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Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

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Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>In Depth: How the war in Ukraine is rattling China’s energy transition</li><li>Regional bank under corruption probe faces more trouble after online savings accounts frozen</li><li>China’s services sector slumps further as Covid battle intensifies, Caixin PMI shows</li></ul>

In Depth: How the war in Ukraine is rattling China’s energy transitionRegional bank under corruption probe faces more trouble after online savings accounts frozenChina’s services sector slumps further as Covid battle intensifies, Caixin PMI shows

CX Daily: How the War in Ukraine Is Rattling China’s Energy Transition

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis., Vanda Insights

Vandana Hari

Founder & CEO. Oil markets macro-analysis.

Vanda Insights

Vanda Insights is a Singapore-based boutique provider of intelligence on the global energy markets, launched in September 2016. The venture was born out of a desire to extract the signal from the noise in the complex and often volatile oil markets. Our succinct and clear macro analysis is relied upon by thousands of readers globally, including those doing business directly or indirectly in the physical commodity and derivatives markets; wealth managers; governments, regulatory bodies and think-tanks; as well as trade organizations and educational institutions.

Global Energy Markets

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Demand concerns from Covid outbreaks and lockdowns in China have emerged as a challenge to the sustained bullish momentum in oil on account of supply fears.</li>
<li>However, as the Ukraine war festers, the disruption and drop in Russian oil and gas supply may have some more way to go before hitting a peak.</li>
<li>We weigh the near- and short-term key bullish and bearish influences on benchmark crude prices.</li>
</ul>


Demand concerns from Covid outbreaks and lockdowns in China have emerged as a challenge to the sustained bullish momentum in oil on account of supply fears.
However, as the Ukraine war festers, the disruption and drop in Russian oil and gas supply may have some more way to go before hitting a peak.
We weigh the near- and short-term key bullish and bearish influences on benchmark crude prices.


Bulls & Bears: Near-Term and Short-Term View on Oil Prices

Chart based progressive global trading strategies, Chart Partners

Thomas Schroeder

Chart based progressive global trading strategies

Chart Partners

Chart Partners objective is to discover medium-term cycle turns and profit opportunities before they unfold, within structural trends while preserving capital with clear degrees of risk. We have real return ideas. 

Markets are dynamic and trading systems must reflect this. It is crucial to determine underlying correlations and lead-lag relationships within global markets and the impact on linked instruments. Our weekly Chartonics product gives you short-term trading strategies that can be applied within the medium and longer term macro trends that are mapped out in our strategy updates. 

Our methodology fuses global market variables and isolates drivers in trends. We specialize in FX, index trade in NY and Asia with a focus on Asian stocks. 

Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>Gold continues to show macro promise but must hold 1,920 near term while WTI has room to slip back to the 94/92 dual low zone to stage a recovery.</li>
<li>For gold to muster rally energy we need yields to peak and odds of peak inflation to fade.</li>
<li>WTI's 94 dual low marks the pivot point for oil to hold to validate a bullish flat formation that would break higher.</li>
</ul>


Gold continues to show macro promise but must hold 1,920 near term while WTI has room to slip back to the 94/92 dual low zone to stage a recovery.
For gold to muster rally energy we need yields to peak and odds of peak inflation to fade.
WTI's 94 dual low marks the pivot point for oil to hold to validate a bullish flat formation that would break higher.


Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Energy Select Sector SPDR Fund / Technical Analysis

<ul>
<li>We still see signs suggesting a test of the lows or a break to new lows is increasingly likely on the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).</li>
<li>One of those signs is the fact that defensives (Utilities, Staples, pharma, Real Estate) remain at new RS highs.</li>
<li>Meanwhile, WTI crude oil and the Bloomberg Commodity index (DJP) are breaking out from 1-month consolidations, signaling upside continuation. Stick with the commodity and defensive Sectors.</li>
</ul>


We still see signs suggesting a test of the lows or a break to new lows is increasingly likely on the S&amp;P 500, Nasdaq 100 (QQQ), and Russell 2000 (IWM).
One of those signs is the fact that defensives (Utilities, Staples, pharma, Real Estate) remain at new RS highs.
Meanwhile, WTI crude oil and the Bloomberg Commodity index (DJP) are breaking out from 1-month consolidations, signaling upside continuation. Stick with the commodity and defensive Sectors.


Sticking With Commodity and Defensive Sectors; Buying Coal, Steel, Gold Stocks

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets, SAV Markets

Shyam Devani

Founder & Chief Market Strategist - SAV Markets

Provide Comprehensive Analysis & Commentary

SAV Markets

SAV Markets aims to provide comprehensive analysis & commentary on foreign exchange and asset markets. The approach is multi asset as markets are typically interlinked. Cause and effect are always at work, even if those effects take time to manifest. As nothing is permanent we strive to get ahead of the curve in an ever changing world.

<ul>
<li>Oil has posted clear weekly reversals and has a bullish setup that indicates significant gains</li>
<li>Expect a rally to, and through, the highs seen in March this year</li>
<li>This is likely to have negative implications for other financial markets including equities. Trade ideas included at the end</li>
</ul>


Oil has posted clear weekly reversals and has a bullish setup that indicates significant gains
Expect a rally to, and through, the highs seen in March this year
This is likely to have negative implications for other financial markets including equities. Trade ideas included at the end


United States

Crude oil is a naturally occurring, unrefined petroleum product composed of hydrocarbon deposits and other organic materials. Crude oil can be refined to produce usable products such as gasoline, diesel and various forms of petrochemicals. It is a nonrenewable resource, also known as a fossil fuel, which means that it can't be replaced naturally at the rate we consume it and is therefore a limited resource.

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CX Daily: How the War in Ukraine Is Rattling China’s Energy Transition

In Depth: How the war in Ukraine is rattling China’s energy transition. Regional bank under corruption probe faces more trouble after online...

Caixin Global

Bulls & Bears: Near-Term and Short-Term View on Oil Prices

China's Covid curbs seem to be almost the only major challenge to the Ukraine war-driven upward thrust in crude prices. We derive the net result of...

Vandana Hari

Gold and Oil Pivot Supports

Gold continues to show macro promise but must hold 1,920 near term while WTI has room to slip back to the 94/92 dual low zone to stage a recovery.

Thomas Schroeder

Sticking With Commodity and Defensive Sectors; Buying Coal, Steel, Gold Stocks

Crude oil and the Bloomberg Commodity index $DJP are breaking out from 1-month consolidations, signaling upside continuation. Stick with the...

Vermilion Research

The Crude Reality

The price action on Oil as well as the setup strongly suggest renewed concerns about higher energy prices. This is likely to impact other financial...

Shyam Devani

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