Japan/Asia Long-Short, LightStream Research

Mio Kato

Japan/Asia Long-Short

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Despite the strong performance from Dai Nippon Printing following the announcement of Elliott’s stake we feel upside remains. </li>
<li>Operating results should benefit from normalisation of the economy and light restructuring potential. </li>
<li>In addition, we do not see much evidence to suggest that valuations are particularly stretched.</li>
</ul>


Despite the strong performance from Dai Nippon Printing following the announcement of Elliott’s stake we feel upside remains. 
Operating results should benefit from normalisation of the economy and light restructuring potential. 
In addition, we do not see much evidence to suggest that valuations are particularly stretched.


Dai Nippon Printing – Gauging The Upside

Japan Specialist

Mark Chadwick

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS. Equity Risk-off ahead of NFP; Banks hit on default risk worries and Silvergate Collapse; Bitcoin hit hard (Silverate); Aggressive GM restructuring</li>
<li>JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today;  MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback from DNP;  Seven &amp; I Restructuring.</li>
<li>NUGGET. NISSAN, TAKING IT FROM ALL ANGLES. Nissan's bonds downgraded to junk this week; but its worse than you think..company faces serious headwinds.</li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS. Equity Risk-off ahead of NFP; Banks hit on default risk worries and Silvergate Collapse; Bitcoin hit hard (Silverate); Aggressive GM restructuring
JAPAN. NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today;  MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback from DNP;  Seven &amp; I Restructuring.
NUGGET. NISSAN, TAKING IT FROM ALL ANGLES. Nissan's bonds downgraded to junk this week; but its worse than you think..company faces serious headwinds.


Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>Elliott Management was noted several weeks ago to have bought near 5% of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-nippon-printing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19388:1" rel="noopener">Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP)</a>. The stock popped when people found out.  </li>
<li>Then the stock popped when the company said they'd announce the outline for their new Mid-Term Management Plan on 9 March, and that would include more capital allocation measures.</li>
<li>Today we got the Outline. There are more capital allocation measures. The numbers look big. Nuance is required to understand the impacts over time.</li>
</ul>


Elliott Management was noted several weeks ago to have bought near 5% of Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP). The stock popped when people found out.  
Then the stock popped when the company said they'd announce the outline for their new Mid-Term Management Plan on 9 March, and that would include more capital allocation measures.
Today we got the Outline. There are more capital allocation measures. The numbers look big. Nuance is required to understand the impacts over time.


Dai Nippon Printing (7912) - Whoop There It Is! ¥100bn Buyback in a Year, ¥300bn in 3yrs

<ul>
<li>A little over two weeks ago, western media outlets <strong><a href="https://www.ft.com/content/ac43e9dd-1e83-47c7-9401-112964465545" target="_blank" rel="noopener">reported</a></strong> "sources familiar with the matter" said Elliott Management had built a "significant" stake in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/dai-nippon-printing-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:19388:1" rel="noopener">Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP)</a>. </li>
<li>DNP has been a "value name" for years. And years. Lots of cash, lots of real estate, and lots of cross-holdings. DNP had a plan to sell crossholdings, slowly.</li>
<li>DNP <em>had</em> planned a March 9 presentation of its new MTMP. Elliott, reportedly with a little less than 5%, wanted faster. A few weeks later, DNP has responded with faster. </li>
</ul>


A little over two weeks ago, western media outlets reported "sources familiar with the matter" said Elliott Management had built a "significant" stake in Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP). 
DNP has been a "value name" for years. And years. Lots of cash, lots of real estate, and lots of cross-holdings. DNP had a plan to sell crossholdings, slowly.
DNP had planned a March 9 presentation of its new MTMP. Elliott, reportedly with a little less than 5%, wanted faster. A few weeks later, DNP has responded with faster. 


Dai Nippon Printing (7912) - Activism Results Going Forward Are Complicated

<ul>
<li>OVERSEAS.  Stocks Mixed as SPX -0.1% as NYSE Glitches on Open;  MSFT Beats  but Chip Giant Texas Instruments weak; DoJ calls for Google Ad Break up</li>
<li>JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY steady at 130.19; Japan Freezes - No Joke; Nikkei Survey shows public sentiment toward Nuclear Power improving; Nidec misses; Elliot tgts DNP </li>
<li>DAILY NUGGET. Is Japan Stuck ? This is the view of outgoing BBC reporter. We disagree - changes are happening. </li>
</ul>


OVERSEAS.  Stocks Mixed as SPX -0.1% as NYSE Glitches on Open;  MSFT Beats  but Chip Giant Texas Instruments weak; DoJ calls for Google Ad Break up
JAPAN.  NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY steady at 130.19; Japan Freezes - No Joke; Nikkei Survey shows public sentiment toward Nuclear Power improving; Nidec misses; Elliot tgts DNP 
DAILY NUGGET. Is Japan Stuck ? This is the view of outgoing BBC reporter. We disagree - changes are happening. 


Good Morning Japan |NYSE Glitches; Stocks Mixed; While JP Freezes the Public Warms to Nuclear Power

Japan

Toppan Printing Co., Ltd. is a printing company that provides commercial and publication printing services. The Company also prints securities paper, packaging products, and electronic related products such as photomasks and colorfilters. Toppan Printing also produces inks and operates a text book publication business.

Dai Nippon Printing Co., Ltd. offers printing services for commercial and industrial use. The printing items include information media such as books, periodicals, and text books, as well as wrapping paper and containers, stationeries, and advertising medium. The Company provides design and production services as well. Dai Nippon Printing also produces soft drinks.

