% (+0.3ppts YoY, +0.4pptsQoQ).</div><div></div><div>• We expect a stronger profitability in 2H21E upon Baht depreciation, better efficiency and more balancing raw material supply.</div><div>•  In the long term, DELTA would benefit from the rise of EV industry and orders relocation from China due to US-China trade tension</div>

We maintain SELL rating with new 2022E target price at Bt293.00, +31% from Bt223.00 previously, derived from 48.3xPE’22E, which is +1SD of its 5-years trading average.• We expect DELTA to report 2Q21 recurring profit of Bt1.6bn (-21%YoY, +6%QoQ).• We estimate 2Q21 revenue at Bt20bn (+41%YoY, +8%QoQ). The YoY increase came from more operating days, while the QoQ expansion was thanks to growth in ODM businesses and Baht depreciation.• We expect 2Q21 gross profit margin of 21.9% (-5.0ppts YoY, +0.3ppts QoQ).•SG&amp;A to sales should tick up to 14.7% (+0.3ppts YoY, +0.4pptsQoQ).• We expect a stronger profitability in 2H21E upon Baht depreciation, better efficiency and more balancing raw material supply.•  In the long term, DELTA would benefit from the rise of EV industry and orders relocation from China due to US-China trade tension

DELTA: Expected 2Q21E Recurring Profit at Bt531m (-21%YoY, +6%QoQ)

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<div>
<p>This revised guide is part of a series of M&amp;A guides that our Quiddity* team (see our profiles or the footnote below) are publishing to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when companies conduct mergers and acquisitions. </p>
</div>
<div>
<p>The initial guide - <em><a href="https://skr.ma/rTzri" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Quiddity Thailand M&amp;A Guide 2019</a></em> - was published in May 2019. Since that time, there have been some new developments/clarifications, many of which relate to voluntary de-listings. This is an update.</p>
</div>
<div>
<p>These insights are designed to be used as a reference. They are not actionable.</p>
</div>


This revised guide is part of a series of M&amp;A guides that our Quiddity* team (see our profiles or the footnote below) are publishing to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when companies conduct mergers and acquisitions. 


The initial guide - Quiddity Thailand M&amp;A Guide 2019 - was published in May 2019. Since that time, there have been some new developments/clarifications, many of which relate to voluntary de-listings. This is an update.


These insights are designed to be used as a reference. They are not actionable.


Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p>The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) has commenced a market consultation on changing the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a>, SET100 and SETHD indices to free float market cap weighted indices from the upcoming rebalance in June.</p><p>The market consultation document is short on detail, but the main points are the change in index calculation from full market cap weighted to free float market cap weighted, implementation of the changes in two tranches at the June and December reviews, and implementation of quarterly changes in free float for moves of +/-5%.</p><p>The biggest uncertainty for us is whether the selection of the stocks for inclusion/exclusion will use the full market cap or the free float market cap.</p><p>Using the full market cap for stock selection could see 3 changes at the upcoming June review, while using free float market cap for stock selection could result in up to 6 changes at the review. The two step implementation of the free float changes will dampen the index turnover but it will still be relatively high, ranging from a one-way turnover of 7.8% for changes in free float only to 9.52% if the stock selection methodology uses free float market cap.</p><p>In this Insight, we look at the proposed changes and enumerate three scenarios, the changes they will entail, the impact on the stocks and the turnover for each scenario.</p>

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) has commenced a market consultation on changing the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX), SET100 and SETHD indices to free float market cap weighted indices from the upcoming rebalance in June.The market consultation document is short on detail, but the main points are the change in index calculation from full market cap weighted to free float market cap weighted, implementation of the changes in two tranches at the June and December reviews, and implementation of quarterly changes in free float for moves of +/-5%.The biggest uncertainty for us is whether the selection of the stocks for inclusion/exclusion will use the full market cap or the free float market cap.Using the full market cap for stock selection could see 3 changes at the upcoming June review, while using free float market cap for stock selection could result in up to 6 changes at the review. The two step implementation of the free float changes will dampen the index turnover but it will still be relatively high, ranging from a one-way turnover of 7.8% for changes in free float only to 9.52% if the stock selection methodology uses free float market cap.In this Insight, we look at the proposed changes and enumerate three scenarios, the changes they will entail, the impact on the stocks and the turnover for each scenario.

