CEO, A. Stotz Investment Research

Dr. Andrew Stotz, CFA

Quantamental Investing to beat Benchmarks

A. Stotz Investment Research

We pick stocks. We construct portfolios. All our effort is focused on how to better pick stocks and construct portfolios. We serve fund management companies, family offices, and high net worth individuals.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<p>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.</p>

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 31

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Event-Driven

<p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> listed today on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). No big bang opening day for the stock as it opened at the highs and quickly sold off to trade a tick or two above its IPO price of THB 35/share for most of the day.</p><p><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> traded 329.77m shares on the day at a VWAP of THB 35.9505. Bulk of the volume traded in the opening auction at THB 37.</p><p>At the close of trading, SCGP traded at THB 35/share, probably supported by the greenshoe. That gave <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> a full market cap of THB 148.874bn placing it at rank 20 among the SET50 constituents and ensuring its market cap was more than 1% of the market cap of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22915:1" rel="noopener">Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX)</a> - 1.16% from our calculations. With a free float of 29.51%, the stock met all conditions for Fast Entry into the index.</p><p>SET has just <a href="https://www.set.or.th/th/market/files/constituents/SET50_100_H2_2020_revised.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the changes to the SET50 Index where <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/scg-packaging-public-company-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28684:1" rel="noopener">SCG Packaging (SCGP TB)</a> has been added and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/thanachart-capital-pcl" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:297:1" rel="noopener">Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB)</a> has been deleted. The changes will need to be made at the close of trading on 27 October.</p><p>The inclusion also affects the stocks to be included and excluded at the regular index review in December.</p>

SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) listed today on the Stock Exchange of Thailand (SET). No big bang opening day for the stock as it opened at the highs and quickly sold off to trade a tick or two above its IPO price of THB 35/share for most of the day.SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) traded 329.77m shares on the day at a VWAP of THB 35.9505. Bulk of the volume traded in the opening auction at THB 37.At the close of trading, SCGP traded at THB 35/share, probably supported by the greenshoe. That gave SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) a full market cap of THB 148.874bn placing it at rank 20 among the SET50 constituents and ensuring its market cap was more than 1% of the market cap of the Thailand SET Index (SET INDEX) - 1.16% from our calculations. With a free float of 29.51%, the stock met all conditions for Fast Entry into the index.SET has just announced the changes to the SET50 Index where SCG Packaging (SCGP TB) has been added and Thanachart Capital (TCAP TB) has been deleted. The changes will need to be made at the close of trading on 27 October.The inclusion also affects the stocks to be included and excluded at the regular index review in December.

<section><div id="ember1732"><div><p>We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the ASEAN markets to try to find interesting ideas based on Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.</p></div></div></section>

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the ASEAN markets to try to find interesting ideas based on Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.

<section><div id="ember1644"><div><p>We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai market to try to find interesting ideas base upon Fundamentals or Valuation or Momentum or Risk or some combination thereof.</p></div></div></section>

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 30

Asean-focused. Ex-Head of Thai Research

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

Asean (Thailand) Focused Independent Research

M Corp Review

M Corp is led by Athaporn Arayasantiparb who served as Head of Research for UOB and ANZ in Thailand and was an award-winning telecoms analyst at UBS in 2010 (AsiaMoney Thailand category) and Regional Strategist for DMG in Singapore. Prior to that, he also served as Kasikornbank credit analyst and scholar. He has a total work experience of 17 years, of which 14 were in research and 4 in research management roles. He started his career as an engineer for PTT and currently manages family investments. He holds an MBA from Stern (NYU) and CFA Charter since 2006. Apart from IPO Radar, which focuses on future listings, MCorp Review also provides six on-going thematic series ranked by frequency in descending order, namely: 1) Silicon Stories (technology) 2) Sathorn Series (financial services) 3) Thai-Coons (billionaire origin stories) 4) Reality Check (data-driven, investigative) 5) Thai Media Spotlight; and 6) Thai Macro Watch (global market drivers).

Cross Asset Strategy

<p>Events half the world away have a way of sending ripple effects on Thai equities. In this review, we examine five such events and their impact:</p><ul>
<li>
<strong>Trump targets Chinese tech. </strong>Trump's recent targeting of Tik Tok and WeChat is the opening salvo in a new type of trade war. Electronics companies stand to benefit from new businesses, as China uses Thailand as an alternate route for US bound products. In telecoms, Thais are likely to buy more iPhone due to the American dominance in the app domain.</li>
<li>
<strong>Lebanon's unrest </strong>spun out of control faster than initially expected. If it ends up disrupting the oil supply chain, it could provide a silver lining to PTTEP which benefits from high oil prices, though we believe this impact to be short term.</li>
<li>
<strong>Flood disaster </strong>spread to Northeastern and Southern Thailand after the long draught, which should bolster rubber and rice prices. Reconstruction stocks such as DCC, Siam Cement, and TASCO will in the spotlight as the flood subsides.</li>
<li>
<strong>COVID-19 update. </strong>Russia's vaccine is the biggest positive catalyst on this front, even as new outbreaks show up in Japan, Vietnam, and Korea.</li>
<li>
<strong>Kamala Harris nomination </strong>will boost Biden's lead in California and amongst minorities but could cost the Democrats Pennsylvannia given her anti-fracking stance.</li>
</ul>

Events half the world away have a way of sending ripple effects on Thai equities. In this review, we examine five such events and their impact:

Trump targets Chinese tech. Trump's recent targeting of Tik Tok and WeChat is the opening salvo in a new type of trade war. Electronics companies stand to benefit from new businesses, as China uses Thailand as an alternate route for US bound products. In telecoms, Thais are likely to buy more iPhone due to the American dominance in the app domain.

Lebanon's unrest spun out of control faster than initially expected. If it ends up disrupting the oil supply chain, it could provide a silver lining to PTTEP which benefits from high oil prices, though we believe this impact to be short term.

Flood disaster spread to Northeastern and Southern Thailand after the long draught, which should bolster rubber and rice prices. Reconstruction stocks such as DCC, Siam Cement, and TASCO will in the spotlight as the flood subsides.

COVID-19 update. Russia's vaccine is the biggest positive catalyst on this front, even as new outbreaks show up in Japan, Vietnam, and Korea.

Kamala Harris nomination will boost Biden's lead in California and amongst minorities but could cost the Democrats Pennsylvannia given her anti-fracking stance.


Thai Macro Watch (August): The New Tech Wars, Chinese Flood

Thailand

Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL designs and manufactures electronic equipment. The Company produces power systems for telecommunications, medical equipment, and industrial automation.  Delta also produces fans, electromagnetic interference filters, and solenoids.

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Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 31

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai...

A. Stotz Investment Research

SCG Packaging Listing & SET50 Inclusion

SCG Packaging listed on the SET today and finished flat on the day. That was enough to warrant inclusion in the SET50 index. TCAP will be deleted...

Brian Freitas

The Stocks to Own in ASEAN – Vol. 32

We highlight 14 stocks in ASEAN that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the ASEAN...

A. Stotz Investment Research

The Stocks to Own in Thailand – Vol. 30

We highlight 14 stocks in Thailand that look interesting to us based upon our FVMR Methodology. Our research team constantly reviews the Thai...

A. Stotz Investment Research

Thai Macro Watch (August): The New Tech Wars, Chinese Flood

Events half the world away have a way of sending ripple effects on Thai equities. In this review, we examine five such events and their...

Athaporn Arayasantiparb, CFA

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