Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Since 1990, OPEC has announced a production cut on 26 occasions.</li>
<li>Historically, oil prices have done well after OPEC announced a production cut, especially between three and 12 months after the announcement.</li>
<li>Expanding the analysis to commodity returns reveals that even though the prices of oil futures tend to fare well after oil production cut announcements, this is less so for Commodities. </li>
</ul>


Since 1990, OPEC has announced a production cut on 26 occasions.
Historically, oil prices have done well after OPEC announced a production cut, especially between three and 12 months after the announcement.
Expanding the analysis to commodity returns reveals that even though the prices of oil futures tend to fare well after oil production cut announcements, this is less so for Commodities. 


Oil Prices Soar when OPEC Cuts Production

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>Oil businesses fear lower prices and a shortage of workers The quarterly Dallas FED Energy survey showed some pretty interesting results.</li><li>First of all, business activity tanked and the uncertainty level of businesses rose.</li><li>The survey also highlighted which price small and large drilling companies need in order to produce oil without a loss.</li></ul>

Oil businesses fear lower prices and a shortage of workers The quarterly Dallas FED Energy survey showed some pretty interesting results.First of all, business activity tanked and the uncertainty level of businesses rose.The survey also highlighted which price small and large drilling companies need in order to produce oil without a loss.

Scary: Oil market business conditions are worsening fast - due to policy mistakes

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>SPX grinding range is maturing to a point of a key inflection with the upper wedge range the preferred short zone near 4,080 with risk we falter at 4,050.</li>
<li>SPX pivot support has risen to 3,975 (weak trigger) and 3,940 (bearish). Rising range is mature.</li>
<li>We like shorting WTI at pocket resistance at the underside of triangulation for a fresh strike to the downside (65 and 62 targets).</li>
</ul>


SPX grinding range is maturing to a point of a key inflection with the upper wedge range the preferred short zone near 4,080 with risk we falter at 4,050.
SPX pivot support has risen to 3,975 (weak trigger) and 3,940 (bearish). Rising range is mature.
We like shorting WTI at pocket resistance at the underside of triangulation for a fresh strike to the downside (65 and 62 targets).


<ul><li>Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat Goldman Sachs expects a commodities supercycle driven by China and the capital flight from energy markets and investment this month after concerns triggered by the banking sector, the U.S. bank's head of commodities said.</li><li>"Historically, when you have this kind of scarring event, it takes months to get capital back ... We will still get a deficit by June and it will drive oil prices higher."</li><li>Jeff Currie, global head of commodities for Goldman Sachs, told the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit on Tuesday.</li></ul>

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat Goldman Sachs expects a commodities supercycle driven by China and the capital flight from energy markets and investment this month after concerns triggered by the banking sector, the U.S. bank's head of commodities said."Historically, when you have this kind of scarring event, it takes months to get capital back ... We will still get a deficit by June and it will drive oil prices higher."Jeff Currie, global head of commodities for Goldman Sachs, told the Financial Times Commodities Global Summit on Tuesday.

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat // Trafigura CFO sees more Volatility ahead

Research from Water Tower Research, Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research

Research from Water Tower Research

Water Tower Research is a leading equity research firm that provides research on micro, small and mid cap companies.

Water Tower Research was founded by Wall Street veterans after witnessing a fundamental shift in the investment research industry with the result being a declining knowledge base among investors, a lack of awareness and a shrinking pool of fundamental research being conducted on companies across the small-cap and micro-cap spectrum. The same issues are now increasingly occurring in the mid-cap space. This sea change within the investment community is impacting not only the companies themselves but also current shareholders and potential investors. With significantly less active sell-side sponsorship by Wall Street, a substantial information gap has developed between companies and various constituents in the financial community. The net result is fewer channels for insight and information to flow between companies and investors.

Equity Research Firm

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>We have made our best efforts to summarize the content published in the most recent IRENA report on renewable energy financing.</li><li>This report provides a quick summary of key facts from the 120-plus-page report. </li><li>While worldwide investment in renewable energy reached a record high of US$0.5 trillion in 2022, it represented less than 40% average expenditure required under IRENA’s 1.5°C Scenario between 2021 and 2030.</li></ul>

We have made our best efforts to summarize the content published in the most recent IRENA report on renewable energy financing.This report provides a quick summary of key facts from the 120-plus-page report. While worldwide investment in renewable energy reached a record high of US$0.5 trillion in 2022, it represented less than 40% average expenditure required under IRENA’s 1.5°C Scenario between 2021 and 2030.

Key Takeaways from IRENA’s Global Landscape of Renewable Energy Finance 2023 Report

United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

Oil Prices Soar when OPEC Cuts Production

A straightforward analysis shows that historically, oil prices have done well after OPEC announced a production cut, especially between three and...

Jeroen Blokland

Scary: Oil market business conditions are worsening fast - due to policy mistakes

Oil businesses fear lower prices and a shortage of workers The quarterly Dallas FED Energy survey showed some pretty interesting result.

The Commodity Report

SPX Inflection Levels and WTI Short

SPX grinding range is maturing to a point of a key inflection with the upper wedge range the preferred short zone near 4,080 with risk we falter at...

Thomas Schroeder

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat // Trafigura CFO sees more Volatility ahead

Goldman Sachs jumps back into the supercycle boat Goldman Sachs expects a commodities supercycle driven by China and the capital flight from energy...

The Commodity Report

Key Takeaways from IRENA’s Global Landscape of Renewable Energy Finance 2023 Report

We have made our best efforts to summarize the content published in the most recent IRENA report on renewable energy financing.

Water Tower Research

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