Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist, True Insights

Jeroen Blokland

Global Multi-Asset Investment Strategist

Build Well-Diversified Multi-Asset Portfolios

True Insights

Our research helps investors build well-diversified multi-asset portfolios and profit from market developments. In addition, our unique and proven Macro – Sentiment – Valuation (MSV) investment framework ensures a consistent flow of new investment opportunities. Together with our market views, these opportunities will be reflected in our live ETF-based Global Multi-Asset Portfolios.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Monday market dynamics suggest more liquidity is needed to limit contagion risks.</li>
<li>5% is the magic level at which things start to break. The Fed needs time to make things whole again before resuming rate hikes.</li>
<li>Recent events will profoundly impact consumer and business confidence and increase the odds of a recession. Just watch oil!</li>
</ul>


Monday market dynamics suggest more liquidity is needed to limit contagion risks.
5% is the magic level at which things start to break. The Fed needs time to make things whole again before resuming rate hikes.
Recent events will profoundly impact consumer and business confidence and increase the odds of a recession. Just watch oil!


Monetary Policy Update! Federal Reserve Unlikely to Hike Rates in March

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

Commodities

<ul><li>According to S&amp;P Global, the renewable output by the grid operator MISO averaged 333,012 GWh in Q4.</li><li>Despite Bonneville Power Administration's (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share at 75.6% of its total fuel mix for Q4.</li><li>The latest ACP data shows that the total installed solar capacity in the US grew by 17% year on year, reaching 74.126 GW in Q4.</li></ul>

According to S&amp;P Global, the renewable output by the grid operator MISO averaged 333,012 GWh in Q4.Despite Bonneville Power Administration's (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share at 75.6% of its total fuel mix for Q4.The latest ACP data shows that the total installed solar capacity in the US grew by 17% year on year, reaching 74.126 GW in Q4.

Our Oil Price Analysis // FED is Willing to Break the Market

<ul><li>US Large-Sized Farms Increase - Due to Input Cost Pressure According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country's farmland.</li><li>The farms in this sales class have increased in size, while farms in every other sales class have either remained the same size or decreased.</li><li>According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country's farmland.</li></ul>

US Large-Sized Farms Increase - Due to Input Cost Pressure According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country's farmland.The farms in this sales class have increased in size, while farms in every other sales class have either remained the same size or decreased.According to the Farms and Land in Farms Report by the USDA, the largest farms in the US that had sales of $1 million or more, now operate almost 26% of the country's farmland.

US Large-Sized Farms Increase - Due to Input Cost Pressure // The Fall of The Petrodollar

<ul><li>The agency estimates that roughly 46% of Ukraine’s wheat production lies in areas where the war is currently threatening the planting process.</li><li>US Soybean Crush Margin remains very high and therefore continues to support soybean meal prices</li><li>USDA is expecting a larger uptick in planted acres for Wheat and Rice but a large drop in planted acres for Cotton.</li></ul>

The agency estimates that roughly 46% of Ukraine’s wheat production lies in areas where the war is currently threatening the planting process.US Soybean Crush Margin remains very high and therefore continues to support soybean meal pricesUSDA is expecting a larger uptick in planted acres for Wheat and Rice but a large drop in planted acres for Cotton.

The Highlights of USDAs 2023 Commodity Outlook // Where Stock Prices Are Headed in 2023

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>WTI's bearish flat/triangle is setting up to break lower and a harbinger of weaker growth in coming months amid a stronger USD.</li>
<li>Bearish oil also gels with our stronger dollar and weaker demand view. It will also bring energy shares back to earth.</li>
<li>New low targets at 69 and 65 then review for a tactical recovery attempt.</li>
</ul>


WTI's bearish flat/triangle is setting up to break lower and a harbinger of weaker growth in coming months amid a stronger USD.
Bearish oil also gels with our stronger dollar and weaker demand view. It will also bring energy shares back to earth.
New low targets at 69 and 65 then review for a tactical recovery attempt.


United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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Crude Oil (CL1 COM COMDTY)

Monetary Policy Update! Federal Reserve Unlikely to Hike Rates in March

Elevated contagion risks, ongoing liquidity needs, and lack of trust likely force the Fed to pause, not end hiking rates.

Jeroen Blokland

Our Oil Price Analysis // FED is Willing to Break the Market

Despite Bonneville Power Administration's (BPA) renewable output slipping 12% in Q4, it remained the footprint with the most renewable market share...

The Commodity Report

US Large-Sized Farms Increase - Due to Input Cost Pressure // The Fall of The Petrodollar

The farms in this sales class have increased in size, while farms in every other sales class have either remained the same size or decreased.

The Commodity Report

The Highlights of USDAs 2023 Commodity Outlook // Where Stock Prices Are Headed in 2023

The agency estimates that roughly 46% of Ukraine’s wheat production lies in areas where the war is currently threatening the planting process.

The Commodity Report

WTI Bear Triangle a Growth Negative

WTI's bearish flat/triangle is setting up to break lower and a harbinger of weaker growth in coming months amid a stronger USD.

Thomas Schroeder

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52-week Range

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