IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> Board recommends that shareholders accept Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer, which the IFA opines is fair and reasonable.</li>
<li>The Board's carefully crafted and suitably caveated recommendation acknowledges that shares continue to trade through terms and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s HK$7.21 offer is higher but preconditional. </li>
<li>Based on ORG's shareholding/irrevocable and volume traded above terms, Changping Industrial’s offer has little chance of success. It remains a question of when, not if, Changping Industrial will bump.</li>
</ul>


The CPMC Holdings (906 HK) Board recommends that shareholders accept Changping Industrial’s HK$6.87 offer, which the IFA opines is fair and reasonable.
The Board's carefully crafted and suitably caveated recommendation acknowledges that shares continue to trade through terms and ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s HK$7.21 offer is higher but preconditional. 
Based on ORG's shareholding/irrevocable and volume traded above terms, Changping Industrial’s offer has little chance of success. It remains a question of when, not if, Changping Industrial will bump.


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): A Carefully Caveated Board Recommendation of Changping Industrial’s Offer

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

<ul>
<li>On the 30th July 2024, packaging play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> dispatched the Composite Document for the HK$6.87/share, in cash, Offer from SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0813/2024081300005.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Response Document</a>, including the IFA opinion (with a fair &amp; reasonable conclusion) has now been dispatched. </li>
<li>However, the focus remains on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>'s superior HK$7.21/share Offer, which is currently negotiating the necessary regulatory approvals. </li>
</ul>


On the 30th July 2024, packaging play CPMC Holdings (906 HK) dispatched the Composite Document for the HK$6.87/share, in cash, Offer from SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion.
The Response Document, including the IFA opinion (with a fair &amp; reasonable conclusion) has now been dispatched. 
However, the focus remains on ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)'s superior HK$7.21/share Offer, which is currently negotiating the necessary regulatory approvals. 


CPMC (906 HK) Responds To Champion's Offer

HK/China Healthcare Analyst (ex-Fosun Pharma)

Xinyao (Criss) Wang

<ul>
<li>Baosteel's choice to maintain its original Offer may partly reflect its "confidence" in the deal. If investors bet that Huarui Offer will succeed, they need to bear some risks.</li>
<li>If investors choose to arbitrage at HK$7.21/share, annualized return is 9% assuming privatization would be completed in mid-Jan 2025.Such return may not be attractive considering the uncertainties behind the deal. </li>
<li>If investors are optimistic about Baosteel's final acquisition of CPMC, they can consider buying Baosteel shares, as Baosteel will become the new industry leader, with greater upside potential for valuation.</li>
</ul>


Baosteel's choice to maintain its original Offer may partly reflect its "confidence" in the deal. If investors bet that Huarui Offer will succeed, they need to bear some risks.
If investors choose to arbitrage at HK$7.21/share, annualized return is 9% assuming privatization would be completed in mid-Jan 2025.Such return may not be attractive considering the uncertainties behind the deal. 
If investors are optimistic about Baosteel's final acquisition of CPMC, they can consider buying Baosteel shares, as Baosteel will become the new industry leader, with greater upside potential for valuation.


CPMC Holdings (906.HK) Privatization Update- Due to Risk Behind ORG's Offer, Baosteel Is a Wiser Bet

<ul>
<li>Changping Industrial’s offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> opens at an unchanged HK$6.87, 4.7% below <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>’s competing HK$7.21 offer. </li>
<li>Changping Industrial thinks deal fatigue may tip the balance in its favour. However, minorities will call Changping's bluff, as the offer at current terms has a low chance of success. </li>
<li>Despite the current posturing, Changping Industrial will likely need to bump above ORG’s offer marginally to succeed. Expect more twists and turns in this contested battle. </li>
</ul>


Changping Industrial’s offer for CPMC Holdings (906 HK) opens at an unchanged HK$6.87, 4.7% below ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)’s competing HK$7.21 offer. 
Changping Industrial thinks deal fatigue may tip the balance in its favour. However, minorities will call Changping's bluff, as the offer at current terms has a low chance of success. 
Despite the current posturing, Changping Industrial will likely need to bump above ORG’s offer marginally to succeed. Expect more twists and turns in this contested battle. 


CPMC Holdings (906 HK): Poker Face off as Changping Industrial Launches Offer at Unchanged Terms

<ul>
<li>Back on the 6th December 2023, packaging play <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/cpmc-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10427:1" rel="noopener">CPMC Holdings (906 HK)</a> announced a pre-conditional Offer of $6.87/share, in cash, from SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion.</li>
<li>The <a href="https://www1.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2024/0730/2024073000041.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Offer Document</a> is now out. This is not a Composite Document. A "Response Document" is expected in two weeks, which will include the IFA opinion. </li>
<li>All the above is moot. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/org-technology-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:17510:1" rel="noopener">ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)</a>'s superior HK$7.21/share Offer is currently navigating the necessary regulatory approvals. With irrevocables, ORG has 46.44% in the bag.</li>
</ul>


Back on the 6th December 2023, packaging play CPMC Holdings (906 HK) announced a pre-conditional Offer of $6.87/share, in cash, from SASAC/NCSSF-backed Champion.
The Offer Document is now out. This is not a Composite Document. A "Response Document" is expected in two weeks, which will include the IFA opinion. 
All the above is moot. ORG Technology Co., Ltd. A (002701 CH)'s superior HK$7.21/share Offer is currently navigating the necessary regulatory approvals. With irrevocables, ORG has 46.44% in the bag.


CPMC (906 HK): Champion's Offer Now Open. But All Eyes On ORG's Tilt

China

CPMC Holdings Ltd. manufactures food packaging products.

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CPMC Holdings (906 HK)