Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Keisei Electric Railway Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>No surprise: <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/keisei-electric-railway-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10876:1" rel="noopener">Keisei Electric Railway (9009 JP)</a> shareholders voted down Palliser's proposal. If the vote was close, Palliser may ups its rhetorical game, and takes a harder stance.</li>
<li>Argyle failed to boot one <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-merchants-china-direct-investments" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6862:1" rel="noopener">CMCDI (133 HK)</a> director. They'll next target the management agreement renewal; and agitate the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV.</li>
<li>The Offeror now has 90.16% in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/great-eastern-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:13993:1" rel="noopener">Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP)</a> - so this will get suspended at the close of the Offer.</li>
</ul>


No surprise: Keisei Electric Railway (9009 JP) shareholders voted down Palliser's proposal. If the vote was close, Palliser may ups its rhetorical game, and takes a harder stance.
Argyle failed to boot one CMCDI (133 HK) director. They'll next target the management agreement renewal; and agitate the company buy back 20% of shares outstanding at 90% of NAV.
The Offeror now has 90.16% in Great Eastern Holdings (GE SP) - so this will get suspended at the close of the Offer.


Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, China Merchants, Great Eastern, Jardine Matheson/JCNC

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>The spread is appealing, and Classys' shorting instrument's liquidity issue shouldn't be critical with a manageable position size. The concern is shareholder approval and the stock purchase cost under ₩30B.</li>
<li>Despite cancellation risks, there are reasons to stay interested. Bain Capital aims to merge with Ilooda to boost Classys' valuation, suggesting the merger may proceed even if ₩30B is exceeded.</li>
<li>The deadline for dissenting votes and appraisal rights at Ilooda's meeting is July 8th, ex-rights date July 9th. Shareholders' meeting: August 13th; rights exercise: August 13th to September 2nd.</li>
</ul>


The spread is appealing, and Classys' shorting instrument's liquidity issue shouldn't be critical with a manageable position size. The concern is shareholder approval and the stock purchase cost under ₩30B.
Despite cancellation risks, there are reasons to stay interested. Bain Capital aims to merge with Ilooda to boost Classys' valuation, suggesting the merger may proceed even if ₩30B is exceeded.
The deadline for dissenting votes and appraisal rights at Ilooda's meeting is July 8th, ex-rights date July 9th. Shareholders' meeting: August 13th; rights exercise: August 13th to September 2nd.


Arb Spread Has Opened Today in Classys & Ilooda Merger Swap: Checking Trade Feasibility

Lotte Non Life Insurance Co / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.</li>
<li>With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.</li>
<li>Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.</li>
</ul>


There is a high likelihood of information leaking through the lead securities firm when the tender offer prospectus is provided to branches about three days before the disclosure.
With the FSS's stricter stance, tender offer candidates may act swiftly before new regulations, prompting attention to potential surges in tender offers.
Our approach is clear: identify short-term tender offer candidates, monitor trading volumes for spikes, and use the three-day pre-disclosure surge to time our positions effectively.


Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs, Douglas Research Advisory

Douglas Kim

Korea/Asia, Events, IPOs

<ul>
<li>In a recent discussion with a client, one of the questions that was raised was regarding the impact the local investors are having on the corporate governance reforms in Korea.</li>
<li>The number of local investors in the Korean stock market has jumped in the past few years from 5.3 million in 2017 to 14.4 million in 2022.</li>
<li>All in all, I think Korea is about 3-5 years behind Japan in various corporate governance reforms. So it has a lot of catching up to do.</li>
</ul>


In a recent discussion with a client, one of the questions that was raised was regarding the impact the local investors are having on the corporate governance reforms in Korea.
The number of local investors in the Korean stock market has jumped in the past few years from 5.3 million in 2017 to 14.4 million in 2022.
All in all, I think Korea is about 3-5 years behind Japan in various corporate governance reforms. So it has a lot of catching up to do.


Locals Driving Corporate Reforms and 10 Korean Companies Recently Announcing Share Cancellations

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>In this insight, we discuss a trading strategy for APR (278470 KS) which starts trading on 27 February. APR is the most anticipated IPO in Korea so far in 2024.</li>
<li>Our base case (6 months - 1 year) target price of APR is 370,809 won, which is 48% higher than the IPO price. </li>
<li>We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+ from the IPO price on the first day.  </li>
</ul>


In this insight, we discuss a trading strategy for APR (278470 KS) which starts trading on 27 February. APR is the most anticipated IPO in Korea so far in 2024.
Our base case (6 months - 1 year) target price of APR is 370,809 won, which is 48% higher than the IPO price. 
We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+ from the IPO price on the first day.  


Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

South Korea

Classys Inc. operates as a medical equipment manufacturing company. The Company develops and sells non surgical painless fat reduction instruments, fat freezing fat reduction instruments, and other products. Classys markets its products worldwide.

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Classys (214150 KS)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, China Merchants, Great Eastern, Jardine Matheson/JCNC

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Arb Spread Has Opened Today in Classys & Ilooda Merger Swap: Checking Trade Feasibility

The Classys & Ilooda merger swap spread has opened at a significant level today. This post examines the feasibility of arbitrage trades.

Sanghyun Park

Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

This post examines the persistent issue of insider trading in the Korean tender offer market and discusses how we should time positions for short...

Sanghyun Park

Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

APR starts trading tomorrow. We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+...

Douglas Kim

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Last Week in Event SPACE: Keisei Electric, China Merchants, Great Eastern, Jardine Matheson/JCNC

The weekend is here! Pour yourself a coffee, grab a comfortable seat, and sift through a brief summary of insights on various events discussed...

David Blennerhassett

Arb Spread Has Opened Today in Classys & Ilooda Merger Swap: Checking Trade Feasibility

The Classys & Ilooda merger swap spread has opened at a significant level today. This post examines the feasibility of arbitrage trades.

Sanghyun Park

Chronic Insider Trading in the Korean Tender Offer Market & Time Positions for Short-Term Targets

This post examines the persistent issue of insider trading in the Korean tender offer market and discusses how we should time positions for short...

Sanghyun Park

Locals Driving Corporate Reforms and 10 Korean Companies Recently Announcing Share Cancellations

On 17 April, Celltrion Inc announced that it will buyback shares worth 75 billion won. Including 75 billion won of share repurchase last month,...

Douglas Kim

Trading Strategy of APR on the First Day of IPO

APR starts trading tomorrow. We recommend investors to take some profits off the table (30%-50%) if the share price shoots higher by 100% to 200%+...

Douglas Kim