Independent research on the U.S. markets, Baptista Research

Baptista Research

Independent research on the U.S. markets

Baptista Research is an independent financial research house focused on the U.S. markets. We provide equity research as well as credit research reports on the top-listed U.S. companies with most of our focus on technology, consumer goods and services, automobiles, industrials, oil and gas, pharma, and healthcare. Our research has served more than 3000 institutional investors including mutual funds, hedge funds, banks, family offices, and various buy-side firms. We operate a research subscription service where institutions, as well as retail investors, can have priority access to all our research. We also have a wide distribution of our research reports across some of the top global financial platforms. Apart from equity research and credit research, we also provide advisory services with respect to mergers & acquisitions (M&A), private equity/ venture capital fundraising, valuation reports, and investment management services for corporates.
Baptista Research is owned and managed by Ishan Majumdar, an ex-Venture Capitalist/ Investment Banker, a Chartered Accountant, and a Masters’ degree holder in Management from HEC Paris. Ishan has nearly a decade of experience in Mergers and Acquisitions, Leveraged Buyouts (LBOs), Venture Capital Investing, Corporate Strategy, and Valuation in front-office roles at the likes of BNP Paribas CIB, Credit Agricole CIB, Groupe Danone, and TIW Private Equity. He has worked on and closed multiple acquisition deals, leveraged buyouts, and start-up investment transactions.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Coupang has commenced 2024 with a notable performance that underscores both strengths and areas in need of meticulous attention.</li>
<li>During the first quarter, Coupang reported a robust 28% year-over-year growth in revenues in constant currency terms, attributed primarily to increased spending across customer cohorts, including its longest-standing customers.</li>
<li>This points to successful customer retention and the appealing nature of its offerings.</li>
</ul>


Coupang has commenced 2024 with a notable performance that underscores both strengths and areas in need of meticulous attention.
During the first quarter, Coupang reported a robust 28% year-over-year growth in revenues in constant currency terms, attributed primarily to increased spending across customer cohorts, including its longest-standing customers.
This points to successful customer retention and the appealing nature of its offerings.


Coupang Inc.:  Artificial Intelligence Integration & 5 Major Growth Drivers

<ul>
<li>Coupang Inc., an e-commerce giant based in South Korea, has reportedly shown significant advancements and growth in their latest fourth quarter earnings.</li>
<li>They boasted a year of accelerating growth, record profits and notably expanded free cash flows in business, with the creation of the ‘wow’ moments for customers deemed as the foundation to their long-term growth, profitability and in turn, shareholder value.</li>
<li>Customer growth and revenues notably accelerated every quarter in 2023, with active customers growing 16% year-over-year.</li>
</ul>


Coupang Inc., an e-commerce giant based in South Korea, has reportedly shown significant advancements and growth in their latest fourth quarter earnings.
They boasted a year of accelerating growth, record profits and notably expanded free cash flows in business, with the creation of the ‘wow’ moments for customers deemed as the foundation to their long-term growth, profitability and in turn, shareholder value.
Customer growth and revenues notably accelerated every quarter in 2023, with active customers growing 16% year-over-year.


Coupang Inc: Amplifying Luxury Retail Reach With The Farfetch Acquisition! - Major Drivers

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss how Temu and AliExpress have been taking away meaningful market share away from Coupang (CPNG US) in Korea in the past year. </li>
<li>Temu's MAU skyrocketed in the past year in Korea. Temu's MAU surged from zero in January 2023 to 3.28 million as of December 2023.</li>
<li>One could argue that Coupang's valuations are overvalued relative to its Chinese competitors such as PDD Holdings (PDD US).</li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss how Temu and AliExpress have been taking away meaningful market share away from Coupang (CPNG US) in Korea in the past year. 
Temu's MAU skyrocketed in the past year in Korea. Temu's MAU surged from zero in January 2023 to 3.28 million as of December 2023.
One could argue that Coupang's valuations are overvalued relative to its Chinese competitors such as PDD Holdings (PDD US).


