Agri | Weather | Energy Transition, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Agri | Weather | Energy Transition

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Corn rose 37% from its multi-year low in August until mid-Feb. Strong export demand for U.S. corn and adverse weather in South America supported a longer-term recovery.</li>
<li>US Corn exports for the current MY have exceeded both the 5-year average &amp; previous year. Export momentum has continued even as the dollar has strengthened sharply since October.</li>
<li>2024 drought in Brazil was the worst since 1950. No direct impact on crops but transportation was significantly disrupted. Key waterways/ports used for shipping were affected causing delays.</li>
</ul>


Corn rose 37% from its multi-year low in August until mid-Feb. Strong export demand for U.S. corn and adverse weather in South America supported a longer-term recovery.
US Corn exports for the current MY have exceeded both the 5-year average &amp; previous year. Export momentum has continued even as the dollar has strengthened sharply since October.
2024 drought in Brazil was the worst since 1950. No direct impact on crops but transportation was significantly disrupted. Key waterways/ports used for shipping were affected causing delays.


Corn at Cross Roads: Tariff, Weather Shocks, and the Battle for Global Corn Supply

Podcast by S&P analysing commodity market trends, Commodities Focus

Commodities Focus

Podcast by S&P analysing commodity market trends

S&P Global Commodity Insights analysis of key news and pricing issues from across the global shipping, natural gas, power, petrochemicals, agriculture, and coal markets.

<ul><li>India's ethanol policy is driving increasing corn demand both locally and for imports</li><li>India's corn production is estimated to be around 38 million for the next year</li><li>India primarily imports non-GMO corn from Myanmar and Ukraine for their ethanol industry, facing challenges in meeting the demand due to feedstock tightness and high import duties</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

India's ethanol policy is driving increasing corn demand both locally and for importsIndia's corn production is estimated to be around 38 million for the next yearIndia primarily imports non-GMO corn from Myanmar and Ukraine for their ethanol industry, facing challenges in meeting the demand due to feedstock tightness and high import dutiesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

How India's ethanol boom is transforming the country's corn trade flow

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

<ul><li>China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat China's corn production is currently under pressure due to extreme weather events in the country.</li><li>Still, as it seems this might not be enough to even lift prices up a little bit. Local prices have ticked higher since the end of September, but they’re still close to four-year lows.</li><li>Stockpiles of corn are plentiful, and demand is currently sluggish as the second-largest economy of the world battles its own economy demons at the moment.</li></ul>

China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat China's corn production is currently under pressure due to extreme weather events in the country.Still, as it seems this might not be enough to even lift prices up a little bit. Local prices have ticked higher since the end of September, but they’re still close to four-year lows.Stockpiles of corn are plentiful, and demand is currently sluggish as the second-largest economy of the world battles its own economy demons at the moment.

China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat // Bad News Again for Orange Production

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets, At Any Rate

At Any Rate

Podcast by J.P. Morgan analysts on global markets

Analysts from J.P. Morgan’s Research team take a closer look at the stories behind some of the biggest trends, themes and developments in markets today.

<ul><li>Geopolitical risks are resurfacing in grain and oilseed markets</li><li>Weather-related risks are impacting agricultural markets, particularly in the US and South America</li><li>US grain export demand is strong, but dry conditions may lower yield potential and delay planting in South America, causing prices to rise</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Geopolitical risks are resurfacing in grain and oilseed marketsWeather-related risks are impacting agricultural markets, particularly in the US and South AmericaUS grain export demand is strong, but dry conditions may lower yield potential and delay planting in South America, causing prices to riseThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Global Commodities: Agricultural Markets Update – set for a seasonal recovery ahead

<ul>
<li>Last El Niño was one of the strongest on record, and typically are followed by La Niña, but this transition has yet to occur. </li>
<li>Latest ONI Reading and trend shows possibility of La Niña developing in August-October, could coincide with winter. </li>
<li>Historically, adverse weather changes and high hurricane incidence are likely to spoil bearish bets against corn and lead to sustained price recovery.</li>
</ul>


Last El Niño was one of the strongest on record, and typically are followed by La Niña, but this transition has yet to occur. 
Latest ONI Reading and trend shows possibility of La Niña developing in August-October, could coincide with winter. 
Historically, adverse weather changes and high hurricane incidence are likely to spoil bearish bets against corn and lead to sustained price recovery.


Will Delayed La Niña Onset Fuel Weather Risks Firing up Corn Prices?

United States

Corn No. 2 Yellow at par and substitutions at differentials established by the exchange.

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Corn Active Contract (C A COMDTY)

Corn at Cross Roads: Tariff, Weather Shocks, and the Battle for Global Corn Supply

US corn prices surged due to strong export demand and adverse weather in South America, with exports exceeding averages despite a strengthening...

Mint Finance

How India's ethanol boom is transforming the country's corn trade flow

The podcast discusses India's growing corn trend, its impact on global trade flows, and the country's increasing demand for corn for ethanol...

Commodities Focus

China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat // Bad News Again for Orange Production

China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat China's corn production is currently under pressure due to extreme weather events in the country.

The Commodity Report

Global Commodities: Agricultural Markets Update – set for a seasonal recovery ahead

Geopolitical and weather-related risks are impacting agricultural markets, with dry conditions in Brazil affecting sugarcane harvest and delaying...

At Any Rate

Will Delayed La Niña Onset Fuel Weather Risks Firing up Corn Prices?

Delayed La Niña threatens corn harvest. Harvest disruptions & rising hurricanes can sharply turn bearish corn sentiments into a rally. Neutral ENSO...

Mint Finance

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Corn at Cross Roads: Tariff, Weather Shocks, and the Battle for Global Corn Supply

​US corn prices surged due to strong export demand and adverse weather in South America, with exports exceeding averages despite a strengthening...

Mint Finance

How India's ethanol boom is transforming the country's corn trade flow

The podcast discusses India's growing corn trend, its impact on global trade flows, and the country's increasing demand for corn for ethanol...

Commodities Focus

China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat // Bad News Again for Orange Production

China’s Corn Under Extreme Weather Threat China's corn production is currently under pressure due to extreme weather events in the country.

The Commodity Report

Global Commodities: Agricultural Markets Update – set for a seasonal recovery ahead

Geopolitical and weather-related risks are impacting agricultural markets, with dry conditions in Brazil affecting sugarcane harvest and delaying...

At Any Rate

Will Delayed La Niña Onset Fuel Weather Risks Firing up Corn Prices?

Delayed La Niña threatens corn harvest. Harvest disruptions & rising hurricanes can sharply turn bearish corn sentiments into a rally. Neutral ENSO...

Mint Finance

US corn prices surged due to strong export demand and adverse weather in South America, with exports exceeding averages despite a strengthening...