Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms, Mint Finance

Pranay Yadav

Metals, Ores, and Mining Firms

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Corn futures show high potential for momentum trading, peaking in early-year gains and declining from June, matching seasonal harvest patterns in major producers like China and Brazil.</li>
<li>Over the past five years, momentum trading in soybean futures outperformed other crops with average annual returns of USD 13,600, though 2024 saw significant losses reflecting its counter cyclical performance.</li>
<li>Bearish outlook for corn in 2024 due to increased global production outlook from key regions, bearish shifts by asset managers, and USDA forecasts predicting lower season-average prices.</li>
</ul>


Corn futures show high potential for momentum trading, peaking in early-year gains and declining from June, matching seasonal harvest patterns in major producers like China and Brazil.
Over the past five years, momentum trading in soybean futures outperformed other crops with average annual returns of USD 13,600, though 2024 saw significant losses reflecting its counter cyclical performance.
Bearish outlook for corn in 2024 due to increased global production outlook from key regions, bearish shifts by asset managers, and USDA forecasts predicting lower season-average prices.


Momentum Trading Opportunities In Agricultural Commodities

<ul>
<li>Corn prices are presently being pressured by ample supplies owing to the record US harvest.</li>
<li>Corn prices face an upside risk owing to elevated demand for ethanol and supply uncertainty from the South American harvest.</li>
<li>Premium for long-dated corn futures over near-term futures is on the rise. A calendar spread can be used to express this view. </li>
</ul>


Corn prices are presently being pressured by ample supplies owing to the record US harvest.
Corn prices face an upside risk owing to elevated demand for ethanol and supply uncertainty from the South American harvest.
Premium for long-dated corn futures over near-term futures is on the rise. A calendar spread can be used to express this view. 


Corn Prices To Fire Up on Rising Energy Costs

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Discussion on gold rates above 1700 and potential drivers</li><li>Analysis of US energy and mineral policies under different administrations</li><li>Impact of US-China trade relations on base metals and agricultural markets, including potential tariff escalations and trade disruptions.</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.</em></p>

Discussion on gold rates above 1700 and potential driversAnalysis of US energy and mineral policies under different administrationsImpact of US-China trade relations on base metals and agricultural markets, including potential tariff escalations and trade disruptions.This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: 2024 US Election Watch—Cutting Through the Noise

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist, Steno Research

Andreas Steno

Head of Research and Global Chief Strategist

Macro and Geopolitical Research House

Steno Research

Steno Research is a new macro and geopolitical research house. We are based out of Copenhagen, Denmark, but have an international team and a strong network of sources and partners around the world. The team is lead by Andreas Steno, previous global head of strategy at Nordea Bank, and Mikkel Rosenvold, former chief consultant in the Danish Ministry of Finance.

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul><li>Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch.</li><li>The debates about whether the US is heading for a recession are still touring the charts, as the labor market and other economic data soften back towards pre-pandemic levels.</li><li>However, while some might be uncomfortable watching the US economy slow more than anticipated, the lack of ringing alarm bells and Powell’s recent victory lap on inflation have greenlighted markets to price in a soft landing as a 95-99% probability event by now when looking across positioning data.</li></ul>

Hello everyone, and welcome back to our weekly positioning watch.The debates about whether the US is heading for a recession are still touring the charts, as the labor market and other economic data soften back towards pre-pandemic levels.However, while some might be uncomfortable watching the US economy slow more than anticipated, the lack of ringing alarm bells and Powell’s recent victory lap on inflation have greenlighted markets to price in a soft landing as a 95-99% probability event by now when looking across positioning data.

Positioning Watch – The Soft Landing Is Moving Towards a Recovery Trade

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order, Mint Finance

Amrutha Raj

Energy Transition | AI | Shifting World Order

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>June witnessed heavy selling across major US crops across corn, beans and wheat with wheat taking the biggest hit.</li>
<li>Grain prices have been bearish on favorable supply. The adage of ‘rain makes grain’ has changed this summer to ‘grain falls like rain’ ahead of WASDE report.</li>
<li>Positive revisions are expected for major Wheat exporting countries US &amp; Russia, even as EU reels from adverse weather. US grain forecasts will follow suit and outweigh concerns</li>
</ul>


June witnessed heavy selling across major US crops across corn, beans and wheat with wheat taking the biggest hit.
Grain prices have been bearish on favorable supply. The adage of ‘rain makes grain’ has changed this summer to ‘grain falls like rain’ ahead of WASDE report.
Positive revisions are expected for major Wheat exporting countries US &amp; Russia, even as EU reels from adverse weather. US grain forecasts will follow suit and outweigh concerns


[WASDE Preview] Bounty Harvest of US Wheat & Corn; But Brace for Weak EU Forecast

United States

Corn No. 2 Yellow at par and substitutions at differentials established by the exchange.

Price Gauge
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Corn Active Contract (C A COMDTY)

Momentum Trading Opportunities In Agricultural Commodities

Momentum trading in agricultural commodities uses seasonal trends and fundamentals to optimize strategies for corn, wheat, and soybean futures....

Mint Finance

Corn Prices To Fire Up on Rising Energy Costs

Record US harvest leads to ample corn supplies, but upside price risk due to ethanol demand and South American harvest uncertainty.

Mint Finance

Global Commodities: 2024 US Election Watch—Cutting Through the Noise

The episode covers discussions on gold rates, Trump and Harris administrations' approaches to energy commodities, China's impact on electric...

At Any Rate

Positioning Watch – The Soft Landing Is Moving Towards a Recovery Trade

Overall positioning and sentiment indicators are starting to diverge, though. Most indicators show continued support for risk assets in H2.

Steno Research

[WASDE Preview] Bounty Harvest of US Wheat & Corn; But Brace for Weak EU Forecast

Rains makes grains. But this June, Grains have been falling like rains. Grain prices have come crashing with bounty harvest. What will WASDE report...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Momentum Trading Opportunities In Agricultural Commodities

Momentum trading in agricultural commodities uses seasonal trends and fundamentals to optimize strategies for corn, wheat, and soybean futures....

Mint Finance

Corn Prices To Fire Up on Rising Energy Costs

​Record US harvest leads to ample corn supplies, but upside price risk due to ethanol demand and South American harvest uncertainty.

Mint Finance

Global Commodities: 2024 US Election Watch—Cutting Through the Noise

The episode covers discussions on gold rates, Trump and Harris administrations' approaches to energy commodities, China's impact on electric...

At Any Rate

Positioning Watch – The Soft Landing Is Moving Towards a Recovery Trade

Overall positioning and sentiment indicators are starting to diverge, though. Most indicators show continued support for risk assets in H2.

Steno Research

[WASDE Preview] Bounty Harvest of US Wheat & Corn; But Brace for Weak EU Forecast

Rains makes grains. But this June, Grains have been falling like rains. Grain prices have come crashing with bounty harvest. What will WASDE report...

Mint Finance

Record US harvest leads to ample corn supplies, but upside price risk due to ethanol demand and South American harvest uncertainty.