SET50 Index - Proposed Methodology Changes: Scenarios, Names Affected & Impact

<div><p>The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) will announce the results of the semi-annual review of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> in mid-June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 June.</p></div><div>
<p>The review period for market cap calculations runs from 1 March to 31 May, while the liquidity calculations run from 1 June 2020 to 31 May 2021.</p>
<p>We see three potential changes at the current time with an estimated one-way turnover for the rebalance at 2.19%.</p>
<p>Potential inclusions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-gloves-thailand-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29141:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sri-trang-agro-industry-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2759:1" rel="noopener">Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/irpc-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19051:1" rel="noopener">IRPC PCL (IRPC TB)</a>.</p>
<p>Potential deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vgi-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:12409:1" rel="noopener">VGI PCL (VGI TB)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/com7-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27411:1" rel="noopener">Com7 PCL (COM7 TB)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/toa-paint-thailand-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:24235:1" rel="noopener">TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB)</a>.</p>
<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/kerry-express-thailand" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:29253:1" rel="noopener">Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB)</a> will not completed six months of trading history by the end of the review period and will not be eligible for inclusion at the June rebalance.</p>
<p>There is a possibility that the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> methodology is changed to make it a free float weighted market cap index from a full market cap index. That will see a lot of passive flow on some stocks that have a low free float.</p>
</div>

The Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET) will announce the results of the semi-annual review of the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) in mid-June and the changes will be effective after the close of trading on 30 June.
The review period for market cap calculations runs from 1 March to 31 May, while the liquidity calculations run from 1 June 2020 to 31 May 2021.
We see three potential changes at the current time with an estimated one-way turnover for the rebalance at 2.19%.
Potential inclusions are Sri Trang Gloves (Thailand) Public Company Limited (STGT TB), Sri Trang Agro Industry (STA TB) and IRPC PCL (IRPC TB).
Potential deletions are VGI PCL (VGI TB), Com7 PCL (COM7 TB) and TOA Paint (Thailand) (TOA TB).
Kerry Express Thailand (KEX TB) will not completed six months of trading history by the end of the review period and will not be eligible for inclusion at the June rebalance.
There is a possibility that the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) methodology is changed to make it a free float weighted market cap index from a full market cap index. That will see a lot of passive flow on some stocks that have a low free float.


SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potentially Three Changes & Move to Free Float Weighting

<p><strong>We maintain SELL rating with a new 2021E target price at Bt223.00, from Bt150.00, derived from 37.4xPE’21E, which is +1SD of its 5-years trading average.</strong></p><div>• DELTA net profit in 4Q20 was Bt1.6bn (+313%YoY, -40%QoQ). The YoY growth came from demand surge in electronic components, while QoQ fall was due to profitability retreat.</div><div></div><div>• DELTA reported 2020 net profit at Bt7.1bn (+133% YoY), driven by electronic components demand for data center and electric vehicle.</div><div></div><div>• It announced dividend payment of Bt3.3/share, XD on 4-Mar-21.</div><div></div><div>• We revised up our 2021-22 net profit forecasts by 15%, and 10%, respectively, in response to the solid demand from data center and electric vehicle industries.</div><div></div><div>• We forecast 2021E earnings to grow 4%YoY, mainly from ongoing revenue expansion.</div><p></p><p>We think the stock price is trading expensive at 78x trailing PER and 69x PE’22E, beyond +2 standard deviation of its 5-year trading average.</p>

We maintain SELL rating with a new 2021E target price at Bt223.00, from Bt150.00, derived from 37.4xPE’21E, which is +1SD of its 5-years trading average.• DELTA net profit in 4Q20 was Bt1.6bn (+313%YoY, -40%QoQ). The YoY growth came from demand surge in electronic components, while QoQ fall was due to profitability retreat.• DELTA reported 2020 net profit at Bt7.1bn (+133% YoY), driven by electronic components demand for data center and electric vehicle.• It announced dividend payment of Bt3.3/share, XD on 4-Mar-21.• We revised up our 2021-22 net profit forecasts by 15%, and 10%, respectively, in response to the solid demand from data center and electric vehicle industries.• We forecast 2021E earnings to grow 4%YoY, mainly from ongoing revenue expansion.We think the stock price is trading expensive at 78x trailing PER and 69x PE’22E, beyond +2 standard deviation of its 5-year trading average.

DELTA: Earning Fell QoQ on Profitability Drop

Thailand

Fabrinet offers outsourced process engineering and manufacturing services.  The Company contracts to manufacture optical communications, automotive, industrial, and imaging components, sub-assemblies, and modules for its original equipment manufacturer customers.

KCE Electronics Public Company Limited and its subsidiaries manufacture and export single-layered, multi-layered, and double-sided printed circuit boards (PCBs) under its KCE trademark.  Multi-layered PCBs are used mainly in high technology equipment and high precision instruments.  Double-sided PCBs are used largely in telecommunication and computing equipment.

Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited is an electronics manufacturing service company.  The Company manufactures electronic components on behalf of its customers for shipment to them or their customers.

Cal-Comp Electronics (Thailand) PCL is an original equipment manufacturer of computer peripheral, office equipment and consumer electronic products. Its products include desktop computers, CD-ROMS, web pads, MP3 players, integrated receiver decoders, fax machines, mobile phones, cordless phones, pagers, and transceivers.  The Company is part of Kinpo Group of Taiwan.

SVI Public Company Limited provides printed circuit board contract manufacturing services.  Most of its customers are original equipment manufacturers of computer peripheral products, telecommunication equipment, and industrial equipment and instruments.

Jaymart PCL distributes mobile phones and accessories.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provide retail management and debt collection services.

Synnex Thailand PCL distributes computer products.  The Company distributes computer components and peripherals, servers and storage devices, security products, computer software, and consumables.

Forth Corp PCL manufactures and sells telecommunications and electronic equipment. The Company also develop and install the data management system, manufactures, sells, and installs traffic light system and equipment, manufactures and sells electronic signs, as well as distributes electronic parts.

SiS Distribution (Thailand) Public Company Ltd. distributes computers and peripherals.  The Company distributes the products to resellers, retailers, system integrators, software houses, value added resellers, and original equipment manufacturers.

Samart Corporation Public Company Limited develops satellite communication systems, supplies various system types of television signals, and provides mobile multimedia content as well as enterprise network solution services. The Company also distributes telecommunication products, and provides mobile phone service and air traffic control service in Cambodia.

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

Kyocera Corporation manufacturers electronic equipment and components. The Company's products include telecommunication equipment, information equipment, optical equipment, ceramic products, semiconductor parts, chips, hybrid integrated circuits, thermal printheads, image sensors, liquid crystal displays, and connectors. Kyocera operates worldwide.

Keysight Technologies, Inc. offers electronic measurement services using wireless, modular, and software solutions.

CDW Corporation of Delaware provides information technology products and services. The Company offers hardware, software, computer peripherals, cloud computing, mobile devices, network communication, and security solutions. CDW serves business, government, education, and healthcare customers throughout North America.

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

SYNNEX Corporation provides information technology supply chain services.  The Company offers services to original equipment manufacturers and software publishers worldwide.  SYNNEX offers product distribution, related logistics services, and contract assembly.

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

Largan Precision Company Limited manufactures and markets optical lens modules and optoelectronic components. The Company offers lenses for liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors, scanners, optical mice, digital still cameras (DSCs), digital versatile discs (DVDs), light emitting diodes (LEDs), and photography mobile phones.

Coherent Corp. designs engineered materials and optoelectronic components. The Company offers products to industrial, optical communications, military, life sciences, semiconductor equipment, and consumer markets. Coherent also manufactures semiconductor lasers and optics for high power industrial lasers, optical communications systems, datacenter connectivity, and 3D sensing.

Universal Display Corporation is a member of the United States Display Consortium.  The consortium is a cooperative industry/government effort aimed at developing an infrastructure to support a North American flat panel display infrastructure.  The Company and its partners are developing high-resolution, full color, light weight Organic Light Emitting Diode (OLED) technology.

Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL designs and manufactures electronic equipment. The Company produces power systems for telecommunications, medical equipment, and industrial automation.  Delta also produces fans, electromagnetic interference filters, and solenoids.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)

DELTA: Expected 2Q21E Recurring Profit at Bt531m (-21%YoY, +6%QoQ)

We maintain SELL rating with new 2022E target price at Bt293.00, +31% from Bt223.00 previously, derived from 48.3xPE’22E, which is +1SD of its 5...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Quiddity M&A Guide 2021: Thailand

This revised guide is part of a series of M&A guides to aid investors in understanding the rules, parameters, possibilities, and processes when...

David Blennerhassett

SET50 Index - Proposed Methodology Changes: Scenarios, Names Affected & Impact

The SET has commenced a market consultation on the proposed changes to make its indices free float market cap weighted. We look at the impact on...

Brian Freitas

SET50 Index Rebalance Preview: Potentially Three Changes & Move to Free Float Weighting

There could be 3 changes to the SET50 at the June review with STGT, STA & IRPC joining the index at the expense of VGI, TOA & COM7. The methodology...

Brian Freitas

DELTA: Earning Fell QoQ on Profitability Drop

We maintain SELL rating with a new 2021E target price at Bt223.00, from Bt150.00, derived from 37.4xPE’21E, which is +1SD of its 5-years trading...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)