Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Are the recent announcements blocking Chinese investment a sea change in US/China relations?</li>
<li>Are we wrong about Trump’s willingness to do a deal with China?</li>
<li>Is it wrong to maintain a bullish stance on HK-listed China stocks?</li>
</ul>


Are the recent announcements blocking Chinese investment a sea change in US/China relations?
Are we wrong about Trump’s willingness to do a deal with China?
Is it wrong to maintain a bullish stance on HK-listed China stocks?


Will Recent US Announcements Derail the HK/China Bull Market?

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/picc-property-casualty-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:350:1" rel="noopener">PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-petroleum-chemical-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:369:1" rel="noopener">China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK)</a> broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.
</li>
<li><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhou-intl-group-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10415:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK)</a> had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market quietly broke its downward trend channel last week, however the HSI met strong resistance at 18200 (100 Week Moving Average).

PICC Property &amp; Casualty H (2328 HK) and China Petroleum &amp; Chemical (386 HK) broke to new highs relative to MSCI indices.  Sinopec may benefit from stronger RMB in 2H24.

Shenzhou Intl Group Holdings (2313 HK) had a short-term turnaround from its downtrend.  The company reported growth in sales and better margins in 2Q24.


Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Equity Bottom-Up

China Resources Beer Holdings / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)</li>
<li>A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation</li>
<li>Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed</li>
</ul>


A liquid proxy for China's recovering consumption (with no technology regulation risk)
A quality red chip company at a very reasonable valuation
Growing sales and margins as its premiumisation strategy is executed


Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

Insurance, Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group, KT Capital Group

Alec Tseung

Insurance, Fintech & EM-focused Analyst, KT Capital Group

KT Capital Group

Principal investments and advisory firm that focuses on connecting the CIS countries with East Asia.

Principal investments and advisory firm

<ul>
<li>
Ping An L&amp;H: quality-focused restructuring has nearly doubled agent productivity since 2019, pushing NBV to post-Cvoid highs despite a much smaller agency force.</li>
<li>
Ping An P&amp;C: tech integration and enablement is closing the gap vs. market leader in product distribution and customer acquisition.</li>
<li>
Integrated finance and health/senior care strategy presents cross-selling opportunities and differentiated upside not yet priced in.</li>
</ul>



Ping An L&amp;H: quality-focused restructuring has nearly doubled agent productivity since 2019, pushing NBV to post-Cvoid highs despite a much smaller agency force.

Ping An P&amp;C: tech integration and enablement is closing the gap vs. market leader in product distribution and customer acquisition.

Integrated finance and health/senior care strategy presents cross-selling opportunities and differentiated upside not yet priced in.


2026 High Conviction: Ping An to Re-Rate if Growth/Recovery Continues

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market continues to consolidate during the early stage of its Secular Bull Market.  Strength and momentum indicators show further weakness ahead.</li>
<li>Materials and healthcare sectors have lost momentum with other sectors trendless.  Analysts target 20% price gains in materials sector over the next year.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-taiping-insurance-hldgs-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:489:1" rel="noopener">China Taiping Insurance Hldgs (966 HK)</a>  shares fell on Thursday on concerns over the insurer’s estimated HK$2.6B exposure to a HK residential project at the center of a deadly fire.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market continues to consolidate during the early stage of its Secular Bull Market.  Strength and momentum indicators show further weakness ahead.
Materials and healthcare sectors have lost momentum with other sectors trendless.  Analysts target 20% price gains in materials sector over the next year.

China Taiping Insurance Hldgs (966 HK)  shares fell on Thursday on concerns over the insurer’s estimated HK$2.6B exposure to a HK residential project at the center of a deadly fire.



The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (November 27)

Hong Kong

China Taiping Insurance Holdings Company Ltd., through subsidiaries, underwrites life and property/casualty insurance and reinsurance.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

China Taiping Insurance Hldgs (966 HK)

Will Recent US Announcements Derail the HK/China Bull Market?

Reevaluating the bullish stance on HK-listed China stocks amid potential shifts in US/China relations and uncertainty about Trump's willingness to...

Rikki Malik

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

A quality Chinese red chip company at a reasonable valuation, growing sales and margins due to its premium strategy. A play on recovering Chinese...

Rikki Malik

2026 High Conviction: Ping An to Re-Rate if Growth/Recovery Continues

Despite decent share price performance this year, Ping An remains a laggard among other Chinese insurance stocks. It warrants a re-rating if its...

Alec Tseung

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (November 27)

Hong Kong market continues to consolidate during the early stage of its Secular Bull Market. Strength and momentum indicators show further...

David Mudd

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Will Recent US Announcements Derail the HK/China Bull Market?

​Reevaluating the bullish stance on HK-listed China stocks amid potential shifts in US/China relations and uncertainty about Trump's willingness to...

Rikki Malik

Technically Speaking, Breakouts and Breakdowns: HONG KONG (SEPTEMBER 3)

Hong Kong market broke its downtrend however it met strong resistance just above 18k. PICC and Sinopec broke to new highs relative to MSCI...

David Mudd

Cheers! Raise a Glass to China Resources Beer (0291.HK)

A quality Chinese red chip company at a reasonable valuation, growing sales and margins due to its premium strategy. A play on recovering Chinese...

Rikki Malik

2026 High Conviction: Ping An to Re-Rate if Growth/Recovery Continues

Despite decent share price performance this year, Ping An remains a laggard among other Chinese insurance stocks. It warrants a re-rating if its...

Alec Tseung

The Heat Is On: News Flow and Sentiment in CHINA / HONG KONG (November 27)

Hong Kong market continues to consolidate during the early stage of its Secular Bull Market. Strength and momentum indicators show further...

David Mudd

Reevaluating the bullish stance on HK-listed China stocks amid potential shifts in US/China relations and uncertainty about Trump's willingness to...