Temu and AliExpress Taking Away Meaningful Market Share from Coupang in Korea

China/Asia TMT

Shawn Yang

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

<ul>
<li>AliExpress has prioritized South Korea. We expect AliExpress’ South Korea GMV to increase 150%~ YoY to about US 1bn in 2023, or about 3% of Coupang’s. </li>
<li>We found that AliExpress has more overlap with CPNG’s key products rather than Naver. The average price of recommended items on AliExpress was 65%~ cheaper than CPNG in our sample; </li>
<li>We lower our CPNG GMV est. by 2%/3% in 2023/2024. We downgrade CPNG to SELL and lower its TP to US$ 15.1. </li>
</ul>


AliExpress has prioritized South Korea. We expect AliExpress’ South Korea GMV to increase 150%~ YoY to about US 1bn in 2023, or about 3% of Coupang’s. 
We found that AliExpress has more overlap with CPNG’s key products rather than Naver. The average price of recommended items on AliExpress was 65%~ cheaper than CPNG in our sample; 
We lower our CPNG GMV est. by 2%/3% in 2023/2024. We downgrade CPNG to SELL and lower its TP to US$ 15.1. 


Coupang(CPNG US, SELL, TP US$15.1) Rating Change: Facing More Competition from AliExpress,DG to Sell

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/atrenew-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33426:1" rel="noopener">ATRenew (RERE US)</a> operates the largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform in China. It is listed in June 2021 at US$14 per ADS. </li>
<li>The shares are down 63% YTD largely due to the tech market sell-off. Unlike most tech companies, ATRenew is starting to deliver growth with profits, cash generation and share buybacks.</li>
<li>The valuation is undemanding compared to a peer group of pre-owned marketplaces and global online retail marketplaces. It will also appeal to investors with an ESG mandate.</li>
</ul>



ATRenew (RERE US) operates the largest pre-owned consumer electronics transactions and services platform in China. It is listed in June 2021 at US$14 per ADS. 
The shares are down 63% YTD largely due to the tech market sell-off. Unlike most tech companies, ATRenew is starting to deliver growth with profits, cash generation and share buybacks.
The valuation is undemanding compared to a peer group of pre-owned marketplaces and global online retail marketplaces. It will also appeal to investors with an ESG mandate.


ATRenew (RERE US): Pre-Owned Satisfaction

South Korea

Coupang, Inc. operates as an e-commerce company. The Company offers dynamic end-to-end e-commerce and logistic solutions. Coupang serves customers worldwide.

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Coupang (CPNG US)

Coupang Inc.: Artificial Intelligence Integration & 5 Major Growth Drivers

Coupang has commenced 2024 with a notable performance that underscores both strengths and areas in need of meticulous attention.

Baptista Research

Coupang Inc: Amplifying Luxury Retail Reach With The Farfetch Acquisition! - Major Drivers

Coupang Inc., an e-commerce giant based in South Korea, has reportedly shown significant advancements and growth in their latest fourth quarter...

Baptista Research

Coupang(CPNG US, SELL, TP US$15.1) Rating Change: Facing More Competition from AliExpress,DG to Sell

AliExpress has prioritized South Korea. We expect AliExpress’ South Korea GMV to increase 150%~ YoY to about US 1bn in 2023, or about 3% of Coupang’s.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ATRenew (RERE US): Pre-Owned Satisfaction

Unlike most tech companies, ATRenew is starting to deliver growth with profits, cash generation and share buybacks. The valuation remains undemanding.

Arun George

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Coupang Inc.: Artificial Intelligence Integration & 5 Major Growth Drivers

Coupang has commenced 2024 with a notable performance that underscores both strengths and areas in need of meticulous attention.

Baptista Research

Coupang Inc: Amplifying Luxury Retail Reach With The Farfetch Acquisition! - Major Drivers

Coupang Inc., an e-commerce giant based in South Korea, has reportedly shown significant advancements and growth in their latest fourth quarter...

Baptista Research

Temu and AliExpress Taking Away Meaningful Market Share from Coupang in Korea

In this insight, we discuss how Temu and AliExpress have been taking away meaningful market share away from Coupang (CPNG US) in Korea in the past...

Douglas Kim

Coupang(CPNG US, SELL, TP US$15.1) Rating Change: Facing More Competition from AliExpress,DG to Sell

AliExpress has prioritized South Korea. We expect AliExpress’ South Korea GMV to increase 150%~ YoY to about US 1bn in 2023, or about 3% of Coupang’s.

Blue Lotus Research Institute

ATRenew (RERE US): Pre-Owned Satisfaction

Unlike most tech companies, ATRenew is starting to deliver growth with profits, cash generation and share buybacks. The valuation remains undemanding.

Arun George