Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities, Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Research

Thai Equity - Bottom-up - Equities

Leading, full-service investment firm in Thailand

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Pi Securities is a well known securities company with 40 years experience in the industry, serving more than 60,000 clients. We offer one - stop service providing full range of financial products and services including extensive Brokerage, Proprietary Trading (Equities and Bonds), Advisory Services, Structured Products.

Moreover, our new research team tailored for institutional clients to focus on mid to small cap of Thai equities and trading strategies. Our services offered to our premium clients also include arrangement of company or site visits to with the managements of Thai listed companies.

Note: Effective on 1 March 2022, Country Group Securities PCL changed its name to Pi Securities

Equity Bottom-Up

Delta Electronics Thailand  / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>We downgrade to SELL from HOLD and lower TP to Bt434 (-9% from previous TP) from Bt475, based on 38.6xPE’23E (average of 5-year trading).Analyst meeting came with a neutral tone. </li>
<li>Analyst meeting details Raw material shortage situation has improved,but some areas (MOSFETs,ICs, high-voltage materials) remain tight.The situation is unlikely to return to pre-Covid levels until at least end of 1H23</li>
<li>Factory 8, the new facility dedicated to support EV product segment growth, will likely be up and running by 2H23. In addition to more sales contribution DELTA’s gross margin</li>
</ul>


We downgrade to SELL from HOLD and lower TP to Bt434 (-9% from previous TP) from Bt475, based on 38.6xPE’23E (average of 5-year trading).Analyst meeting came with a neutral tone. 
Analyst meeting details Raw material shortage situation has improved,but some areas (MOSFETs,ICs, high-voltage materials) remain tight.The situation is unlikely to return to pre-Covid levels until at least end of 1H23
Factory 8, the new facility dedicated to support EV product segment growth, will likely be up and running by 2H23. In addition to more sales contribution DELTA’s gross margin


DELTA : Expensive Valuation and Recession Impact

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

<ul>
<li>Delta Electronics Thailand shares rose sharply ahead of its earnings result, where profit beat expectations. Delta Taiwan shares fell the same day, thus we see an opportunity.</li>
<li>Delta Taiwan to report on October 28th. Delta Taiwan is now smaller in market cap than its subsidiary despite earning substantially higher levels of net profit.</li>
<li>2023E growth expectations are relatively similar for both, supporting Delta Taiwan to revert vs. Thailand. Trade opportunity into the Delta Taiwan October 28th results.</li>
</ul>


Delta Electronics Thailand shares rose sharply ahead of its earnings result, where profit beat expectations. Delta Taiwan shares fell the same day, thus we see an opportunity.
Delta Taiwan to report on October 28th. Delta Taiwan is now smaller in market cap than its subsidiary despite earning substantially higher levels of net profit.
2023E growth expectations are relatively similar for both, supporting Delta Taiwan to revert vs. Thailand. Trade opportunity into the Delta Taiwan October 28th results.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Major Disconnect Post Thai Earnings, Trade Taiwan Into Earnings

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations, Quiddity Advisors

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Pan-Asia Index Flows & Special Situations

Quiddity Advisors

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/stock-exchange-of-thailand-set-50-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:31493:1" rel="noopener">Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX)</a> between now and the December 2022 Rebalance.</li>
<li>There is an ongoing market consultation with significant implications for constituent selection and there is also a potential intra-review change due to the DTAC-TRUE merger.</li>
<li>Based on the latest available data, there could three or four index changes during the December 2022 Rebalance depending on the outcome of the DTAC-TRUE merger.</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we take a look at the potential index changes for the Stock Exchange of Thailand SET 50 Index (SET50 INDEX) between now and the December 2022 Rebalance.
There is an ongoing market consultation with significant implications for constituent selection and there is also a potential intra-review change due to the DTAC-TRUE merger.
Based on the latest available data, there could three or four index changes during the December 2022 Rebalance depending on the outcome of the DTAC-TRUE merger.