SECOM CO., LTD. provides comprehensive security services.  The Company provides on-line centralized security services, home security systems, and home medical services,

SOHGO SECURITY SERVICES CO., LTD. operates around the clock security services. The Company provides home and office security systems, an armored car security service, and a network security solution service.

SECOM Co., Ltd. provides comprehensive security services. The Company provides on-line centralized security, home security systems, and home medical services, It also provides insurance businesses as well as real estate services.

Park24 Co., Ltd. operates 24-hour automated parking garages, monthly parking lots, and parking lot administration.  The Company also sells parking lot equipment of gate-type and multistory-type such as park lock.

KOKUYO CO., LTD. manages Kokuyo group companies that produces and sells a vast line of stationery goods and office furniture through a domestic sales network as a holding company.  The group's products include magazine files, box binders, drawing tubes, desk chairs, lockers, and wall storage units.  Kokuyo also manufactures office automation equipment and computer supplies.

Japan Elevator Service Holdings Co. Ltd. offers elevator and escalator maintenance, inspection and renewal services.

Daiseki Co., Ltd. provides waste disposal services in Chubu area.  The Company uses high technology for oil sludge treatment and for recycling.  Daiseki also sells processing and lubricating oil for industrial use.

OKAMURA CORPORATION manufactures office furniture including desks, chairs, and shelves.  The Company offers comprehensive office systems such as partition walls with built-in air conditioners and underfloor wiring systems.  Okamura also develops material handling equipment and industrial machinery.

Casella Waste Systems, Inc. provides integrated, non-hazardous solid waste services throughout the eastern United States.  The Company provides collection, transfer, disposal, and recycling services, generates steam, and manufactures finished products utilizing recyclable materials primarily throughout the eastern portion of the United States.

MSA Safety Incorporated develops, manufactures, and supplies safety products that protect people and facility infrastructures. The Company's core products include self-contained breathing apparatus, fixed gas and flame detection systems, portable gas detection instruments, head protection, and fall protection products. MSA Safety markets its products worldwide.

Mineral Resources Ltd. offers contract crushing services to the mining industry in Australia.  The Company serves gold, iron ore, tantalum, and coal companies.

Stericycle, Inc. provides regulated medical waste management services.  The Company offers waste collection, transportation, treatment, and disposal to customers in the United States, Canada, Mexico, Argentina, Chile, the United Kingdom and Ireland.

YTO Express Group Co., Ltd. provides global express services. The Company also provides general cargo warehousing, domestic air transport agency, car rental, supply chain management, and other related services throughout China..

Securitas AB sells products and services for the protection of homes, work places, and community. The Company's services include specialized guarding and mobile services, monitoring, and consulting and investigations. Securitas operates in Europe, North and South America, the Middle East, and Asia.

IAA Inc. retails automobiles. The Company offers buying and selling of trucks, passenger cars, and motorcycles, as well as provides insurance and car rental services. IAA serves customers worldwide.

The Brink's Company provides security services globally.  The Company provides secure transportation, cash logistics and other security-related services to banks and financial institutions, retailers, government agencies, mints, jewelers and other commercial operations around the world.

Clean Harbors, Inc. provides a variety of environmental remediation and industrial waste management services to customers in the United States and Puerto Rico.  The Company's services include treatment and disposal of hazardous and non-hazardous solid and liquid waste, surface remediation, groundwater restoration, waste packaging, as well as analytical testing and consulting.

Tetra Tech, Inc. provides specialized management consulting and technical services primarily in resource management, infrastructure, and communications. The Company's clients include a diverse base of public and private sector organizations.  Tetra Tech operates offices in the United States and internationally.

DAI NIPPON PRINTING CO., LTD. offers printing services for commercial and industrial use.  The printing items include information media such as books, periodicals, and text books, wrapping paper and containers, stationeries, and advertising medium.  The Company provides design and production services as well.  Dai Nippon Printing also produces soft drinks including Coca Cola.

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Dai Nippon Printing (7912 JP)

Dai Nippon Printing – Gauging The Upside

Despite the rapid surge in the share price we remain rather bullish on Dai Nippon Printing as we consider valuations to still be reasonable when...

Mio Kato

Good Morning Japan |EQUITY SELL OFF Ahead of NFP-Banks Bear Brunt; NUGGET: Nissan - Its Worse !

NKY Futs -2.2% vs Cash; USDJPY Strengthens to 136.1 as pare risk ahead of Kuroda's final policy decision today; MORE ACTIVIST WINS-Massive buyback...

Mark Chadwick

Dai Nippon Printing (7912) - Whoop There It Is! ¥100bn Buyback in a Year, ¥300bn in 3yrs

DNP (7912) has announced the capital allocation measures they said they would. The headline numbers are big. ¥300bn of buybacks over 3yrs. 70+% of...

Travis Lundy

Dai Nippon Printing (7912) - Activism Results Going Forward Are Complicated

Elliott built a stake in perennial deep-value name Dai Nippon Printing. DNP responded by saying it will take more aggressive capital action. The...

Travis Lundy

Good Morning Japan |NYSE Glitches; Stocks Mixed; While JP Freezes the Public Warms to Nuclear Power

JAPAN. NKY Futs -0.4% vs Cash; USDJPY steady at 130.19; Japan Freezes - No Joke; Nikkei Survey shows public sentiment toward Nuclear Power...

Mark Chadwick

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