Equity, Bottom-up Analyst, Investics Research

Sameer Taneja

Equity, Bottom-up Analyst

Investics Research

It is important to note that the information provided by Investics Research is based on publicly available data and own knowledge, which has been gathered and analyzed from a variety of sources. While every effort has been made to ensure the accuracy and completeness of the information provided, it is not guaranteed to be free from errors or omissions. All forecasts and estimates are based on information that has been obtained from public sources that are considered to be reliable. The sources include but are not limited to, company announcements, exchange filings, presentations, etc. Investics does not guarantee the accuracy and completeness of the forecasts, estimates, and/or other information.

Equity Bottom-up Research

Equity Bottom-Up

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<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-meidong-auto-holdings-limited" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10795:1" rel="noopener">China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK)</a> presents an excellent investment opportunity, trading at 13.3x/8.1x FY22/23e, post street estimate revisions downwards with a dividend yield of 6.0%/10% (assuming an 80% payout). </li>
<li>China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) 's integration of Starchase is progressing better than we expected, with metrics on inventory dramatically improving. We believe the management will focus on aftersales now. </li>
<li>The company will join the EV bandwagon by collaborating on aftersales with players having operational (not financial) difficulties performing this service, presenting a good opportunity for the company. </li>
</ul>



China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) presents an excellent investment opportunity, trading at 13.3x/8.1x FY22/23e, post street estimate revisions downwards with a dividend yield of 6.0%/10% (assuming an 80% payout). 
China MeiDong Auto (1268 HK) 's integration of Starchase is progressing better than we expected, with metrics on inventory dramatically improving. We believe the management will focus on aftersales now. 
The company will join the EV bandwagon by collaborating on aftersales with players having operational (not financial) difficulties performing this service, presenting a good opportunity for the company. 


Meidong: Insights from Call with the Management for H1 2022

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" <a href="https://www2.hkexnews.hk/Shareholding-Disclosures/Disclosure-of-Interests?sc_lang=en" target="_blank" rel="noopener">link</a> on the HKEx website. </li>
<li>Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. </li>
<li>This insight also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.</li>
</ul>


The data in this insight is collated from the "shareholding disclosure" link on the HKEx website. 
Often there is a corresponding HKEx announcement on the increase - or decrease - in the shareholding by directors. However, such disclosures are by no means an absolute. 
This insight also flags those companies where shares have been pledged, both recently and ongoing.


Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 11th July 2022

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Yongda Automobiles (Yonda)’s 2H23 net profit fell 59% HoH to RMB166mn, lower than our prior forecast by 12% due to lower-than-expected revenue and GPM of after-sales services.</li><li>As the net margin fell to below 1% with deteriorated new-car GPM, cost control becomes the key to Yongda’s profitability.</li><li>We believe cost control is attainable in FY24E given network optimization. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yongda Automobiles (Yonda)’s 2H23 net profit fell 59% HoH to RMB166mn, lower than our prior forecast by 12% due to lower-than-expected revenue and GPM of after-sales services.As the net margin fell to below 1% with deteriorated new-car GPM, cost control becomes the key to Yongda’s profitability.We believe cost control is attainable in FY24E given network optimization. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yongda Automobiles (3669 HK) - 2H23 Miss on GPM; Cost Control Key to FY24E

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

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<li>We see 38 potential and close adds and 51 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>There have been many new listings in the last weeks of December. Some of them are fairly large and will be added and that increases the number of potential deletions.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 38 potential and close adds and 51 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in March. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
There have been many new listings in the last weeks of December. Some of them are fairly large and will be added and that increases the number of potential deletions.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Updated Potential Changes in March 2025

<ul><li>We project Yongda’s 2H23E net profit to fall 53% HoH to RMB189mn amid a deteriorating new-car GPM.</li><li>We cut our FY24E net profit by 45% to RMB670mn, due to slower-than-expected new car GPM recovery given fiercer competition from premium NEV models to traditional luxury brands.</li><li>Yongda’s shares are now trading at 5x FY24E P/E, which is undemanding given a dividend yield of 8%.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

We project Yongda’s 2H23E net profit to fall 53% HoH to RMB189mn amid a deteriorating new-car GPM.We cut our FY24E net profit by 45% to RMB670mn, due to slower-than-expected new car GPM recovery given fiercer competition from premium NEV models to traditional luxury brands.Yongda’s shares are now trading at 5x FY24E P/E, which is undemanding given a dividend yield of 8%.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Yongda Automobiles (3669 HK) - New Car GPM May Be Hurt More than Expected

China

China Yongda Automobiles Services Holdings Ltd. retails passenger vehicles. The Company sells new and used vehicles and offers automobile rentals. China Yongda Automobiles also provides service.

China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg (3669 HK)

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China Yongda Automobile Services Hldg (3669 HK)

Meidong: Insights from Call with the Management for H1 2022

China MeiDong Auto presents an excellent investment opportunity, trading at 13.3x/8.1x FY22/23e, post street estimate revisions downwards with a...

Sameer Taneja

Hong Kong CEO & Director Dealings - 11th July 2022

Attached is an overview of the latest director & CEO dealings lifted from statutory filings since the beginning of July. China Yongda (3669 HK)...

David Blennerhassett

Yongda Automobiles (3669 HK) - 2H23 Miss on GPM; Cost Control Key to FY24E

The company increased its dividend payout ratio to 53% in FY23, implying a dividend yield of 8%. The dividend payout ratio will probably not...

CMB International

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect: Updated Potential Changes in March 2025

There could be 89 changes for the HSCI in March. That could result in 73 changes to the Southbound Stock Connect list and also have implications...

Brian Freitas

Yongda Automobiles (3669 HK) - New Car GPM May Be Hurt More than Expected

We cut our FY24E net profit by 45% to RMB670mn, due to slower-than-expected new car GPM recovery given fiercer competition from premium NEV models...

CMB International

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