Thailand SET50 Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: BJC Is the Most Interesting Name

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nikkei-225" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22909:1" rel="noopener">Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX)</a> rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.</li>
<li>Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.</li>
<li>There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.</li>
</ul>


Last week we had the implementation of the first two tranches of the Nikkei 225 (NKY INDEX) rebalance with the third tranche to be implemented at the close on Monday.
Thursday saw the NIFTY indices implementation while Friday marked the end of the review period for the December rebalance of the Hang Seng family of indices.
There were large inflows to China, Taiwan, Korea and Hong Kong ETFs during the week while there were some outflows from Japan.


Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, China A50, SET50, Bilibili, Leapmotor, Onewo, CALB

<ul>
<li>Since 2Q22 results end-July, Delta Thailand has risen 31% compared to a 3% rise for Delta Taiwan and a 2% rise for Thailand's SET Index.</li>
<li>Delta Taiwan's gross margin has historically been consistently higher than Delta Thailand's. Delta Thailand is a significant licensor of IP from its parent, which could be one reason.</li>
<li>Historical data shows that the relative valuation can swing back over time and the current divergence of Delta Thailand vs. Delta Taiwan is historically extreme.</li>
</ul>


Since 2Q22 results end-July, Delta Thailand has risen 31% compared to a 3% rise for Delta Taiwan and a 2% rise for Thailand's SET Index.
Delta Taiwan's gross margin has historically been consistently higher than Delta Thailand's. Delta Thailand is a significant licensor of IP from its parent, which could be one reason.
Historical data shows that the relative valuation can swing back over time and the current divergence of Delta Thailand vs. Delta Taiwan is historically extreme.


Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Pairs Monitor: SET50 Index Driver, But Taiwan Margins Always Higher

Thailand

Fabrinet offers outsourced process engineering and manufacturing services.  The Company contracts to manufacture optical communications, automotive, industrial, and imaging components, sub-assemblies, and modules for its original equipment manufacturer customers.

KCE Electronics Public Company Limited and its subsidiaries manufacture and export single-layered, multi-layered, and double-sided printed circuit boards (PCBs) under its KCE trademark.  Multi-layered PCBs are used mainly in high technology equipment and high precision instruments.  Double-sided PCBs are used largely in telecommunication and computing equipment.

Hana Microelectronics Public Company Limited is an electronics manufacturing service company.  The Company manufactures electronic components on behalf of its customers for shipment to them or their customers.

Cal-Comp Electronics (Thailand) PCL is an original equipment manufacturer of computer peripheral, office equipment and consumer electronic products. Its products include desktop computers, CD-ROMS, web pads, MP3 players, integrated receiver decoders, fax machines, mobile phones, cordless phones, pagers, and transceivers.  The Company is part of Kinpo Group of Taiwan.

SVI Public Company Limited provides printed circuit board contract manufacturing services.  Most of its customers are original equipment manufacturers of computer peripheral products, telecommunication equipment, and industrial equipment and instruments.

Jaymart PCL distributes mobile phones and accessories.  The Company, through its subsidiaries, provide retail management and debt collection services.

Synnex Thailand PCL distributes computer products.  The Company distributes computer components and peripherals, servers and storage devices, security products, computer software, and consumables.

Forth Corp PCL manufactures and sells telecommunications and electronic equipment. The Company also develop and install the data management system, manufactures, sells, and installs traffic light system and equipment, manufactures and sells electronic signs, as well as distributes electronic parts.

SiS Distribution (Thailand) Public Company Ltd. distributes computers and peripherals.  The Company distributes the products to resellers, retailers, system integrators, software houses, value added resellers, and original equipment manufacturers.

Samart Corporation Public Company Limited develops satellite communication systems, supplies various system types of television signals, and provides mobile multimedia content as well as enterprise network solution services. The Company also distributes telecommunication products, and provides mobile phone service and air traffic control service in Cambodia.

Samsung SDI Co., Ltd. specializes in developing Lithium Ion Battery (LIB) technology.  The Company also manufactures cathode ray tubes (CRTs) for televisions and computer monitors.  Samsung SDI also produces liquid crystal display (LCD) components and rechargeable batteries for cellular phones , personal digital assistants (PDAs), Energy Storage Systems and solar panels.

Kyocera Corporation manufacturers electronic equipment and components. The Company's products include telecommunication equipment, information equipment, optical equipment, ceramic products, semiconductor parts, chips, hybrid integrated circuits, thermal printheads, image sensors, liquid crystal displays, and connectors. Kyocera operates worldwide.

Keysight Technologies, Inc. offers electronic measurement services using wireless, modular, and software solutions.

CDW Corporation of Delaware provides information technology products and services. The Company offers hardware, software, computer peripherals, cloud computing, mobile devices, network communication, and security solutions. CDW serves business, government, education, and healthcare customers throughout North America.

NAURA Technology Group Co., Ltd. is an integrated high-tech company, which manufactures electronics equipments and components, including IC equipments, hybrid integrated circuits and combines with R&D, sales, and services.

SYNNEX Corporation provides information technology supply chain services.  The Company offers services to original equipment manufacturers and software publishers worldwide.  SYNNEX offers product distribution, related logistics services, and contract assembly.

Hangzhou Hikvision Digital Technology Co., Ltd develops, manufactures and sells video surveillance products.  The Company manufactures video and audio compression card, network hard disk video recorders, video servers, cameras, network storage, and other digital products.

Largan Precision Company Limited manufactures and markets optical lens modules and optoelectronic components. The Company offers lenses for liquid crystal display (LCD) projectors, scanners, optical mice, digital still cameras (DSCs), digital versatile discs (DVDs), light emitting diodes (LEDs), and photography mobile phones.

Coherent Corp. designs engineered materials and optoelectronic components. The Company offers products to industrial, optical communications, military, life sciences, semiconductor equipment, and consumer markets. Coherent also manufactures semiconductor lasers and optics for high power industrial lasers, optical communications systems, datacenter connectivity, and 3D sensing.

Universal Display Corporation is a member of the United States Display Consortium.  The consortium is a cooperative industry/government effort aimed at developing an infrastructure to support a North American flat panel display infrastructure.  The Company and its partners are developing high-resolution, full color, light weight Organic Light Emitting Diode (OLED) technology.

Delta Electronics (Thailand) PCL designs and manufactures electronic equipment. The Company produces power systems for telecommunications, medical equipment, and industrial automation.  Delta also produces fans, electromagnetic interference filters, and solenoids.

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Delta Electronics Thailand (DELTA TB)

DELTA : Expensive Valuation and Recession Impact

We downgrade to SELL from HOLD and lower TP to Bt434 (-9% from previous TP) from Bt475, based on 38.6xPE’23E (average of 5-year trading). Analyst...

Pi Securities PCL, Thailand

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Monitor: Major Disconnect Post Thai Earnings, Trade Taiwan Into Earnings

Delta Taiwan to report on October 28th. Delta Taiwan is now smaller in market cap than its subsidiary despite earning substantially higher levels...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Thailand SET50 Quiddity Leaderboard Dec 22: BJC Is the Most Interesting Name

I expect RATCH to replace DTAC in the SET 50 index prior to the December Rebalance. DELTA, BJC, and COM7 could be added and KCE, BLA, and SAWAD...

Janaghan Jeyakumar, CFA

Index Rebalance & ETF Flow Recap: S&P/ASX, China A50, SET50, Bilibili, Leapmotor, Onewo, CALB

This recap highlights Insights covering Asian index rebalances (announcements/ forecasts/ IPO Fast Entry/ M&A driven changes). We also highlight...

Brian Freitas

Delta Taiwan Vs. Thailand Pairs Monitor: SET50 Index Driver, But Taiwan Margins Always Higher

Delta Taiwan deserves to catch up to Delta Thailand's performance in the next six months. Delta Taiwan earns a higher gross margin likely thanks to...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

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